Closing night of the Assiniboia Downs season brings a mandatory payout in the $142,232 carryover pick five. 1/ST BET and Xpressbet players can take advantage of the Bet $100, Get $20 promotion on tonight’s full card from Assiniboia Downs.
Here are the 1/ST BET app artificial intelligence top Win Projections for the sequence, which gets underway in Race 3 at 9:25 pm ET.
Assiniboia Downs | Race 3 | allowance/optional claiming
The algorithm points to its single right off the bat with #3 Lady Cop at 28% Win Projection, its highest in the sequence. The payoff blows up if the 7-5 morning line favorite is beaten, but the numbers say this is the most solid lean on the ticket and there are vulnerable favorites later in the sequence.
Assiniboia Downs | Race 4 | claiming
With 6-1 and 30-1 morning line prices among the top two Win Projections, #5 Oscar the Gulch (24%) and #3 Keystone Gulch (21%) bring immediate value. The numbers also suggest #6 Hasta La Vista Honey (15%) worth inclusion, especially considering 6-5 morning line favorite #1 Properly Connected only merits a 9% 1/ST BET AI chance and a massive underlay worth trying to beat.
Assiniboia Downs | Race 5 | claiming
Similar story here with the 9-5 ML favorite garnering just a 7% Win Projection, so let’s use the top trio of #4 Big Ticket (24%), #3 Justa Buster (16%) and #2 Franks Reload (16%). They line up as logical contenders under the chalk.
Assiniboia Downs | Race 6 | claiming
Just like the previous race, there’s a weak 9% Win Projection on the 8-5 morning line favorite, and three runners separate on the numbers. Take #3 M and M Girl (23%), #6 What Up Now J T (21%) and #8 Bluegrass Soul (15%).
Assiniboia Downs | Race 7 | claiming
The toughest race on the card by the algorithm, you’ll want to include as many as budget allows. Going four-deep gets you nearly to the 50% threshold in terms of Win Projections. Use #2 Itsthattime (16%), #7 Warrior’s Map (13%), #3 Last Renegade (10%) and #4 North Fork (10%) at a minimum in this wide-open field of 11. Those top four Win Projections give you a mix of two favorites and two longshots as well.
The Ticket
3 with 5,3,6 with 4,3,2 with 3,6,8 with 2,7,3,4 = $54 for $.50 play
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