Each day during the 17-day Keeneland Fall Meet, I’ll spotlight the double-digit morning line prices that you’ll want to consider for your exotics plays. These are based on my top-3 choices in each race and will only appear if they’re in my mix and of significant odds.
A good day of price winners and exotics fillers Wednesday rolls into a Thursday with some chances to shine.
Race 2:
#7 Prince of Tides (15-1 ML) – Fast worker at local training center likely gets overlooked for small-time trainer, but sire Dialed In’s offspring relish Kee dirt. He’s posted 21% winners with a wild $1.72 ROI for every $1 bet over the past 3+ meets.
Race 4:
#3 Ides of Demarch (10-1 ML) – Deep closers at Prairie Meadows have absolutely no shot on that speed-crazy track, but capable trainer Kelli Martinez might get a fair shake to garner a share with plenty of pace here and a track that’s been pretty fair through 4 days.
Race 5:
#11 Fan’s Choice (20-1 ML) – Terrible race where field is 23: 0-1-1 combined, so class drop and 2 sharp works since her last start might be enough to wake up this Runhyappy filly for an underrated John Ennis barn.
Race 6:
#3 Lady Valor (20-1 ML) – Won her only local race last Fall and adds blinkers after idling late last time, a move that can help her punch. Hard to argue with 7-7 in the money and a win over the track. Tough race but helps spruce up the exactas if she can work into it late.
Race 10:
#11 Can’t Stop Willis (10-1 ML) – One of my best bets on the card should graduate in his second start since owner-trainer Steve Asmussen took over the controls. Overmatched when here in 2024, give me a Nyquist on this main track at 10-1 any day, much less in door-knocking maiden form.
#10 Tuxedo Park (30-1 ML) – Blinkers go on this gelding by Complexity, a sire whose offspring have won 25% on the Kee dirt over the past 3+ meets. She’s had plenty of issues missing time but working like she might fit with these at a big price.
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