FRIDAY BANKROLL BUILDER
Race 4 // McConnell Springs Stakes // 1:15 pm ET
#7 UNHOLY ALLIANCE (9-2 morning line) is my key, likely to get a great set-up after chasing Filly & Mare Sprint contender Come Dancing at Saratoga. She should sit just behind the speed for a jockey-trainer combination you have to consider. I’d be happy at a price around 5-1.
Win: #7 UNHOLY ALLIANCE
Exacta Box: #7 UNHOLY ALLIANCE, #6 UNIQUE FACTOR, #9 ROYAL CHARLOTTE
SATURDAY MUST-USE HORSES
Race 5 // Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint // 12:39 pm ET
#14 EXTRAVAGANT KID (15-1 ML)
I’m okay with the 14-hole that will scare away many and produce a bigger price. The rider change to Umberto Rispoli could fit his style. This tactical horse was runner-up to Leinster, who will be no worse than third choice around 4 or 5-1 and Extravagant Kid may be overlooked as high as 20-1. Definitely consider him up and down the exotics.
Race 8 // Breeders’ Cup Sprint // 2:36 pm ET
#11 DIAMOND OOPS (8-1 ML)
My strongest play of the weekend. Bet him last year in Dirt Mile and didn’t get away great. Glad they didn’t go to Turf Sprint because he’s better on dirt. The jockey change from one Frenchman (Julien Leparoux) to another (Florent Geroux) really perked him up. The pace sets up for him to finish and he’s doing extremely well coming into the Sprint.
The way I see the Classic (Race 12, 5:18 pm ET) is pretty straight forward. TACITUS, no thanks. TITLE READY, no thanks. GLOBAL CAMPAIGN, HIGHER POWER and MAXIMUM SECURITY, no thanks as well. That whittles it down to 5 contenders, and the 10 furlongs may not suit BY MY STANDARDS. TIZ THE LAW couldn’t beat AUTHENTIC at a mile and one-quarter in the Derby, despite how great his record and resume looks. That leaves AUTHENTIC, TOM’S D’ETAT and IMPROBABLE, and I’m leaning to IMPROBABLE. He appears ready to run a huge race, and if you can get the 5-to-2 morning line (which I predict you will) that’s a helluva price.