Frank Carulli: Golden Gate Fields Pick 6 Analysis | Friday, April 14, 2023

Golden Gate Fields’ Jackpot Pick 6 carryover pool more than doubled last week, bringing the total to $19,723 for the 20-cent wager on the Friday, April 14 card. With two, six-horse fields early in the sequence, it probably will take a couple winning longshot selections along the way to be the lone winning ticket holder. Here’s a closer look with a suggested $57.60 play to follow:

GG 3rd Race (5:12 EST) -- SINGLE MERIT took some money but hit the gate at the start and raced 5-wide as a non-factor first out. His dam, Logical Single, was 10/4-5-1 and a proven allowance runner on Golden Gate’s synthetic track, so he is a must use at a good price to start the Pick 6. TIGER’S ARROW pressed and overtook next-out winner Rancho Red at the top of the stretch, only to get caught by Lookout Point, who repeated in a $12,500 claimer at 10-1 odds.
 
GG 4th Race (5:42 EST) -- RIVER’S BEHEST “showed a good late kick” to break his maiden on the class drop and cutback in distance. He’s a habitual slow starter but could pull off a repeat upset if he stays in contact with the leaders. DAD BOD set a solid pace before fading at 6F, now he adds blinkers and class drops off the claim. The third-place finisher in his last start went wire-to-wire at one mile under these conditions in his next start.

GG 5th Race (6:12 EST) -- UPSTART YANKEE, out-kicked by the 4-to-5 favorite at one mile on the synthetic track, returns to turf, where he was carried out 4-wide on the final turn, then rallied inside to finish second in his lone try in November. The winner of that grass race, Rio King, won his last three starts by a combined 9-1/2 lengths to surpass $84,000 in earnings. UPSTART YANKEE is today’s Pick 6 solo play.

GG 6th Race (6:42 EST) -- Four of the seven entrants exit MSW company. WAY TOO HOT and BRUNO B have speed and offer the best value on the morning line, so use those two on the ticket. EASTER TRIBUTE raced once in each of the last three years but has to be considered after a troubled third against Dad Bod, one of our picks in today’s fourth race.

GG 7th Race (7:12 EST) -- LIAM’S SECRET finished in the money in her last four starts at one mile for higher claiming tags. She kept a busy work tab since March for her first start in 10 months.  BIG FAME’s three-peat bid off a six-month layoff was foiled by stablemate Canthelpfallin (5-25, $64k), now she drops below her claim level for a high percentage barn. ST HELENA pressed a soft pace on the stretch-out to this distance but won in ‘determined’ fashion nonetheless in a race that produced an odds-on winner under these conditions.

GG 8th Race (7:42 EST) -- With three first-time starters, four class droppers and one starter first off the claim, go deep in the final leg in hopes that you’re still alive for the “Jackpot.”

Suggested 20-cent Ticket

GG 3rd Race: 1, 7
GG 4th Race: 5, 6
GG 5th Race: 1
GG 6th Race: 1, 2, 6
GG 7th Race: 3, 5, 8
GG 8th Race: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10

Cost: $57.60

continue reading