1/ST BET AI Picks & Plonk Longshot: Prince of Wales at Fort Erie | Tuesday, September 12, 2023

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It’s the middle jewel of the Canadian Triple Crown today at Fort Erie when the Prince of Wales Stakes is renewed. The mile and three-sixteenths dirt test will be Race 10 of 11 on the card with a scheduled post time of 5:35 pm ET.

Here are the Win Projections for the Prince of Wales Stakes, exclusive to the 1/ST BET app. Handicapper Jeremy Plonk adds his comments on each contender.

#8 Paramount Prince // 21% W // 37% P // 49% S // 8-5 ML
King’s Plate winner looks for double and a third straight win since wiring the Plate Trial and the big one last out. Dirt will be question for son of turf sire Society’s Chairman.

#4 Stanley House // 19% W // 37% P // 48% S // 4-1 ML
Beaten favorite in Plate Trial acquitted himself well with rallying third in King’s Plate. Adds blinkers.

#12 Cool Kiss // 16% W // 27% P // 32% S // 8-1 ML
Wide draw for Plate Trial runner-up and King’s Plate seventh-place finisher. Will add blinkers while returning to dirt (finished second on dirt at Gulfstream in January). Some distance question by sprint influence Kantharos.

#10 Velocitor // 9% W // 17% P // 33% S // 6-1 ML
Outran 71-1 odds when fourth in King’s Plate and 45-1 offering when fourth in Plate Trial. Wired last year’s Coronation Futurity. Bred for dirt by Mor Spirit.

#6 Kaukokaipuu // 8% W // 12% P // 19% S // 12-1 ML
Tired badly to be 15th in King’s Plate when a well-backed 8-1. Distance question for Queenston Stakes winner, but more talented than he showed last time.

#7 Stayhonor Goodside // 5% W // 13% P // 24% S // 10-1 ML
Nine straight losses since debut win in May 2022, but knocking on the door of late for Mark Casse.

#11 Ottawa // 4% W // 16% P // 31% S // 20-1 ML
Two-start maiden for respected Josie Carroll barn has faced open company in both tries to date when a beaten favorite. Violence colt may improve on dirt, but a tough post.

#3 Twin City // 3% W // 7% P // 13% S // 12-1 ML
Adds blinkers after no-factor eighth in King’s Plate at 50-1. Won May’s King Corrie at 7 furlongs.

#9 Tiburon // 2% W // 9% P // 18% S // 15-1 ML
Good Magic colt bred for the dirt and adds blinkers after middling seventh in King’s Plate. Room to improve with only 3 starts on his ledger. ** Jeremy’s upset look**

#1 Armaline // 2% W // 6% P // 8% S // 30-1 ML
Fresh off the maiden claiming win and barn change to Norm McKnight.

#2 Morstachy’s // 2% W // 6% P // 8% S // 30-1 ML
14th of 17 in the King’s Plate at 107-1, but ran decent second on dirt at Gulfstream.

#5 Trinity Park // 2% W // 6% P // 8% S // 30-1 ML
Stakes debut after pair of off-the-board synthetic efforts in optional claimers.

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