March 15 has turned out to be a massive day of carryovers at 1/ST Racing tracks. Not only are there are carryovers in both two track retail only wagers, a carryover in Santa Anita Park’s traditional $2 Pick 6, and a Super High-5 carryover of over $10k in Florida, but there is huge pool expected for a mandatory payout in Gulfstream Park’s Rainbow 6. Coming into this afternoon there is over $214k of carryover money with track officials estimating today’s pool at $2M. The sequence kicks off at 2:49 PM eastern.
Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.
Race 5:
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 1 Mom’s Martini
Backups: 2 Phoenix of Wit; 3 Cheekiest
Forecast: Things get rolling with this beaten claimer at 1 1/16-miles over the turf where I am expecting an honest pace. This bodes well for #1 Mom’s Martini. The daughter of Liam’s Map moves back to the turf after being caught wide in a starter over the all-weather on February 12. She has had far more success in terms of wins over the synth, but finished well two-back over this course. She should get the right trip under Tyler Gaffalione.
Race 6:
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 9 Pharoah’s Affair; 7 Joyful Justice; 4 Miss Complicated
Backups: None
Forecast: #7 Joyful Justice was made the 5-2-ML favorite in this MSW for 3YO fillies at 7-furlongs over the main track. The Juddmote homebred was an underwhelming third on debut and is almost certain to get over bet, but does not meet the strongest group. I will include her, as well as a pair of others. First-time starter #9 Pharoah’s Affair intrigues. The Ontario-bred is a three-quarters sister to 2021 Gotham Stakes winner Weyburn and attracts Luis Saez. She appears live at double-digits to kick off her career.
Race 7:
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 4 Bembridge Ledge; 1 Pretty Shy
Backups: 6 Acheron; 2 American Popstar
Forecast: I had a hard time getting past the logicals in this non-winners of two event over the grass, but do prefer a pair of fillies to 3-1-ML favorite #2 American Popstar. #4 Bembridge Lane should make the lead. She did two-back in Tampa and lost by a nose. Luis Saez was aboard her lone victory and is back for the first time since. #1 Pretty Shy also makes her second start of the form cycle. She chased a lone speed winner to the wire in her 2026 debut and should benefit from her inside draw.
Race 8:
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 3 Sound of the Beast; 6 Endrick
Backups: None
Forecast: I will go two-deep in this open $6250 claimer that lacks early speed. #3 Sound of the Beast could be the one to take advantage. The Florida-bred has been popular at the claim box of late. He was claimed out of his last race at this level by trainer Ronald Coy after finishing second at 6.5-furlongs. The son of Big Beast was beaten to the lead that day by the eventual winner, but should make the front here under jockey Edwin Gonzalez. If he is unable to shake loose early, I like the chances of 5-2-favorite #6 Endrick to run him down late. The 4YO gelding should appreciate getting off the inside and taking on lesser after setting the pace from his rail draw on February 14. The outside post should give Edgard Zayas options after the break.
Race 9:
Grade: B
Main Ticket: 7 Minty
Backups: None
Forecast: I will take a stand in this second-level allowance event at 7.5-furlongs over the grass with 7-2-second choice #7 Minty. The Mark Casse trainee has found a home going long evidenced by her big improvement since stretching out to a route of ground last year. She returned off a freshening on February 7 and put in a strong run to finish second beaten just a neck by gate-to-wire winner Wrigleyville. She won her only start over this course and should get a favorable voyage under jockey Dylan Davis.
Race 10:
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 9 Battle of Dover; 1 Corta Fuego; 2 Jim’s Hope; 7 Jayhawk
Backups:
Forecast: This open $20k claimer at two-turns over the grass is a challenging way to close things out. I will use more than a couple in a race where it is easy to see at least half the field finding their way to the wire first. #9 Battle of Dover deserves respect after overcoming being wide throughout in a similar spot on February 15. He will have to do likely to that again though given his outside draw making him hard to fully trust. That said, he is my lukewarm top selection to close the racing week out in Hallandale Beach.
.svg){kind=logo}
