Tampa Bay Downs has a $26,569 late pick 5 carryover Wednesday that gets underway in Race 5 at 2:30 pm ET.
To assist your handicapping, selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections. You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app.
Tampa Bay Downs // Race 5 // maiden claiming
#14 AG Diamond (10-1 ML) / 28% Win Projection
#13 Gianno (9-2 ML) / 12% Win Projection
#10 Late Night Living (10-1 ML) / 10% Win Projection
#4 Aloha Man (10-1 ML) / 12% Win Projection
Comments: Stay loose here with a couple of the top Win Projections on the also-eligible list. Also note 7-5 morning line favorite #5 Eshan has just a 6% Win Projection pre-scratches, but that number likely rises to inclusion status if these higher Win Projections are out of the race.
Tampa Bay Downs // Race 6 // claiming
#7 Kaeko (9-5 ML) / 26% Win Projection
Comments: Solid single here #7 Kaeko is 12 points higher than any other rival, and the next group is all clustered at 14% (#1 Striking Chrome, #4 Aferdita, #8 Woods Hole). You strategically won’t want to be going to 4X the ticket cost by adding all of those.
Tampa Bay Downs // Race 7 // claiming
#11 Social Engagement (6-1 ML) / 15% Win Projection
#3 She Fled the Scene (9-2 ML) / 15% Win Projection
#4 Could Storage (8-1 ML) / 12% Win Projection
#2 French Franc (8-1 ML) / 10% Win Projection
#7 Sing Scat (3-1 ML) / 10% Win Projection
Comments: Wide-open affair by the algorithm with the top-5 Win Projections within 5 points and no clear separation. Use your budget here to spread.
Tampa Bay Downs // Race 8 // starter allowance
#5 Proverb (8-5 ML) / 26% Win Projection
Comments: Eerily similar on numbers to Race 6 with a 12-point advantage for the top pick #5 Proverb and then a trio of runners all at equal Win Projections underneath (#3 Passage of Lines, #7 Harpoon Harry, #9 Stronger Together). Take the single of the Saffie Joseph-trained morning line favorite.
Tampa Bay Downs // Race 9 // allowance
#9 Space Runner (3-1 ML) / 15% Win Projection
#10 Happy Runner (5-1 ML) / 13% Win Projection
#4 One Time Willard (10-1 ML) / 11% Win Projection
Comments: No massive separation here but only three earn double-digit Win Projections and there’s a big cluster in the 6-7% range that are inseparable. Either go extremely deep and consider “ALL” (given two singles prior that’s not a deal-breaker), or more likely settle on the top trio here.
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