Ron Nicoletti: Gulfstream $110K Carryover Pick 6 Analysis for Sun

Local handicapping guru Ron Nicoletti has your analysis for Sunday's mandatory payout in the Rainbow 6 at Gulfstream Park. It has a carryover of $110,621 and gets underway at 2:57 pm ET with the day's fifth race.

RACE 5: 2 NESHUME moves to the Laura Cazares barn via the claim and turns back to three-quarters of a mile after making a middle move to get the lead before fading to finish fifth at seven furlongs. The barn, 18% with new
claims, has leading jock Edgard Zayas named to ride. 3 ENDRICK is stepping up the competition after splashing through the mud to defeat $12,500 two lifetime claimers going seven furlongs. Note that the barn is 3 for 7 (43%) winning consecutive races. 6 AEGON TARGARYEN will drop into the maiden claiming ranks after with Lasix added after the interesting two-race campaign as a two-year old in which he was second in his maiden special weight debut on Tapeta and then sent into the state bred Juvenile Sprint where he came up empty. Gerald Bennett has go-to jock Jose Ferrer atop this intriguing possibility.

SELECTIONS: 2-3-6

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RACE 6: 12 RISK is a newly gelded son of Twirling Candy debuting for trainer Nolan Ramsey with the breeding needed to negotiate the mile distance and beyond. Miguel Vazquez rides the longshot special. SELECTIONS: 6-1-4 4 COACH KAIN is stretching out to a mile after the promising turf debut in which he finished second going 7 1/2 furlongs. Trainer Mark Casse, 20% with maidens making their second start, has Luca Panici in the saddle. 7 ESCAPE FROM HOME, a half-brother to stakes winner Ceci Valentina, is another trying a mile after closing to finish third behind Coach Kain last out. Jose Lopez rides for Angel Rodriguez.

SELECTIONS: 12-4-7 * BEST LONGSHOT PLAY *

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RACE 7: 8 GIMMIE SOME LUCK is stepping up to the next level after the three-year-old beat older horses when both breaking her maiden two starts back and following that with an $8,000 two lifetime score going 5 1/2 furlongs on the Tapeta last out. Gerald Bennett has Edwin Conzalez going for the hat trick. 4 DEMAR’S LEGACY is dropping and turning back after returning from the layoff to finish third vs $25,000 conditioned claimers going 5 1/2 furlongs on the all weather surface. Jose Morelos rides for Jose Castro. 6 CAP FERRAT is turning back to a sprint distance after following her $8,000 two lifetime victory at 5 1/2 furlongs with a set the pace second – as the odds-on choice - going around two turns on the Tapeta. Saffie 22% with the turnback move, has Edgard Zayas atop the probable off time favorite.

SELECTIONS: 8-4-6

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RACE 8: 6 LOVE ACTUALLY, an ultra-fast daughter of Caravaggio, is stepping up to face winners after totally dominating a field of special weight maidens going five furlongs on the turf. Joe Orseno has Edwin Gonzalez going for two in a row. 5 SUPER FREAKY GIRL is going back to the turf with the ideal stalking style needed to reel in what looks like a swift pace scenario that’s going to materialize, especially with Love Actually in the race. Carlos David has Reylu Gutierrez atop the daughter of Bucchero. 8 TRAVEL HAPPY is a consistent daughter of Gone Astray who loves the Tapeta but has run well in her two previous grass races. Her ability to stalk the sizzling pace expected can be her biggest asset.

SELECTIONS: 6-5-8

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RACE 9: 2 BATTLE OF DOVER moves to the Mark Passley barn via the claim and steps up after finishing third vs $8,000 conditioned claimers going this distance on the Tapeta. The barn, having a productive summer (14-3-2-2 – 21%), is one for four with recent claims. 7 DIXIE PREACH is turning back slightly after following the $12,500 two lifetime score at the distance with a third place finish vs this level of competition going a mile and a sixteenth on the Tapeta. Trainer Kathryn Davey has Jesus Rios returning on the consistent son of Mohaymen. 6 DREAMS OF MYFATHER moves to the Rachel Olmeda Lopez barn via the claim after drawing clear to wallop a field of $12,500 conditioned claimers going a mile on the dirt. The colt debuts on Tapeta with Jose Leon in the saddle.

SELECTIONS: 2-7-6

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RACE 10: THE WARRIOR’S PRIDE 6 REEF RUNNER was freshened after posting a string of frustrating defeats vs stakes caliber competition, including the third-place finish behind Extendo and next-out Harvey Pack Stakes winner Bring the Band Home on May 1st. Trainer David Fawkes readied him for the return with a bullet half mile drill on Tapeta. Aforementioned 8 EXTENDO is an interesting proposition because his only previous turf victory in 11 races was the score over Reef Runner during May. Joe Orseno has Edwin Conzalez quarterbacking the long awaited rematch. 4 ABIR CAMINOS (CHI), who was a sharp second on the turf to swift Xy Speed two races back, returns to the grass after failing to fire on the Tapeta. He's worth a flyer at a price.

SELECTIONS: 6-8-4 * BEST BET * /b>

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