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The 2024 Champion 2-Year-Old Male saw his 3-race winning streak snapped when tiring to fourth last out in the Santa Anita Derby. Committed front-runner's 2 losses have come when forced out of his comfort zone. Jockey-Trainer teamed to win 2010 Preakness (Lookin At Lucky). Sire responsible for 2020-'21 Derby winners Authentic and Mandaloun. 21 Champion 2YOs have won the Derby, most recently Nyquist (2016).
Florida Derby and Fountain of Youth third-place finisher has been a consistent performer from distances ranging from 5 to 9 furlongs. Made the lead in both Gulfstream signature races at some stage only to come up short in the stretch. 6 Florida-breds have won the Kentucky Derby, but not since Silver Charm in 1997.
Late-running, 15-1 upsetter of Turfway's Jeff Ruby has uncorked wild late rallies to win his last 2 starts on the synthetic surface in Northern Kentucky. The Derby will be his first attempt on dirt. Turfway Park leading jockey Machado lands his first Derby mount. Owner-breeder Juddmonte Farm won January's Lecomte with Disco Time, who has since been sidelined, and got here instead with this late bloomer.
Wire-to-wire winner of the Wood Memorial in New York, this California-based colt arguably leaped from third string to first team for Baffert in that performance. Son of 2020 Derby winner Authentic has done his best running on the lead and should be expected to be part of the early pace. Seeks to become first Wood winner to wear the roses since Fusaichi Pegasus (2000) and first alum of that race since Funny Cide (2003).
Romping winner of the Virginia Derby in mid-March for 4-time Kentucky Derby-winning trainer Lukas, who is just a few months shy of his 90th birthday. Lost his first 5 starts, including 3 at Churchill Downs. This is a son of 2018 Triple Crown winner Justify who could contend for the early lead.
Japanese-based colt most recently won the UAE Derby in Dubai by a nose. Back home, he twice finished behind expected Kentucky Derby rival Luxor Cafe (nose, 3-1/4 length margins). Sire (father) Drefong was a Champion Sprinter in the US.
Japanese-based colt has been on a tear winning 4 in a row and teams with world-renowned Brazilian jockey Moreira for his first Kentucky Derby mount. Son of 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah has an impressive late explosion.-- Photo Courtesy: Yuki Shimono // Kentuckyderby.com
The Kentucky Derby Future Wager betting favorite rides a 4-race winning streak over 3 different Southern California surfaces, most recently the Santa Anita Derby. This will be his first true road trip for Preakness-winning trainer McCarthy, who seeks his first Derby. Son of 2007 Derby third-place finisher and Preakness winner Curlin has been a strong finisher from stalking positions and has yet to lose at a mile or longer.
Nose winner of the Blue Grass at Keeneland in the final jump to nab East Avenue, he completed an up-and-down spring on a positive note. Holy Bull winner was disappointing fourth in the Fountain of Youth as the favorite before exiting Florida. Debuted for a $150,000 claiming tag last October at Keeneland but has earned just shy of $1M. Trainer Wilkes seeks first Derby, but was assistant for Unbridled (1990) and Street Sense (2007). This gelding is a great-grandson to Unbridled.
Wood Memorial runner-up is the least experienced member of this year's field with only 3 starts, though a resume similar to '23 Derby winner Mage. Sire Curlin was third in the 2007 Run for the Roses before winning the Preakness. Wide trip in the Wood Memorial when chasing loose-leading Rodriguez. Jockey-Trainer teamed to win '17 Derby (Always Dreaming).
Runner-up on Turfway's synthetic surface in the Jeff Ruby, this son of Breeders' Cup Mile (turf) winner Karakontie has never raced on a dirt surface. Trainer Beckman made his Derby debut last year (Honor Marie, 8th) and jockey Ramos gets his first Derby mount.
Potential Derby pacemaker has been wildly inconsistent, but his nose runner-up in the Blue Grass Stakes last time got him back in the Derby picture after a mystifyingly poor 3YO debut in New Orleans. Son of 2002 Derby fourth-place finisher Medaglia d'Oro, who is best known as a sire for 2009 Kentucky Oaks-Preakness winner Rachel Alexandra.
Although winless in 7 starts (known as a 'maiden' until a horse wins a race), the Arkansas Derby runner-up earned his way to Louisville with a closing kick from deep in the pack. Renowned trainer & jockey arguably both the 'best to never win a Derby' among their active peers. Son of 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah has Derby runner-ups as maternal & paternal grandparents. Last maiden to win the Derby was Broker's Tip (1933).
Leads all '25 Kentucky Derby prospects in career earnings ($1.5M) on the strength of victories in the Louisiana Derby most recently and last September's rich Juvenile Mile at Kentucky Downs on turf. Late-runner has second and third-place finishes in Churchill Downs stakes on his ledger. Son of 2020 Belmont winner and Kentucky Derby runner-up Tiz the Law. All-time North American wins leader Asmussen aims for his first Derby training score.
Virginia Derby runner-up managed only a fifth-place finish in his Blue Grass Stakes follow-up bid. Trainer McPeek won last year's Kentucky Derby with Mystik Dan (last trainer to win back-to-back was Bob Baffert in 1997-1998). Sire Blame beat the previously unbeaten Zenyatta over 1-1/4 miles at Churchill in the 2010 Breeders' Cup Classic.
Mid-South star emerged from the small tracks in Louisiana to become a horse-of-a-lifetime for trainer Briley. Oaklawn's Rebel winner and Arkansas Derby third-place finisher has earned more purse money than Briley's combined first 15 years of his career, which began in 1991. Coal Battle also has stakes wins at Evangeline Downs, Delta Downs & Remington Park as a regional favorite. First Kentucky Derby for trainer and jockey.
Deep-closing winner of the Arkansas Derby made 4 starts at Oaklawn this winter and saved his best for last after some troubled trips. Preakness and Belmont-winning trainer Casse seeks his first Kentucky Derby score. Struggled in 3 starts at Churchill Downs as a 2YO, including a 5+ length defeat to Derby rival Sovereignty among those. $1.2M colt by super sire Tapit looks to give that one his elusive first Derby winner.
Signalled his Derby candidacy in October at Churchill Downs with a Street Sense victory over eventual Louisiana Derby winner Tiztastic and eventual Arkansas Derby winner Sandman. Scored Gulfstream's Fountain of Youth in his 3YO return and was runner-up as favorite in the Florida Derby most recently. Owner Godolphin has won the world's biggest races, and seeks its first Derby (also with East Avenue). Jockey Alvarado missed the Florida Derby with a shoulder injury.
Rags to riches chance for this $2,500 yearling purchase who exits runner-up bids in the Risen Star and Louisiana Derby at Fair Grounds (43-1, 10-1 odds). First Derby starter for trainer West, while jockey Loverberry nearly captured the 2023 roses with runner-up Two Phil's. Could become least-expensive Derby-winning auction buy since Canonero II (1971), who cost just $1,200.
Tampa Bay Derby winner had crossed the wire first or second in all 5 starts until tiring in the final sixteenth of a mile of the Blue Grass Stakes last time out. Expected member of the early pace discussion has yet to win beyond 1-1/16 miles. Son of champion sprinter Speightstown, who has sired 10F Travers and Jockey Club Gold Cup winners.
Santa Anita Derby runner-up has a Triple Crown legacy pedigree. Dam, Puca, already produced 2023 Kentucky Derby winner Mage and 2024 Belmont Stakes winner Dornoch. Did not win for the first time until a Valentine's Day maiden race in his third start, but has improved rapidly. Shirreffs orchestrated 50-1 Giacomo to upset the 2005 Kentucky Derby and managed the legendary mare Zenyatta.
The 2024 Champion 2-Year-Old Male saw his 3-race winning streak snapped when tiring to fourth last out in the Santa Anita Derby. Committed front-runner's 2 losses have come when forced out of his comfort zone. Jockey-Trainer teamed to win 2010 Preakness (Lookin At Lucky). Sire responsible for 2020-'21 Derby winners Authentic and Mandaloun. 21 Champion 2YOs have won the Derby, most recently Nyquist (2016).
Florida Derby and Fountain of Youth third-place finisher has been a consistent performer from distances ranging from 5 to 9 furlongs. Made the lead in both Gulfstream signature races at some stage only to come up short in the stretch. 6 Florida-breds have won the Kentucky Derby, but not since Silver Charm in 1997.
Late-running, 15-1 upsetter of Turfway's Jeff Ruby has uncorked wild late rallies to win his last 2 starts on the synthetic surface in Northern Kentucky. The Derby will be his first attempt on dirt. Turfway Park leading jockey Machado lands his first Derby mount. Owner-breeder Juddmonte Farm won January's Lecomte with Disco Time, who has since been sidelined, and got here instead with this late bloomer.
Wire-to-wire winner of the Wood Memorial in New York, this California-based colt arguably leaped from third string to first team for Baffert in that performance. Son of 2020 Derby winner Authentic has done his best running on the lead and should be expected to be part of the early pace. Seeks to become first Wood winner to wear the roses since Fusaichi Pegasus (2000) and first alum of that race since Funny Cide (2003).
Romping winner of the Virginia Derby in mid-March for 4-time Kentucky Derby-winning trainer Lukas, who is just a few months shy of his 90th birthday. Lost his first 5 starts, including 3 at Churchill Downs. This is a son of 2018 Triple Crown winner Justify who could contend for the early lead.
Japanese-based colt most recently won the UAE Derby in Dubai by a nose. Back home, he twice finished behind expected Kentucky Derby rival Luxor Cafe (nose, 3-1/4 length margins). Sire (father) Drefong was a Champion Sprinter in the US.
Japanese-based colt has been on a tear winning 4 in a row and teams with world-renowned Brazilian jockey Moreira for his first Kentucky Derby mount. Son of 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah has an impressive late explosion.-- Photo Courtesy: Yuki Shimono // Kentuckyderby.com
The Kentucky Derby Future Wager betting favorite rides a 4-race winning streak over 3 different Southern California surfaces, most recently the Santa Anita Derby. This will be his first true road trip for Preakness-winning trainer McCarthy, who seeks his first Derby. Son of 2007 Derby third-place finisher and Preakness winner Curlin has been a strong finisher from stalking positions and has yet to lose at a mile or longer.
Nose winner of the Blue Grass at Keeneland in the final jump to nab East Avenue, he completed an up-and-down spring on a positive note. Holy Bull winner was disappointing fourth in the Fountain of Youth as the favorite before exiting Florida. Debuted for a $150,000 claiming tag last October at Keeneland but has earned just shy of $1M. Trainer Wilkes seeks first Derby, but was assistant for Unbridled (1990) and Street Sense (2007). This gelding is a great-grandson to Unbridled.
Wood Memorial runner-up is the least experienced member of this year's field with only 3 starts, though a resume similar to '23 Derby winner Mage. Sire Curlin was third in the 2007 Run for the Roses before winning the Preakness. Wide trip in the Wood Memorial when chasing loose-leading Rodriguez. Jockey-Trainer teamed to win '17 Derby (Always Dreaming).
Runner-up on Turfway's synthetic surface in the Jeff Ruby, this son of Breeders' Cup Mile (turf) winner Karakontie has never raced on a dirt surface. Trainer Beckman made his Derby debut last year (Honor Marie, 8th) and jockey Ramos gets his first Derby mount.
Potential Derby pacemaker has been wildly inconsistent, but his nose runner-up in the Blue Grass Stakes last time got him back in the Derby picture after a mystifyingly poor 3YO debut in New Orleans. Son of 2002 Derby fourth-place finisher Medaglia d'Oro, who is best known as a sire for 2009 Kentucky Oaks-Preakness winner Rachel Alexandra.
Although winless in 7 starts (known as a 'maiden' until a horse wins a race), the Arkansas Derby runner-up earned his way to Louisville with a closing kick from deep in the pack. Renowned trainer & jockey arguably both the 'best to never win a Derby' among their active peers. Son of 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah has Derby runner-ups as maternal & paternal grandparents. Last maiden to win the Derby was Broker's Tip (1933).
Leads all '25 Kentucky Derby prospects in career earnings ($1.5M) on the strength of victories in the Louisiana Derby most recently and last September's rich Juvenile Mile at Kentucky Downs on turf. Late-runner has second and third-place finishes in Churchill Downs stakes on his ledger. Son of 2020 Belmont winner and Kentucky Derby runner-up Tiz the Law. All-time North American wins leader Asmussen aims for his first Derby training score.
Virginia Derby runner-up managed only a fifth-place finish in his Blue Grass Stakes follow-up bid. Trainer McPeek won last year's Kentucky Derby with Mystik Dan (last trainer to win back-to-back was Bob Baffert in 1997-1998). Sire Blame beat the previously unbeaten Zenyatta over 1-1/4 miles at Churchill in the 2010 Breeders' Cup Classic.
Mid-South star emerged from the small tracks in Louisiana to become a horse-of-a-lifetime for trainer Briley. Oaklawn's Rebel winner and Arkansas Derby third-place finisher has earned more purse money than Briley's combined first 15 years of his career, which began in 1991. Coal Battle also has stakes wins at Evangeline Downs, Delta Downs & Remington Park as a regional favorite. First Kentucky Derby for trainer and jockey.
Deep-closing winner of the Arkansas Derby made 4 starts at Oaklawn this winter and saved his best for last after some troubled trips. Preakness and Belmont-winning trainer Casse seeks his first Kentucky Derby score. Struggled in 3 starts at Churchill Downs as a 2YO, including a 5+ length defeat to Derby rival Sovereignty among those. $1.2M colt by super sire Tapit looks to give that one his elusive first Derby winner.
Signalled his Derby candidacy in October at Churchill Downs with a Street Sense victory over eventual Louisiana Derby winner Tiztastic and eventual Arkansas Derby winner Sandman. Scored Gulfstream's Fountain of Youth in his 3YO return and was runner-up as favorite in the Florida Derby most recently. Owner Godolphin has won the world's biggest races, and seeks its first Derby (also with East Avenue). Jockey Alvarado missed the Florida Derby with a shoulder injury.
Rags to riches chance for this $2,500 yearling purchase who exits runner-up bids in the Risen Star and Louisiana Derby at Fair Grounds (43-1, 10-1 odds). First Derby starter for trainer West, while jockey Loverberry nearly captured the 2023 roses with runner-up Two Phil's. Could become least-expensive Derby-winning auction buy since Canonero II (1971), who cost just $1,200.
Tampa Bay Derby winner had crossed the wire first or second in all 5 starts until tiring in the final sixteenth of a mile of the Blue Grass Stakes last time out. Expected member of the early pace discussion has yet to win beyond 1-1/16 miles. Son of champion sprinter Speightstown, who has sired 10F Travers and Jockey Club Gold Cup winners.
Santa Anita Derby runner-up has a Triple Crown legacy pedigree. Dam, Puca, already produced 2023 Kentucky Derby winner Mage and 2024 Belmont Stakes winner Dornoch. Did not win for the first time until a Valentine's Day maiden race in his third start, but has improved rapidly. Shirreffs orchestrated 50-1 Giacomo to upset the 2005 Kentucky Derby and managed the legendary mare Zenyatta.
The 2024 Champion 2-Year-Old Male saw his 3-race winning streak snapped when tiring to fourth last out in the Santa Anita Derby. Committed front-runner's 2 losses have come when forced out of his comfort zone. Jockey-Trainer teamed to win 2010 Preakness (Lookin At Lucky). Sire responsible for 2020-'21 Derby winners Authentic and Mandaloun. 21 Champion 2YOs have won the Derby, most recently Nyquist (2016).
Florida Derby and Fountain of Youth third-place finisher has been a consistent performer from distances ranging from 5 to 9 furlongs. Made the lead in both Gulfstream signature races at some stage only to come up short in the stretch. 6 Florida-breds have won the Kentucky Derby, but not since Silver Charm in 1997.
Late-running, 15-1 upsetter of Turfway's Jeff Ruby has uncorked wild late rallies to win his last 2 starts on the synthetic surface in Northern Kentucky. The Derby will be his first attempt on dirt. Turfway Park leading jockey Machado lands his first Derby mount. Owner-breeder Juddmonte Farm won January's Lecomte with Disco Time, who has since been sidelined, and got here instead with this late bloomer.
Wire-to-wire winner of the Wood Memorial in New York, this California-based colt arguably leaped from third string to first team for Baffert in that performance. Son of 2020 Derby winner Authentic has done his best running on the lead and should be expected to be part of the early pace. Seeks to become first Wood winner to wear the roses since Fusaichi Pegasus (2000) and first alum of that race since Funny Cide (2003).
Romping winner of the Virginia Derby in mid-March for 4-time Kentucky Derby-winning trainer Lukas, who is just a few months shy of his 90th birthday. Lost his first 5 starts, including 3 at Churchill Downs. This is a son of 2018 Triple Crown winner Justify who could contend for the early lead.
Japanese-based colt most recently won the UAE Derby in Dubai by a nose. Back home, he twice finished behind expected Kentucky Derby rival Luxor Cafe (nose, 3-1/4 length margins). Sire (father) Drefong was a Champion Sprinter in the US.
Japanese-based colt has been on a tear winning 4 in a row and teams with world-renowned Brazilian jockey Moreira for his first Kentucky Derby mount. Son of 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah has an impressive late explosion.-- Photo Courtesy: Yuki Shimono // Kentuckyderby.com
The Kentucky Derby Future Wager betting favorite rides a 4-race winning streak over 3 different Southern California surfaces, most recently the Santa Anita Derby. This will be his first true road trip for Preakness-winning trainer McCarthy, who seeks his first Derby. Son of 2007 Derby third-place finisher and Preakness winner Curlin has been a strong finisher from stalking positions and has yet to lose at a mile or longer.
Nose winner of the Blue Grass at Keeneland in the final jump to nab East Avenue, he completed an up-and-down spring on a positive note. Holy Bull winner was disappointing fourth in the Fountain of Youth as the favorite before exiting Florida. Debuted for a $150,000 claiming tag last October at Keeneland but has earned just shy of $1M. Trainer Wilkes seeks first Derby, but was assistant for Unbridled (1990) and Street Sense (2007). This gelding is a great-grandson to Unbridled.
Wood Memorial runner-up is the least experienced member of this year's field with only 3 starts, though a resume similar to '23 Derby winner Mage. Sire Curlin was third in the 2007 Run for the Roses before winning the Preakness. Wide trip in the Wood Memorial when chasing loose-leading Rodriguez. Jockey-Trainer teamed to win '17 Derby (Always Dreaming).
Runner-up on Turfway's synthetic surface in the Jeff Ruby, this son of Breeders' Cup Mile (turf) winner Karakontie has never raced on a dirt surface. Trainer Beckman made his Derby debut last year (Honor Marie, 8th) and jockey Ramos gets his first Derby mount.
Potential Derby pacemaker has been wildly inconsistent, but his nose runner-up in the Blue Grass Stakes last time got him back in the Derby picture after a mystifyingly poor 3YO debut in New Orleans. Son of 2002 Derby fourth-place finisher Medaglia d'Oro, who is best known as a sire for 2009 Kentucky Oaks-Preakness winner Rachel Alexandra.
Although winless in 7 starts (known as a 'maiden' until a horse wins a race), the Arkansas Derby runner-up earned his way to Louisville with a closing kick from deep in the pack. Renowned trainer & jockey arguably both the 'best to never win a Derby' among their active peers. Son of 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah has Derby runner-ups as maternal & paternal grandparents. Last maiden to win the Derby was Broker's Tip (1933).
Leads all '25 Kentucky Derby prospects in career earnings ($1.5M) on the strength of victories in the Louisiana Derby most recently and last September's rich Juvenile Mile at Kentucky Downs on turf. Late-runner has second and third-place finishes in Churchill Downs stakes on his ledger. Son of 2020 Belmont winner and Kentucky Derby runner-up Tiz the Law. All-time North American wins leader Asmussen aims for his first Derby training score.
Virginia Derby runner-up managed only a fifth-place finish in his Blue Grass Stakes follow-up bid. Trainer McPeek won last year's Kentucky Derby with Mystik Dan (last trainer to win back-to-back was Bob Baffert in 1997-1998). Sire Blame beat the previously unbeaten Zenyatta over 1-1/4 miles at Churchill in the 2010 Breeders' Cup Classic.
Mid-South star emerged from the small tracks in Louisiana to become a horse-of-a-lifetime for trainer Briley. Oaklawn's Rebel winner and Arkansas Derby third-place finisher has earned more purse money than Briley's combined first 15 years of his career, which began in 1991. Coal Battle also has stakes wins at Evangeline Downs, Delta Downs & Remington Park as a regional favorite. First Kentucky Derby for trainer and jockey.
Deep-closing winner of the Arkansas Derby made 4 starts at Oaklawn this winter and saved his best for last after some troubled trips. Preakness and Belmont-winning trainer Casse seeks his first Kentucky Derby score. Struggled in 3 starts at Churchill Downs as a 2YO, including a 5+ length defeat to Derby rival Sovereignty among those. $1.2M colt by super sire Tapit looks to give that one his elusive first Derby winner.
Signalled his Derby candidacy in October at Churchill Downs with a Street Sense victory over eventual Louisiana Derby winner Tiztastic and eventual Arkansas Derby winner Sandman. Scored Gulfstream's Fountain of Youth in his 3YO return and was runner-up as favorite in the Florida Derby most recently. Owner Godolphin has won the world's biggest races, and seeks its first Derby (also with East Avenue). Jockey Alvarado missed the Florida Derby with a shoulder injury.
Rags to riches chance for this $2,500 yearling purchase who exits runner-up bids in the Risen Star and Louisiana Derby at Fair Grounds (43-1, 10-1 odds). First Derby starter for trainer West, while jockey Loverberry nearly captured the 2023 roses with runner-up Two Phil's. Could become least-expensive Derby-winning auction buy since Canonero II (1971), who cost just $1,200.
Tampa Bay Derby winner had crossed the wire first or second in all 5 starts until tiring in the final sixteenth of a mile of the Blue Grass Stakes last time out. Expected member of the early pace discussion has yet to win beyond 1-1/16 miles. Son of champion sprinter Speightstown, who has sired 10F Travers and Jockey Club Gold Cup winners.
Santa Anita Derby runner-up has a Triple Crown legacy pedigree. Dam, Puca, already produced 2023 Kentucky Derby winner Mage and 2024 Belmont Stakes winner Dornoch. Did not win for the first time until a Valentine's Day maiden race in his third start, but has improved rapidly. Shirreffs orchestrated 50-1 Giacomo to upset the 2005 Kentucky Derby and managed the legendary mare Zenyatta.
The 2024 Champion 2-Year-Old Male saw his 3-race winning streak snapped when tiring to fourth last out in the Santa Anita Derby. Committed front-runner's 2 losses have come when forced out of his comfort zone. Jockey-Trainer teamed to win 2010 Preakness (Lookin At Lucky). Sire responsible for 2020-'21 Derby winners Authentic and Mandaloun. 21 Champion 2YOs have won the Derby, most recently Nyquist (2016).
Florida Derby and Fountain of Youth third-place finisher has been a consistent performer from distances ranging from 5 to 9 furlongs. Made the lead in both Gulfstream signature races at some stage only to come up short in the stretch. 6 Florida-breds have won the Kentucky Derby, but not since Silver Charm in 1997.
Late-running, 15-1 upsetter of Turfway's Jeff Ruby has uncorked wild late rallies to win his last 2 starts on the synthetic surface in Northern Kentucky. The Derby will be his first attempt on dirt. Turfway Park leading jockey Machado lands his first Derby mount. Owner-breeder Juddmonte Farm won January's Lecomte with Disco Time, who has since been sidelined, and got here instead with this late bloomer.
Wire-to-wire winner of the Wood Memorial in New York, this California-based colt arguably leaped from third string to first team for Baffert in that performance. Son of 2020 Derby winner Authentic has done his best running on the lead and should be expected to be part of the early pace. Seeks to become first Wood winner to wear the roses since Fusaichi Pegasus (2000) and first alum of that race since Funny Cide (2003).
Romping winner of the Virginia Derby in mid-March for 4-time Kentucky Derby-winning trainer Lukas, who is just a few months shy of his 90th birthday. Lost his first 5 starts, including 3 at Churchill Downs. This is a son of 2018 Triple Crown winner Justify who could contend for the early lead.
Japanese-based colt most recently won the UAE Derby in Dubai by a nose. Back home, he twice finished behind expected Kentucky Derby rival Luxor Cafe (nose, 3-1/4 length margins). Sire (father) Drefong was a Champion Sprinter in the US.
Japanese-based colt has been on a tear winning 4 in a row and teams with world-renowned Brazilian jockey Moreira for his first Kentucky Derby mount. Son of 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah has an impressive late explosion.-- Photo Courtesy: Yuki Shimono // Kentuckyderby.com
The Kentucky Derby Future Wager betting favorite rides a 4-race winning streak over 3 different Southern California surfaces, most recently the Santa Anita Derby. This will be his first true road trip for Preakness-winning trainer McCarthy, who seeks his first Derby. Son of 2007 Derby third-place finisher and Preakness winner Curlin has been a strong finisher from stalking positions and has yet to lose at a mile or longer.
Nose winner of the Blue Grass at Keeneland in the final jump to nab East Avenue, he completed an up-and-down spring on a positive note. Holy Bull winner was disappointing fourth in the Fountain of Youth as the favorite before exiting Florida. Debuted for a $150,000 claiming tag last October at Keeneland but has earned just shy of $1M. Trainer Wilkes seeks first Derby, but was assistant for Unbridled (1990) and Street Sense (2007). This gelding is a great-grandson to Unbridled.
Wood Memorial runner-up is the least experienced member of this year's field with only 3 starts, though a resume similar to '23 Derby winner Mage. Sire Curlin was third in the 2007 Run for the Roses before winning the Preakness. Wide trip in the Wood Memorial when chasing loose-leading Rodriguez. Jockey-Trainer teamed to win '17 Derby (Always Dreaming).
Runner-up on Turfway's synthetic surface in the Jeff Ruby, this son of Breeders' Cup Mile (turf) winner Karakontie has never raced on a dirt surface. Trainer Beckman made his Derby debut last year (Honor Marie, 8th) and jockey Ramos gets his first Derby mount.
Potential Derby pacemaker has been wildly inconsistent, but his nose runner-up in the Blue Grass Stakes last time got him back in the Derby picture after a mystifyingly poor 3YO debut in New Orleans. Son of 2002 Derby fourth-place finisher Medaglia d'Oro, who is best known as a sire for 2009 Kentucky Oaks-Preakness winner Rachel Alexandra.
Although winless in 7 starts (known as a 'maiden' until a horse wins a race), the Arkansas Derby runner-up earned his way to Louisville with a closing kick from deep in the pack. Renowned trainer & jockey arguably both the 'best to never win a Derby' among their active peers. Son of 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah has Derby runner-ups as maternal & paternal grandparents. Last maiden to win the Derby was Broker's Tip (1933).
Leads all '25 Kentucky Derby prospects in career earnings ($1.5M) on the strength of victories in the Louisiana Derby most recently and last September's rich Juvenile Mile at Kentucky Downs on turf. Late-runner has second and third-place finishes in Churchill Downs stakes on his ledger. Son of 2020 Belmont winner and Kentucky Derby runner-up Tiz the Law. All-time North American wins leader Asmussen aims for his first Derby training score.
Virginia Derby runner-up managed only a fifth-place finish in his Blue Grass Stakes follow-up bid. Trainer McPeek won last year's Kentucky Derby with Mystik Dan (last trainer to win back-to-back was Bob Baffert in 1997-1998). Sire Blame beat the previously unbeaten Zenyatta over 1-1/4 miles at Churchill in the 2010 Breeders' Cup Classic.
Mid-South star emerged from the small tracks in Louisiana to become a horse-of-a-lifetime for trainer Briley. Oaklawn's Rebel winner and Arkansas Derby third-place finisher has earned more purse money than Briley's combined first 15 years of his career, which began in 1991. Coal Battle also has stakes wins at Evangeline Downs, Delta Downs & Remington Park as a regional favorite. First Kentucky Derby for trainer and jockey.
Deep-closing winner of the Arkansas Derby made 4 starts at Oaklawn this winter and saved his best for last after some troubled trips. Preakness and Belmont-winning trainer Casse seeks his first Kentucky Derby score. Struggled in 3 starts at Churchill Downs as a 2YO, including a 5+ length defeat to Derby rival Sovereignty among those. $1.2M colt by super sire Tapit looks to give that one his elusive first Derby winner.
Signalled his Derby candidacy in October at Churchill Downs with a Street Sense victory over eventual Louisiana Derby winner Tiztastic and eventual Arkansas Derby winner Sandman. Scored Gulfstream's Fountain of Youth in his 3YO return and was runner-up as favorite in the Florida Derby most recently. Owner Godolphin has won the world's biggest races, and seeks its first Derby (also with East Avenue). Jockey Alvarado missed the Florida Derby with a shoulder injury.
Rags to riches chance for this $2,500 yearling purchase who exits runner-up bids in the Risen Star and Louisiana Derby at Fair Grounds (43-1, 10-1 odds). First Derby starter for trainer West, while jockey Loverberry nearly captured the 2023 roses with runner-up Two Phil's. Could become least-expensive Derby-winning auction buy since Canonero II (1971), who cost just $1,200.
Tampa Bay Derby winner had crossed the wire first or second in all 5 starts until tiring in the final sixteenth of a mile of the Blue Grass Stakes last time out. Expected member of the early pace discussion has yet to win beyond 1-1/16 miles. Son of champion sprinter Speightstown, who has sired 10F Travers and Jockey Club Gold Cup winners.
Santa Anita Derby runner-up has a Triple Crown legacy pedigree. Dam, Puca, already produced 2023 Kentucky Derby winner Mage and 2024 Belmont Stakes winner Dornoch. Did not win for the first time until a Valentine's Day maiden race in his third start, but has improved rapidly. Shirreffs orchestrated 50-1 Giacomo to upset the 2005 Kentucky Derby and managed the legendary mare Zenyatta.
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The biggest race of the year is nearly upon us and horseplayers are searching for edges as we approach post time for the 151st Kentucky Derby. Many will use speed figures, track biases, workouts, and trip notes to hopefully help lead them to winning wagers. These are all quality tools that make up part of my handicapping, but analyzing the quality and depth of the Derby qualifiers is as important as any. Here are the preps I am highest on heading into the 2025 Run for the Roses.
The Florida Derby winner has been a serious racehorse the last few years, but White Abarrio, Forte and Fierceness all failed to be at their best in Louisville by the first Saturday in May. Whether that changes this year remains to be seen, but the biggest 3YO event at Gulfstream Park in 2025 takes this year’s top spot as best prep.
Fountain of Youth winner Sovereignty went into the gates in late March as the 7-5-favorite, but eventual winner Tappan Street took plenty of live support as well. Much like is expected in the Kentucky Derby, Tappan Street settled into a mid-pack spot while Sovereignty found his customary position towards the back. In the end, getting the jump proved to be the difference in the 2025 Florida Derby with the top two stamping themselves as serious threats to capture the roses. Add to that some quality depth with Neoequos and potential Pat Day Mile favorite Madaket Road picking up the minor awards and you have a relatively easy choice for the #1 spot.
The Santa Anita Derby winner has not won right back in the Kentucky Derby since 2018 when Justify bested Bolt d’Oro by 3 lengths at “The Great Race Place” before heading to Louisville to win the first leg of the Triple Crown over the off going. There is a huge shot for that to change in 2025.
Journalism is almost certain to enter the starting gates as the favorite after crossing the wire first for the fourth straight time in this year’s Santa Anita Derby. The Michael McCarthy trainee overcame some traffic issues along the inside to get the best of Baeza on April 5 in Arcadia. He is absolutely a deserving favorite. The depth in this group is questionable at this point, but up-and-coming Baeza could prove to be one of the top 3YOs in this crop. The issue is he currently does not have enough Derby qualifying points so he may have to prove it in Baltimore. Citizen Bull and Barnes were considered serious players most of the winter and were given serious shots of springing minor upsets, but disappointed badly in their final prep. Citizen Bull will still compete in Louisville (but as a big price), while Barnes did not qualify.
Street Sense won one of the better Kentucky Derby editions this century (2007), but the race named for him at Churchill Downs has been far from a key 2YO race on the Road to the Derby since it was inaugurated in 2013. Sure, 2022 winner Two Phil’s was a serious colt that was best in the Derby the following May when finishing second, but outside of that the quality of this 8.5-furlong event in late October unsurprisingly has been modest. That was definitely not the case in 2024.
Despite entering his first graded stakes race with an 0-for-2 record, the public sent Sovereignty off the 7-5-favorite with a pair of other off-the-pace runners in Tiztastic and Sandman both going off at 5-1. The race definitely set up for closers, but it was the first time we got to see the future Louisiana Derby, Arkansas Derby and Fountain of Youth winners all try two turns. In the end it was Sovereignty proving much the best, but the quality of this group definitely qualifies as the biggest 2025 surprise!
In 2014, California Chrome took on open company competition over the main track for the first time in the San Felipe and won going away before his victories in the Santa Anita Derby, Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes. Journalism will hope to follow the popular California-bred’s path in 2025.
Barnes entered this year’s San Felipe as the heavy 2-5 favorite off an easy win in the San Vicente and ran his race, but it was second choice Journalism that stole the show. The $825,000 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga August 2023 purchase had looked good winning the Los Alamitos Futurity to end his 2YO season, but took a huge step forward with arguably the best effort we saw throughout this year’s Road to the Kentucky Derby. Barnes was not the same in his next start, but third-place finisher Rodriguez put himself into the mix with a strong wire-to-wire win in the Wood Memorial in his follow-up start. If Barnes had moved forward after this race at all, the 2025 San Felipe would have had a strong case for the #1 spot.
Since 1995 when the race changed from the Preview Stakes to the Holy Bull to recognize the Hall of Fame thoroughbred, only Barbaro (2006) has won this race and gone on to win the Kentucky Derby. Trainer Ian Wilkes hopes that changes in 2025.
Tappan Street was sent off as the favorite in his first attempt against winners and the soon-to-be Florida Derby winner ran well in defeat, but it was Burnham Square who took advantage of a favorable voyage to win going away in the end. The addition of blinkers in his start before took the son of Liam’s Map’s game to a new level, giving Wilkes a serious contender with just his second Kentucky Derby starter. The depth of this field, like most, was questionable; but no doubt the top-two finishers are amongst those with serious chances in this year’s Run for the Roses.
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The 1/ST BET 'Machine' analyzes millions of data points over more than 50 important handicapping factors for each race to create an exclusive handicapping outcome driven by big data.
The 1/ST BET 'Machine' analyzes millions of data points over more than 50 important handicapping factors for each race to create an exclusive handicapping outcome driven by big data.
SCENE SETTER: Trainer Brad Cox’s arsenal for this year’s Kentucky Oaks was so deep that unbeaten Champion 2-Year-Old Filly Immersive’s injury departure this winter has almost been forgotten. The undefeated Medagalia d’Oro-Wedding Toast filly GOOD CHEER has been both something borrowed and something new, taking the torch and raising her glass to six consecutive victories. Her Kentucky Oaks opposition includes her 2024 Golden Rod Stakes pursuer QUIETSIDE, who has been making noise this season at Oaklawn. Once-beaten TENMA has dominated the Santa Anita scene, while Keeneland’s Ashland duo of LA CARA and TAKE CHARGE MILADY provide an early-late spike to the punch bowl. Many consider this GOOD CHEER’s day to shine, but don’t tell that to the wedding crashers.
NOTES:
Asmussen’s Missing Link
Trainer Steve Asmussen has won more races than anyone in North American history, including the Preakness and Belmont Stakes. But he holds the Kentucky Derby’s most dubious record of most starts (26) without a victory. He’ll have Tiztastic and Publisher trying to end the run that has eluded him since debuting in 2001.
Derby’s Closest Shaves
The 2024 nose victory by Mystik Dan over Sierra Leone was the ninth time the Kentucky Derby has been decided by the narrowest of margins. It was the first nose finish since Grindstone nipped Cavonnier in the final jump of the 1996 Derby.
SCENE SETTER: Bob Baffert’s return from a 3-year Churchill Downs and Kentucky Derby ban merits headlines, given his historical dominance in the race and fall from glory when Medina Spirit was disqualified from the 2021 roses for violating medication rules. He’s back with a capable pair in Champion 2-Year-Old CITIZEN BULL and Wood Memorial winner RODRIGUEZ. But the race’s equine headliner no doubt will be JOURNALISM, winner of 4 straight races, including a long line of Baffert dragons slayed in the Los Al Futurity, San Felipe and Santa Anita Derby. Can he become the Derby’s first favorite to deliver since Justify in 2018? Japan came within two noses of the roses a year ago, thanks to Forever Young. LUXOR CAFÉ and ADMIRE DAYTONA will try to close that narrowing international gap.
NOTES:
Jockey to win back-to-back: Victor Espinoza (2014 California Chrome, 2015 American Pharoah)
Trainer to win back-to-back: Bob Baffert (1997 Silver Charm, 1998 Real Quiet)
Jockey to win Derby debut: Sonny Leon (2022 Rich Strike)
Trainer to win Derby debut: Eric Reed (2022 Rich Strike)
Jockey to win Oaks & Derby same year: Brian Hernandez Jr. (2024 Thorpedo Anna & Mystik Dan)
Trainer to win Oaks & Derby same year: Kenny McPeek (2024 Thorpedo Anna & Mystik Dan)
Female trainer to compete: Victoria Oliver (2021 Hidden Stash, 13th by DQ)
Winner to close from more than 10 lengths back: Mage (2023); previously Rich Strike (2022); previously Orb (2013)
May Showers Bring Roses
Churchill Downs has felt some precipitation on 71 of 150 Kentucky Derby Days all-time (47%), but the track has been labeled fast 105 times (70%). We haven’t had an off-track designation since 2019.
More Means More?
Despite a trend by most of the nation’s largest stables for less racing leading up to the Kentucky Derby, eight straight Derby winners have had either 3 or 4 preps during their 3-year-old campaigns. Nyquist (2016) was the last 2-prep success.
25th Anniversary: Fusaichi Pegasus
Kentucky Derby favorites had blanked for the entire decade of the 1980s and 1990s. A new millennium in 2000 brought order to the Kentucky Derby as Fusaichi Pegasus delivered a popular score at 2-1 odds. Neil Drysdale trained the highly animated colt who provided many anxious morning moments for his exercise rider Derby Week but was on his manners gameday.
SCENE SETTER: As many as six major prep-race pacemakers this season could clash in the Kentucky Derby. They include OWEN ALMIGHTY (Tampa Bay Derby), EAST AVENUE (Blue Grass), RODRIGUEZ (Wood Memorial), CITIZEN BULL (Santa Anita Derby), ADMIRE DAYTONA (UAE Derby) and NEOEQUOS (Fountain of Youth). In addition, AMERICAN PROMISE (Virginia Derby) blazed nearly in front throughout and turns up the heat as a potential seventh. Only RODRIGUEZ, ADMIRE DAYTONA and AMERICAN PROMISE successfully carried their speed in the prelims over shorter distances, giving handicappers a sense that this year’s group of frontrunners could serve more as tablesetters than upsetters.
NOTES:
Arkansas Derby alum to win: Mystik Dan (2024)
Blue Grass alum to win: Street Sense (2007)
Florida Derby alum to win: Mage (2023)
Louisiana Derby alum to win: Mandaloun (2021)
Santa Anita Derby alum to win: Authentic (2020)
Jeff Ruby alum to win: Rich Strike (2022)
Wood Memorial alum to win: Funny Cide (2003)
Japan Closes in on the Roses
Forever Young’s third-place finish by two noses on the wire in last year’s Derby was the best for horses coming to Louisville from Japan. Fifth-place finisher TO Password underscored their progress. Previous Japanese bids were: Ski Captain (14th, 1995), Lani (9th, 2016), Master Fencer (6th, 2019), Crown Pride (13th, 2022), Mandarin Hero (12th, 2023), Derma Sotogake (6th, 2023).
Keeping the Trophy Home
Kentucky-based trainers have officially won 3 of the last 4 Kentucky Derbies – Kenny McPeek (Mystik Dan, 2024), Eric Reed (Rich Strike, 2022) and Brad Cox (Mandaloun, 2021 via DQ). Florida’s Gustavo Delgado split them up with Mage in 2023.
Missed It by That Much
Keeneland’s Blue Grass winner has not added the Kentucky Derby since Strike the Gold in 1991. Sierra Leone came within a nose as runner-up last year of ending that almost unfathomable, now 34-year drought. Street Sense (2007) was the last Blue Grass alumnus to wear the roses.
SCENE SETTER: Chaos is defined as a state of total confusion with no order. If there’s a day on the calendar it’s not only expected, but welcomed, it’s the first Saturday in May. From Giacomo (2005) and Mine That Bird (2009) at 50-1 to Country House (2019) at 65-1 to Rich Strike (2022) at 80-1 odds, recent history braces you for anything. There’s no anatomy of a longshot, per se, but common themes are late runners and forgiveness. These longshot Derby winners rallied from far back and erased memories of prep race losses that kept them off the public radar. The mold obviously remains brittle for a reason, but 2025 candidates from far back and looking to improve off prep defeats include names like PUBLISHER, CHUNK OF GOLD and FLYING MOHAWK if chaos reappears in Louisville.
NOTES:
Fierceness’ Flop the Exception
Not since Dialed In finished eighth in 2011 had a Kentucky Derby favorite failed to miss the superfecta. But last year’s complete no-show from 16th-place finisher / favorite Fierceness was the worst performance by a chalk in the race’s history.
Step Right Up
28 jockeys have won the Kentucky Derby in their first career attempts, but only 3 since 1980. Stewart Elliott (Smarty Jones, 2004), Mario Gutierrez (I’ll Have Another, 2012) and Sonny Leon (Rich Strike, 2022) make up that select list.
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