The first of seven racing programs at Kentucky Downs kicks off the all-turf meeting on Thursday. I'll use some traditional handicapping as well as the Betmix Angler database to try an unearth some gems in the deep fields and competitive racing, based on successful past angles at Kentucky Downs.
Kentucky Downs | Race 2 | 1:58 pm ET
#2 Petronella (12-1 morning line odds) makes her career debut for trainer Brendan Walsh, who far and away has been the most successful conditioner with first-time starters the past 5 years at Kentucky Downs. He’s got 5 wins, 5 seconds 6 thirds from 25 rookies during that span and a whopping $2.00 ROI for every $1 bet. Win-place bet #2.
Kentucky Downs | Race 8 | 5:23 pm ET
#6 Mackinac (3-1 morning line favorite) looks like a highly reliable sort off a debut rallying second after a tardy start. Horse who beat him at Saratoga returned to win Bolton Landing Stakes next for Pletcher. Sire Twirling Candy is a strong 16% winner with a rocking $1.48 ROI for every $1 bet at Kentucky Downs over the past 5 years. Win bet #6.
Kentucky Downs | Race 11 | 7:05 pm ET
#4 Montador (8-1 morning line odds) was disqualified from victory at Colonial Downs and now gets to run against maidens again for more than double the purse. Extra distance suits. Trainer Mike Stidham has shown a flat-bet profit the past 5 years at Kentucky Downs and the Colonial shippers have as well. Win bet #4.
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