Betmix Stats: Saratoga Prep Locales, Longshots & Debuts

We powered up the vast Betmix database to provide insights how the races are won at Saratoga. The Angler program was queried over the past 3 seasons, 2018-2019, 2020.

Last Prep Locale | Win% (25+ starters)

Indiana Grand 4.8%

Arlington 6.9%

Woodbine 10.5%

Belmont 12.3%

Laurel/Pimlico 13.6%

Parx 13.9%

Gulfstream 14.8%

Delaware 15.5%

Santa Anita 16.1%

Ellis 17.0%

Churchill 17.3%

Monmouth 18.1%

 

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Longshot Looks | Win Rate, 121 Total Horses 10-1 or Higher Odds

Overall 3.5%

Maiden Claiming 3.1%

Maiden Special Weight 2.8%

Claiming: 3.3%

Allowance: 3.8%

Stakes: 4.0%

Wins By Class: 17 MCL, 21 CLM, 23 STK, 28 MSW, 32 ALW

Top Longshot Trainers: Charlton Baker (4-23, 17%), Linda Rice (4-34, 12%), Greg Sacco (2-6, 33%)

 

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First-Time Starters | Win % by Situation

Maiden Claiming 6.5%

Maiden Special Weight 10.6%

2-Year-Old MSW 10.3%

Elder MSW 12.5%

Dirt Debut 10.5%

Turf Debut 9.6%

2YO Dirt Debut 10.7%

2YO Turf Debut 9.7%

Sprint Debut 10.7%

Route Debut 8.6%

Top 5 Debut Trainers: Chad Brown (23 wins, 22%), Todd Pletcher (14 wins, 16%), Steve Asmussen (10 wins, 29%), Christophe Clement (6 wins, 17%), Wesley Ward (5 wins, 22%)

Favorites 33.3%

 

 

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