Jeff Siegel: What You Need to Know - Santa Anita | Saturday, March 16, 2024

‍RACE 1

2-FORTY NINER GOLD
Degree of confidence: C+

•      Good debut speed before weakening when third facing similar.
•      Has a right to be fitter and stronger in his second career outing.  
•      Barn has solid stats with the second time starter angle.

Others to consider: 1-Billbernjoejohnick; 5-Antibes.


RACE 2

1-SWEET MILLIE
Degree of confidence: B

•      Returned off a long layoff to crush soft maidens up north.
•      Moving way up in class but catches a very modest group.
•      Fits on speed figures and has more upside than the others.

Others to consider: none.


RACE 3

4-LORD BULLINGDON
Degree of confidence: B+

•      Won the Eddie Logan Stakes smartly over course and distance.
•      Freshened since late December, shows solid recent workouts.  
•      Lack of pace may reduce race to a quarter mile dash for home.  

Others to consider: 5-Island Cruiser.


RACE 4

5-QUICK BROWN FOX
Degree of confidence: A

•      Debuting Justify filly from the multiple Grade-1 winner Bast.  
•      Strong, athletic, lengthy filly with plenty of scope and class.
•      Has outworked everything including older stakes type runners.

Others to consider: none.


RACE 5

8-CAN’T SLEEP
Degree of confidence:  B-

•      No lead change but was a stylish debut winner over local lawn.
•      Overcame a slow start and a wide trip to score with authority.
•      Catches a field with suspect front runners, can tag the leaders.  

Others to consider: 3-Quick Kate; 7-The Shushala.  


RACE 6

6-MATANZAS CREEK
Degree of confidence: B+

•      Exits a series of strong races and lands the cozy outside post.  
•      Very fast on figures and projects to enjoy a soft stalking trip.
•      Beaten choice last pair but ran winning races in both starts.  

Others to consider: 4-Hey Brother.


RACE 7

3-AMERICAN GLORY (GB)
Degree of confidence: B

•      No lead change but finished well in a solid U.S. debut.
•      Barn is terrific (24%) with the second off layoff angle.
•      Gets an extra furlong to work with and retains U. Rispoli.

Others to consider: 2-Bartholdy; 5-Indespensible, 6-Let Seamus Go.  


RACE 8

1-THE CHOSEN VRON
Degree of confidence: A

•      California-bred Horse of the Year faces soft open company.
•      Has won 10 of his last 11 starts; was fifth in the BC Sprint.  
•      Successful in eight of 10 career starts over the local dirt strip.  

Others to consider: none.


RACE 9

5-CARIBBEAN KING
Degree of confidence:  B+

•      Confidence building maiden win over course and distance.
•      Pace projects to be easy, should be the controlling speed.  
•      Earned a career top speed figure in his first off the claim.  

Others to consider: none.

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