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preakness stakes

may20//2023

pimlico race course

bal/md

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preakness & black-eyed susan

NEED-TO-KNOW

HOST SITE:
PIMLICO // BALTIMORE, MD
RACE DATE:
BLACK-EYED SUSAN: FRIDAY, MAY 19
PREAKNESS STAKES: SATURDAY, MAY 20
FIRST RACE POST TIME:
10:30AM ET - FRIDAY, MAY 19
10:30AM ET - SATURDAY, MAY 20
WATCH FREE AND WAGER:
ALL RACES ON 1/ST BET APP // XPRESSBET.COM
TELEVISION:
1:00 - 7:30PM ET CNBC & NBC // SATURDAY
WAGERING NOTES:
ADVANCED WAGERING // FRIDAY
PREAKNESS TOURNAMENT // SATURDAY // XPRESSBET.COM
BLACK-EYED SUSAN/PREAKNESS DAILY DOUBLE

PREAKNESS DAY sTAKES races lineup (ALL TIMES EST)

PREAKNESS STAKES
$1.5M
R13
7:01PM
1 3/16 MI
JAMES W. MURPHY
$100K
R12
5:51PM
1 MI (T)
MARYLAND SPRINT
$100K
R11
4:53PM
6 FUR
JIM MCKAY TURF SPRINT
$100K
R10
4:12PM
5 FUR (T)
SKIPAT
$100K
R9
3:31PM
6 FUR
DINNER PARTY
$200K
R8
2:49PM
1 1/8 MI (T)
GALORETTE
$100K
R7
2:08PM
1 1/16 MI (T)
CHICK LANG
$200K
R6
1:29PM
6 FUR
SIR BARTON
$100K
R4
12:16PM
1 1/16 MI

meet the

preakness stakes

contenders

NATIONAL TREASURE
1
STATS →
NATIONAL TREASURE
M/L
4-1
Career Record:
5: 1-1-2
Career Earnings:
$345,000
Past 5 Races:
4-3-3-2-1
Jockey:
John Velazquez
Trainer:
Bob Baffert
Color/Age:
BAY/3YO
Pedigree:
Quality Road-Treasure

Santa Anita Derby fourth-place finisher comes to Baltimore freshened since ealry April. Trainer Baffert's 7 Preakness wins are tied for most all-time. While he has not won since September at Del Mar, National Treasure has cashed checks in 3 Grade 1 stakes races.

CHASE THE CHAOS
2
STATS →
CHASE THE CHAOS
M/L
50-1
Career Record:
7: 3-2-1
Career Earnings:
$123,500
Past 5 Races:
7-1-1-2-3
Jockey:
Sheldon Russell
Trainer:
Ed Moger Jr.
Color/Age:
Bay/3YO
Pedigree:
Astern-Live the Moment

Earned an automatic Preakness qualifier when winning the El Camino Real Derby at Pimlico's sister track Golden Gate Fields in February. Rombauer used that same path in winning the 2021 Preakness. Strong finisher on turf and synthetic surfaces, he was well beaten and not a threat in the San Felipe at Santa Anita in his only try on dirt.

MAGE
3
STATS →
MAGE
M/L
8-5
Career Record:
4: 2-1-0
Career Earnings:
$2,107,200
Past 5 Races:
1-2-4-1
Jockey:
Javier Castellano
Trainer:
Gustavo Delgado
Color/Age:
Chestnut/3YO
Pedigree:
Good Magic-Puca

Kentucky Derby winner overcame tight timeframe to go from unstarted to Jan. 28 to wearing the roses in just his fourth lifetime start. Florida Derby runner-up continues to rise. Grandson of Preakness winner Curlin and Kentucky Derby/Preakness winner Big Brown.

COFFEEWITHCHRIS
4
STATS →
COFFEEWITHCHRIS
M/L
20-1
Career Record:
12: 3-3-2
Career Earnings:
$225,600
Past 5 Races:
5-2-1-2-1
Jockey:
Jaime Rodriguez
Trainer:
John Salzman Jr.
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown/3YO
Pedigree:
Ride On Curlin-Andiemac

Maryland's lone local rep in this year's Preakness won the Miracle Wood and Heft Stakes this winter. Exits a 5th-place finish, beaten less than 3 lengths, by Preakness return rival Perform in the Federico Tesio. Jockey Rodriguez tied the Laurel single-day record by riding 7 winners on March 17.

RED ROUTE ONE
5
STATS →
RED ROUTE ONE
M/L
10-1
Career Record:
Career Earnings:
$631,575
Past 5 Races:
1-6-2-2-4
Jockey:
Joel Rosario
Trainer:
Steve Asmussen
Color/Age:
Chestnut/3YO
Pedigree:
Gun Runner-Red House

Earned an automatic Preakness qualifier by winning Oaklawn's April 22 Bath House Row Stakes with his rallying style. Veteran of the entire Arkansas Derby trail was runner-up in the Southwest and Rebel before a disappointing sixth in Oaklawn's main event. Trainer Asmussen won the Preakness with Curlin (2007) and Rachel Alexandra (2009) and was second last year with Epicenter.

PERFORM
6
STATS →
PERFORM
M/L
15-1
Career Record:
7: 2-1-1
Career Earnings:
$130,956
Past 5 Races:
1-1-4-6-3
Jockey:
Feargal Lynch
Trainer:
Shug McGaughey
Color/Age:
BAY/3YO
Pedigree:
Good Magic-Jane Says

Won Laurel's Federico Tesio Stakes for an automatic berth into the Preakness, but owner had to pay $150,000 supplemental fee to compete since Perform was not nominated to the Triple Crown. Started career 0-5, but has won back-to-back races for McGaughey, who seeks his first Preakness win. He had 1989 runner-up Easy Goer and 2013 Kentucky Derby winner Orb among his 3 Preakness bids.

BLAZING SEVENS
7
STATS →
BLAZING SEVENS
M/L
6-1
Career Record:
6: 2-0-2
Career Earnings:
$565,250
Past 5 Races:
3-8-4-1-3
Jockey:
Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer:
Chad Brown
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown/3YO
Pedigree:
Good Magic-Trophy Girl

Grade 1 Champagne winner at age 2 most recently finished a distant third in the Grade 1 Blue Grass behind Tapit Trice & Verifying. Trainer Brown is a 2-time Preakness winner (2017, 2022). Brown finished third in last year's Derby with Zandon and second in 2018 with Good Magic, sire of Blazing Sevens.

FIRST MISSION
8
STATS →
SCRATCHED
FIRST MISSION
M/L
5-2
Career Record:
3: 2-1-0
Career Earnings:
$276,500
Past 5 Races:
1-1-2
Jockey:
Luis Saez
Trainer:
Brad Cox
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown/3YO
Pedigree:
Street Sense-Elude

Winner of Keeneland's Lexington Stakes is a late-bloomer who did not debut until February 18 and was not part of the Derby field. Son of 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense, who lost the photo by a head in the Preakness to Curlin. He's 2-for-2 since stretching out to route distances and the Preakness will be his farthest attempt by a full furlong.

NATIONAL TREASURE
STATS →
1
NATIONAL TREASURE
M/L
4-1
Career Record:
5: 1-1-2
Career Earnings:
$345,000
Past 5 Races:
4-3-3-2-1
Jockey:
John Velazquez
Trainer:
Bob Baffert
Color/Age:
BAY/3YO
Pedigree:
Quality Road-Treasure

Santa Anita Derby fourth-place finisher comes to Baltimore freshened since ealry April. Trainer Baffert's 7 Preakness wins are tied for most all-time. While he has not won since September at Del Mar, National Treasure has cashed checks in 3 Grade 1 stakes races.

CHASE THE CHAOS
STATS →
2
CHASE THE CHAOS
M/L
50-1
Career Record:
7: 3-2-1
Career Earnings:
$123,500
Past 5 Races:
7-1-1-2-3
Jockey:
Sheldon Russell
Trainer:
Ed Moger Jr.
Color/Age:
Bay/3YO
Pedigree:
Astern-Live the Moment

Earned an automatic Preakness qualifier when winning the El Camino Real Derby at Pimlico's sister track Golden Gate Fields in February. Rombauer used that same path in winning the 2021 Preakness. Strong finisher on turf and synthetic surfaces, he was well beaten and not a threat in the San Felipe at Santa Anita in his only try on dirt.

MAGE
STATS →
3
MAGE
M/L
8-5
Career Record:
4: 2-1-0
Career Earnings:
$2,107,200
Past 5 Races:
1-2-4-1
Jockey:
Javier Castellano
Trainer:
Gustavo Delgado
Color/Age:
Chestnut/3YO
Pedigree:
Good Magic-Puca

Kentucky Derby winner overcame tight timeframe to go from unstarted to Jan. 28 to wearing the roses in just his fourth lifetime start. Florida Derby runner-up continues to rise. Grandson of Preakness winner Curlin and Kentucky Derby/Preakness winner Big Brown.

COFFEEWITHCHRIS
STATS →
4
COFFEEWITHCHRIS
M/L
20-1
Career Record:
12: 3-3-2
Career Earnings:
$225,600
Past 5 Races:
5-2-1-2-1
Jockey:
Jaime Rodriguez
Trainer:
John Salzman Jr.
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown/3YO
Pedigree:
Ride On Curlin-Andiemac

Maryland's lone local rep in this year's Preakness won the Miracle Wood and Heft Stakes this winter. Exits a 5th-place finish, beaten less than 3 lengths, by Preakness return rival Perform in the Federico Tesio. Jockey Rodriguez tied the Laurel single-day record by riding 7 winners on March 17.

RED ROUTE ONE
STATS →
5
RED ROUTE ONE
M/L
10-1
Career Record:
Career Earnings:
$631,575
Past 5 Races:
1-6-2-2-4
Jockey:
Joel Rosario
Trainer:
Steve Asmussen
Color/Age:
Chestnut/3YO
Pedigree:
Gun Runner-Red House

Earned an automatic Preakness qualifier by winning Oaklawn's April 22 Bath House Row Stakes with his rallying style. Veteran of the entire Arkansas Derby trail was runner-up in the Southwest and Rebel before a disappointing sixth in Oaklawn's main event. Trainer Asmussen won the Preakness with Curlin (2007) and Rachel Alexandra (2009) and was second last year with Epicenter.

PERFORM
STATS →
6
PERFORM
M/L
15-1
Career Record:
7: 2-1-1
Career Earnings:
$130,956
Past 5 Races:
1-1-4-6-3
Jockey:
Feargal Lynch
Trainer:
Shug McGaughey
Color/Age:
BAY/3YO
Pedigree:
Good Magic-Jane Says

Won Laurel's Federico Tesio Stakes for an automatic berth into the Preakness, but owner had to pay $150,000 supplemental fee to compete since Perform was not nominated to the Triple Crown. Started career 0-5, but has won back-to-back races for McGaughey, who seeks his first Preakness win. He had 1989 runner-up Easy Goer and 2013 Kentucky Derby winner Orb among his 3 Preakness bids.

BLAZING SEVENS
STATS →
7
BLAZING SEVENS
M/L
6-1
Career Record:
6: 2-0-2
Career Earnings:
$565,250
Past 5 Races:
3-8-4-1-3
Jockey:
Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer:
Chad Brown
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown/3YO
Pedigree:
Good Magic-Trophy Girl

Grade 1 Champagne winner at age 2 most recently finished a distant third in the Grade 1 Blue Grass behind Tapit Trice & Verifying. Trainer Brown is a 2-time Preakness winner (2017, 2022). Brown finished third in last year's Derby with Zandon and second in 2018 with Good Magic, sire of Blazing Sevens.

FIRST MISSION
STATS →
8
SCRATCHED
FIRST MISSION
M/L
5-2
Career Record:
3: 2-1-0
Career Earnings:
$276,500
Past 5 Races:
1-1-2
Jockey:
Luis Saez
Trainer:
Brad Cox
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown/3YO
Pedigree:
Street Sense-Elude

Winner of Keeneland's Lexington Stakes is a late-bloomer who did not debut until February 18 and was not part of the Derby field. Son of 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense, who lost the photo by a head in the Preakness to Curlin. He's 2-for-2 since stretching out to route distances and the Preakness will be his farthest attempt by a full furlong.

NATIONAL TREASURE
STATS →
1
NATIONAL TREASURE
M/L
4-1
Career Record:
5: 1-1-2
Career Earnings:
$345,000
Past 5 Races:
4-3-3-2-1
Jockey:
John Velazquez
Trainer:
Bob Baffert
Color/Age:
BAY/3YO
Sire:
Quality Road-Treasure

Santa Anita Derby fourth-place finisher comes to Baltimore freshened since ealry April. Trainer Baffert's 7 Preakness wins are tied for most all-time. While he has not won since September at Del Mar, National Treasure has cashed checks in 3 Grade 1 stakes races.

CHASE THE CHAOS
STATS →
2
CHASE THE CHAOS
M/L
50-1
Career Record:
7: 3-2-1
Career Earnings:
$123,500
Past 5 Races:
7-1-1-2-3
Jockey:
Sheldon Russell
Trainer:
Ed Moger Jr.
Color/Age:
Bay/3YO
Sire:
Astern-Live the Moment

Earned an automatic Preakness qualifier when winning the El Camino Real Derby at Pimlico's sister track Golden Gate Fields in February. Rombauer used that same path in winning the 2021 Preakness. Strong finisher on turf and synthetic surfaces, he was well beaten and not a threat in the San Felipe at Santa Anita in his only try on dirt.

MAGE
STATS →
3
MAGE
M/L
8-5
Career Record:
4: 2-1-0
Career Earnings:
$2,107,200
Past 5 Races:
1-2-4-1
Jockey:
Javier Castellano
Trainer:
Gustavo Delgado
Color/Age:
Chestnut/3YO
Sire:
Good Magic-Puca

Kentucky Derby winner overcame tight timeframe to go from unstarted to Jan. 28 to wearing the roses in just his fourth lifetime start. Florida Derby runner-up continues to rise. Grandson of Preakness winner Curlin and Kentucky Derby/Preakness winner Big Brown.

COFFEEWITHCHRIS
STATS →
4
COFFEEWITHCHRIS
M/L
20-1
Career Record:
12: 3-3-2
Career Earnings:
$225,600
Past 5 Races:
5-2-1-2-1
Jockey:
Jaime Rodriguez
Trainer:
John Salzman Jr.
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown/3YO
Sire:
Ride On Curlin-Andiemac

Maryland's lone local rep in this year's Preakness won the Miracle Wood and Heft Stakes this winter. Exits a 5th-place finish, beaten less than 3 lengths, by Preakness return rival Perform in the Federico Tesio. Jockey Rodriguez tied the Laurel single-day record by riding 7 winners on March 17.

RED ROUTE ONE
STATS →
5
RED ROUTE ONE
M/L
10-1
Career Record:
Career Earnings:
$631,575
Past 5 Races:
1-6-2-2-4
Jockey:
Joel Rosario
Trainer:
Steve Asmussen
Color/Age:
Chestnut/3YO
Sire:
Gun Runner-Red House

Earned an automatic Preakness qualifier by winning Oaklawn's April 22 Bath House Row Stakes with his rallying style. Veteran of the entire Arkansas Derby trail was runner-up in the Southwest and Rebel before a disappointing sixth in Oaklawn's main event. Trainer Asmussen won the Preakness with Curlin (2007) and Rachel Alexandra (2009) and was second last year with Epicenter.

PERFORM
STATS →
6
PERFORM
M/L
15-1
Career Record:
7: 2-1-1
Career Earnings:
$130,956
Past 5 Races:
1-1-4-6-3
Jockey:
Feargal Lynch
Trainer:
Shug McGaughey
Color/Age:
BAY/3YO
Sire:
Good Magic-Jane Says

Won Laurel's Federico Tesio Stakes for an automatic berth into the Preakness, but owner had to pay $150,000 supplemental fee to compete since Perform was not nominated to the Triple Crown. Started career 0-5, but has won back-to-back races for McGaughey, who seeks his first Preakness win. He had 1989 runner-up Easy Goer and 2013 Kentucky Derby winner Orb among his 3 Preakness bids.

BLAZING SEVENS
STATS →
7
BLAZING SEVENS
M/L
6-1
Career Record:
6: 2-0-2
Career Earnings:
$565,250
Past 5 Races:
3-8-4-1-3
Jockey:
Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer:
Chad Brown
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown/3YO
Sire:
Good Magic-Trophy Girl

Grade 1 Champagne winner at age 2 most recently finished a distant third in the Grade 1 Blue Grass behind Tapit Trice & Verifying. Trainer Brown is a 2-time Preakness winner (2017, 2022). Brown finished third in last year's Derby with Zandon and second in 2018 with Good Magic, sire of Blazing Sevens.

FIRST MISSION
STATS →
8
SCRATCHED
FIRST MISSION
M/L
5-2
Career Record:
3: 2-1-0
Career Earnings:
$276,500
Past 5 Races:
1-1-2
Jockey:
Luis Saez
Trainer:
Brad Cox
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown/3YO
Sire:
Street Sense-Elude

Winner of Keeneland's Lexington Stakes is a late-bloomer who did not debut until February 18 and was not part of the Derby field. Son of 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense, who lost the photo by a head in the Preakness to Curlin. He's 2-for-2 since stretching out to route distances and the Preakness will be his farthest attempt by a full furlong.

NATIONAL TREASURE
STATS →
1
NATIONAL TREASURE
M/L
4-1
Career Record:
5: 1-1-2
Career Earnings:
$345,000
Past 5 Races:
4-3-3-2-1
Jockey:
John Velazquez
Trainer:
Bob Baffert
Color/Age:
BAY/3YO
Pedigree:
Quality Road-Treasure

Santa Anita Derby fourth-place finisher comes to Baltimore freshened since ealry April. Trainer Baffert's 7 Preakness wins are tied for most all-time. While he has not won since September at Del Mar, National Treasure has cashed checks in 3 Grade 1 stakes races.

CHASE THE CHAOS
STATS →
2
CHASE THE CHAOS
M/L
50-1
Career Record:
7: 3-2-1
Career Earnings:
$123,500
Past 5 Races:
7-1-1-2-3
Jockey:
Sheldon Russell
Trainer:
Ed Moger Jr.
Color/Age:
Bay/3YO
Pedigree:
Astern-Live the Moment

Earned an automatic Preakness qualifier when winning the El Camino Real Derby at Pimlico's sister track Golden Gate Fields in February. Rombauer used that same path in winning the 2021 Preakness. Strong finisher on turf and synthetic surfaces, he was well beaten and not a threat in the San Felipe at Santa Anita in his only try on dirt.

MAGE
STATS →
3
MAGE
M/L
8-5
Career Record:
4: 2-1-0
Career Earnings:
$2,107,200
Past 5 Races:
1-2-4-1
Jockey:
Javier Castellano
Trainer:
Gustavo Delgado
Color/Age:
Chestnut/3YO
Pedigree:
Good Magic-Puca

Kentucky Derby winner overcame tight timeframe to go from unstarted to Jan. 28 to wearing the roses in just his fourth lifetime start. Florida Derby runner-up continues to rise. Grandson of Preakness winner Curlin and Kentucky Derby/Preakness winner Big Brown.

COFFEEWITHCHRIS
STATS →
4
COFFEEWITHCHRIS
M/L
20-1
Career Record:
12: 3-3-2
Career Earnings:
$225,600
Past 5 Races:
5-2-1-2-1
Jockey:
Jaime Rodriguez
Trainer:
John Salzman Jr.
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown/3YO
Pedigree:
Ride On Curlin-Andiemac

Maryland's lone local rep in this year's Preakness won the Miracle Wood and Heft Stakes this winter. Exits a 5th-place finish, beaten less than 3 lengths, by Preakness return rival Perform in the Federico Tesio. Jockey Rodriguez tied the Laurel single-day record by riding 7 winners on March 17.

RED ROUTE ONE
STATS →
5
RED ROUTE ONE
M/L
10-1
Career Record:
Career Earnings:
$631,575
Past 5 Races:
1-6-2-2-4
Jockey:
Joel Rosario
Trainer:
Steve Asmussen
Color/Age:
Chestnut/3YO
Pedigree:
Gun Runner-Red House

Earned an automatic Preakness qualifier by winning Oaklawn's April 22 Bath House Row Stakes with his rallying style. Veteran of the entire Arkansas Derby trail was runner-up in the Southwest and Rebel before a disappointing sixth in Oaklawn's main event. Trainer Asmussen won the Preakness with Curlin (2007) and Rachel Alexandra (2009) and was second last year with Epicenter.

PERFORM
STATS →
6
PERFORM
M/L
15-1
Career Record:
7: 2-1-1
Career Earnings:
$130,956
Past 5 Races:
1-1-4-6-3
Jockey:
Feargal Lynch
Trainer:
Shug McGaughey
Color/Age:
BAY/3YO
Pedigree:
Good Magic-Jane Says

Won Laurel's Federico Tesio Stakes for an automatic berth into the Preakness, but owner had to pay $150,000 supplemental fee to compete since Perform was not nominated to the Triple Crown. Started career 0-5, but has won back-to-back races for McGaughey, who seeks his first Preakness win. He had 1989 runner-up Easy Goer and 2013 Kentucky Derby winner Orb among his 3 Preakness bids.

BLAZING SEVENS
STATS →
7
BLAZING SEVENS
M/L
6-1
Career Record:
6: 2-0-2
Career Earnings:
$565,250
Past 5 Races:
3-8-4-1-3
Jockey:
Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer:
Chad Brown
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown/3YO
Pedigree:
Good Magic-Trophy Girl

Grade 1 Champagne winner at age 2 most recently finished a distant third in the Grade 1 Blue Grass behind Tapit Trice & Verifying. Trainer Brown is a 2-time Preakness winner (2017, 2022). Brown finished third in last year's Derby with Zandon and second in 2018 with Good Magic, sire of Blazing Sevens.

FIRST MISSION
STATS →
8
SCRATCHED
FIRST MISSION
M/L
5-2
Career Record:
3: 2-1-0
Career Earnings:
$276,500
Past 5 Races:
1-1-2
Jockey:
Luis Saez
Trainer:
Brad Cox
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown/3YO
Pedigree:
Street Sense-Elude

Winner of Keeneland's Lexington Stakes is a late-bloomer who did not debut until February 18 and was not part of the Derby field. Son of 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense, who lost the photo by a head in the Preakness to Curlin. He's 2-for-2 since stretching out to route distances and the Preakness will be his farthest attempt by a full furlong.

PREAKNESS STAKES

EXPERT BEST BETS

MICHELLE YU
PREAKNESS STAKES

MAGE
NATIONAL TREASURE
RED ROUTE ONE

KALI FRANCOIS
PREAKNESS STAKES

MAGE
PERFORM
NATIONAL TREASURE

ZOE CADMAN
PREAKNESS STAKES

BLAZING SEVENS
MAGE
PERFORM

MILLIE BALL
PREAKNESS STAKES

NATIONAL TREASURE
MAGE
DISARM

JEREMY PLONK
PREAKNESS STAKES

PERFORM
MAGE
NATIONAL TREASURE

BRIAN SPENCER
PREAKNESS STAKES

NATIONAL TREASURE
MAGE
PERFORM

PETER LURIE
PREAKNESS STAKES

NATIONAL TREASURE
MAGE
BLAZING SEVENS

JON WHITE
PREAKNESS STAKES

MAGE
NATIONAL TREASURE
PERFORM

BRIAN NADEAU
PREAKNESS STAKES

MAGE
NATIONAL TREASURE
BLAZING SEVENS

SAMANTHA PERRY
PREAKNESS STAKES

NATIONAL TREASURE
MAGE
PERFORM

KEITH FEUSTLE
PREAKNESS STAKES

MAGE
BLAZING SEVENS
NATIONAL TREASURE

JEFF SIEGEL
PREAKNESS STAKES

MAGE
NATIONAL TREASURE
PERFORM

GEORGE ORTUZAR
PREAKNESS STAKES

MAGE
NATIONAL TREASURE
BLAZING SEVENS

DUSTIN FABIAN
PREAKNESS STAKES

NATIONAL TREASURE
MAGE
RED ROUTE ONE
BLAZING SEVENS

MATT DINERMAN
PREAKNESS STAKES

NATIONAL TREASURE
MAGE
PERFORM

EDDIE OLCZYK
PREAKNESS STAKES

BLAZING SEVENS
RED ROUTE ONE
MAGE
NATIONAL TREASURE

first call: racing podcast

  • JEFF SIEGEL & JEREMY PLONK
  • PREAKNESS STAKES
  • BLACK-EYED SUSAN
  • CONTENDER ANALYSIS
  • BETTING ANGLES

the machine

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BLACK-EYED SUSAN DAY

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE picks

powered by betmix

The 1/ST BET 'Machine' analyzes millions of data points over more than 50 important handicapping factors for each race to create an exclusive handicapping outcome driven by big data.

POST
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
FAIR ODDS

BLACK-EYED SUSAN DAY FRIDAY, MAY 19

RACE 9 // THE VERY ONE
3:36PM ET // $100K
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
5
THUNDERING CREED
27%
46%
56%
8
SPICY MARG
17%
27%
38%
7
GOLDEN EFFECT
10%
21%
40%
9
HER WORLD
10%
20%
30%
RACE 10 // MISS PREAKNESS
4:07PM ET // $150K
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
6
MAPLE LEAF MEL
24%
36%
40%
8
GOODBYE KYLE
16%
24%
34%
11
VAHVA
12%
26%
34%
4
FOGO ISLAND
10%
26%
34%
RACE 3 // ALLOWANCE
11:30AM ET // $134K
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
18
CREATIVE MINISTER
18%
31%
42%
13
PRICE TALK
16%
29%
37%
17
BUTTON BOY
10%
17%
22%
6
POINT ME BY
6%
14%
25%
RACE 4 // ALLOWANCE
12:05PM ET // $134K
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
4
NOT SO CLOSE
18%
31%
42%
16
MOUFFY
18%
30%
41%
9
JUMP INTO THE FIRE
14%
16%
25%
7
HEARTYCONSTITUTION
9%
18%
24%
RACE 5 // G2 ALYSHEBA
12:43PM ET // $600K
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
4
WEST WILL POWER
27%
47%
68%
1
ART COLLECTOR
22%
46%
61%
2
LAST SAMURAI
14%
30%
45%
3
RICH STRIKE
14%
29%
45%
RACE 6 // G3 MODESTY
1:26PM ET // $300K
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
6
McKULICK
29%
45%
56%
8
NEW YEAR'S EVE
15%
32%
46%
7
SHANTISARA
14%
34%
52%
4
SPARKLE BLUE
11%
20%
34%
RACE 7 // G2 EIGHT BELLES
2:09PM ET // $500K
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
9
MUNNY'S GOLD
28%
51%
61%
8
ACCEDE
19%
31%
51%
4
EFFORTLESSLYELGANT
15%
22%
34%
6
RED CARPET BEAUTY
12%
22%
28%
RACE 8 // UNBRIDLED SIDNEY
3:03PM ET // $300K
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
11
CARAVEL
26%
379%
51%
1
BAY STORM
17%
27%
39%
8
OEUVRE
13%
31%
41%
9
LITTLE JEWEL
8%
21%
28%
RACE 9 // G1 LA TROIENNE
4:04PM ET // $750K
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
7
SOCIETY
24%
51%
62%
1
PLAYED HARD
15%
28%
40%
4
SECRET OATH
14%
30%
45%
2
SEARCH RESULTS
10%
16%
28%
RACE 10 // G2 EDGEWOOD
4:51PM ET // $500K
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
2
LIGURIA
23%
36%
51%
5
PRELIMINARY
19%
34%
49%
8
HEAVENLY SUNDAY
13%
22%
32%
3
CAIRO CONSORT
7%
17%
34%
RACE 11 // G1 KENTUCKY OAKS
5:51PM ET // $1.25M
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
7
WET PAINT
29%
47%
55%
8
PROMISEHER AMERICA
15%
29%
37%
16
JULIA SHINING
14%
26%
38%
6
BOTANICAL
8%
12%
22%
RACE 12 // ALLOWANCE
6:25PM ET // $127K
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
6
GUNS N' GRACES
21%
36%
51%
1
CURL GIRL
17%
35%
50%
7
FOREVER DIXIE
10%
20%
27%
5
HAYUNEVANO
9%
20%
33%
RACE 13 // MAIDEN
7:00PM ET // $120K
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
14
AMERICAN RETRO
18%
35%
43%
1
KID'S LAST LAUGH
13%
25%
29%
8
NO GUILT
10%
13%
19%
7
EXCELLENT QUESTION
8%
17%
24%

RACE 13

MILLIE BALL

BLACK-EYED SUSAN

friday // may 19

G2 - $300,000

SCENE SETTER: The fillies’ version of the Preakness headlines the Friday proceedings and will be run for the 99th time in its storied history. It’s been won by contemporary superstars like Serena’s Song, Silverbulletday and Royal Delta, as well as legends like Davona Dale, My Juliet and Nellie Morse. West coast leader FAIZA brings her perfect 5-for-5 record from Santa Anita. This promises to be one of the most anticipated Black-Eyed Susan renewals in years.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Among the most important 1/ST BET individual handicapping factors for the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes historically have been Avg. Earnings Distance, Last Turn Time, Best Speed Distance.
Last year’s Black-Eyed Susan winner Interstatedaydream topped the field in factors such as Trainer 2-Year Win % and Avg. Last 3 Purse.

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $4 Trifecta Box: FAIZA, COMPARATIVE, MIRACLE, TAXED ($96)
  • $4 Exacta: FAIZA over COMPARATIVE

TOP 4 PICKS

1. FAIZA
2. COMPARATIVE
3. MIRACLE
4. TAXED

STATS & TRENDS

LAST 5 FAVORITES & FINISH
LAST 5 WINNERS PREPS
1/ST BET AI TOP 4 PICKS

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PREAKNESS STAKES DAY

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE picks

powered by betmix

The 1/ST BET 'Machine' analyzes millions of data points over more than 50 important handicapping factors for each race to create an exclusive handicapping outcome driven by big data.

POST
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
FAIR ODDS

PREAKNESS STAKES DAY saturDAY, MAY 20

RACE 1 // PREAKNESS STAKES
10:30AM ET // $1.5M
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
5
TOMMY
35%
25%
20%
7
TINA
22%
19%
14%
1
NATE
22%
17%
11%
3
DUSTIN
19%
8%
2%

RACE 13

EDDIE OLCZYK

PREAKNESS STAKES

saturday // may 20

G1 - $1,500,000

SCENE SETTER: Three straight Preakness winners were horses who did not compete in the Kentucky Derby, beginning with Swiss Skydiver (2020, October edition during pandemic), Rombauer (2021) and Early Voting (2022). It’s an era reminiscent of the start to the 1980s when Codex (1980), Aloma’s Ruler (1982) and Deputed Testamony (1983) all had Preakness success in a 4-year span. That rash of new shooters was followed by 17 straight Derby alumni winning at Old Hilltop. Derby vets have won by a 3-1 margin over the last 40 years. Among this year’s new shooters, trainer Chad Brown tries to go back-to-back with Blazing Sevens. Brad Cox has First Mission among the favorites.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Among the most important 1/ST BET individual handicapping factors for the Preakness Stakes historically have been Avg. Earnings Distance, Best Speed Distance and Avg. Speed Last 3.
Last year’s winner Early Voting rated first in 6 of the top-15 1/ST BET factors for the Preakness, among those Best Speed Fast Track and Best Lifetime Speed.

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $40 Win: BLAZING SEVENS
  • $5 Exacta Key-Box: BLAZING SEVENS with RED ROUTE ONE, MAGE ($20)
  • $5 Trifecta Part-Wheel: BLAZING SEVENS with RED ROUTE ONE, MAGE with RED ROUTE ONE, MAGE, NATIONAL TREASURE ($20)
  • $5 Trifecta Part-Wheel: RED ROUTE ONE, MAGE with BLAZING SEVENS with RED ROUTE ONE, MAGE, NATIONAL TREASURE ($20)

TOP 4 PICKS

1. BLAZING SEVENS
2. RED ROUTE ONE
3. MAGE
4. NATIONAL TREASURE

KNOW THIS

The only favorite to win the Preakness in the last 7 editions was 2018 Triple Crown winner Justify, who held off Bravazo’s rally by a half-length.

The last 9 Preakness editions have had at least 1 horse in the trifecta who did not compete in the Kentucky Derby. In 2013, the top-5 finishers all were Derby alumni.

The past 2 Preakness editions combined have had just 1 horse go off at odds above 20-1.

Horses last raced at the Keeneland meet have finished in the Preakness top-3 in 5 of the last 8 years.

Post 6 has produced the most Preakness winners all-time with 17, most recently Rombauer in 2021. The rail has only 4 wins since 1950, but includes American Pharoah (2015) and War of Will (2019) in recent vintages.

Only 2 Preakness winners have done so by a double-digit margin. Smarty Jones (2004) won by 11-1/2 lengths more than a century after Survivor (1874) scored by 10.

The Preakness has averaged 10.7 starters over the past 25 years, ranging between a high of 13 and a low of 8.

16 of the last 26 Preakness winners were named Champion 3-Year-Old, as was last year’s runner-up Epicenter.

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RACE 13

jeff siegel

PREAKNESS STAKES

JEFF'S TAKE

G1 - $1,500,000

SCENE SETTER: The meteoric rise of MAGE from a January 28 debut to a May 6 Kentucky Derby winner was historic on many levels. He joined Justify (2018) as the only Derby winners since 1882 to not have raced as a 2-year-old. And he became just the fourth Derby winner since 1900 to win the roses in only his fourth lifetime start, joining Regret (1915), Big Brown (2008) and Justify (2018). Notably, Big Brown and Justify parlayed their Kentucky Derby scores into Preakness glory as well – Regret did not compete in the Preakness. The last horse to win the Derby at 15-1 or more odds and add a Preakness win was I’ll Have Another in 2012.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Among the most important 1/ST BET individual handicapping factors for the Preakness Stakes historically have been Last E2 Pace and Best Speed Fast Track and Speed Last Race.
2021 Preakness winner Rombauer ranked first in 6 of the 1/ST BET handicapping factors for the race, but none of those were top-10 factors.

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $50 Exacta Part-Wheel: MAGE over NATIONAL TREASURE, PERFORM ($100)

TOP 4 picks

1. MAGE
2. FIRST MISSION (SCR)
3. NATIONAL TREASURE
4. PERFORM

preakness, THE LAST...

Kentucky Derby winner to win: Justify (2018)

Kentucky Derby runner-up to win: Exagerrator (2016)

Kentucky Derby show horse to win: Curlin (2007)

Kentucky Derby off the board finisher to win: War of Will (2019)

Kentucky Derby exacta to repeat 1-2 in Preakness: I’ll Have Another-Bodemeister (2012)

Kentucky Derby trifecta to repeat 1-2-3 in Preakness: Affirmed-Alydar-Believe It (1978)

Non-Kentucky Derby alum to win: Early Voting (2022, third straight)

Prepped last at Pimlico to win: Bee Bee Bee (1972)

Jockey to win back-to-back: Victor Espinoza 2014-’15 with California Chrome and American Pharoah

Jockey to win his debut: Flavien Prat (2021) with Rombauer

Trainer to win back-to-back: Bob Baffert (2001-‘02) with Point Given & War Emblem

Trainer to win his Debut: Michael McCarthy (2021) with Rombauer

Filly to win: Swiss Skydiver (2020), last of 5 fillies to have won this race

Gelding to win: Funny Cide (2003)

Wire-to-wire winner: Aloma’s Ruler (1982) from post position #7 (’18 Justify, ’15 American Pharoah, ’13 Oxbow, ’09 Rachel Alexandra, ’96 Louis Quatorze, led all but start call)

Winner to close from more than 10 lengths back: Exaggerator (2016) from 11 ½ lengths back after ¼ mile.

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RACE 13

JEREMY PLONK

PREAKNESS STAKES

PLONK'S PLAY

G1 - $1,500,000

SCENE SETTER: Trainer Steve Asmussen has had the Preakness runner-up each of the past 2 years in Midnight Bourbon (2021) and Epicenter (2022). This will mark his seventh straight Preakness with at least one starter, the longest active streak in the race. Twice Asmussen has hoisted the Woodlawn Vase, 2007 with Curlin and 2009 with Rachel Alexandra. His chance this Saturday is Oaklawn stakes winner Red Route One. Bob Baffert returns to the Preakness after a 1-year absence and looks for a record-breaking eighth victory in this race. He’ll saddle National Treasure in search of his first Preakness win since Justify in 2018.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Among the most important 1/ST BET individual handicapping factors for the Preakness Stakes historically have been Avg. Lifetime Earnings, Avg. Best 2 of Last 3 Speed and Best Lifetime Speed.
2020 Preakness winner Swiss Skydiver ranked first in 7 of the 1/ST BET handicapping factors for the race, but none of those were top-10 factors.

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $60 Win: PERFORM
  • $20 Exacta Box: PERFORM and MAGE ($40)

TOP 4 picks

1. PERFORM
2. MAGE
3. NATIONAL TREASURE
4. RED ROUTE ONE

STATS & TRENDS

PREAKNESS WINNERS WHO SKIPPED DERBY
HALF-MILE LEADERS
1/ST BET AI TOP 4 PICKS

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preakness stakes

THE LAST 25 YEARS

FACT SHEET

WIN-PLACE-SHOW ODDS

WIN ODDS
Average
17.42-to-1
--
High
80.80
Rich Strike '22
Low
2.30
Fuscaichi Pegasus '20; Nyquist '16
Notable: Last 4 official winners averaged nearly 42-1 following 6 straight winning favorites.
PLACE ODDS
Average
18.04-to-1
--
High
71.60
Closing Argument '05
Low
0.70
Tiz the Law '20
Notable: 5 of the last 8 official runners-up have been horses with single-digit odds.
SHOW ODDS
Average
11.98-to-1
--
High
46.50
Mr. Big News '20
Low
2.70
Indian Charlie '98
Notable: 10 of the last 19 official Derby third-place finishers have been 24-1 or more.

exotics payoffs

EXACTA ($2 PAYOFFS)
Average
$1,070.90
--
High
$9,814.80
Giacomo-Closing Argument '05
Low
$30.60
Nyquist-Exaggerator '16
Notable: Last year’s $4,102.20 payoff was the second-highest in the last 25 years.
TRIFECTA ($2 PAYOFFS)
Average
$13,015.77
--
High
$133,134.80
Giacomo-Closing Argument-Afleet Alex '05
Low
$173.40
Nyquist-Exaggerator-Gun Runner '16
Notable: Last year’s $29,741.40 trifecta was the second-highest in the 28-year Derby history of the wager.
SUPERFECTA ($1 PAYOFFS)
Average
$87,913.46
--
High
$864,253.50
Giacomo-Closing Argument-Afleet Alex-Don't Get Mad '05
Low
$542.10
Nyquist-Exaggerator-Gun Runner-Mohaymen '16
Notable: Last year’s $321,510.00 trifecta was the second-highest in the 27-year Derby history of the wager.

'22 preakness handle totals

IN MILLIONS EXCEPT Hi-5

'22 preakness replay

  • Early Voting
  • Epicenter
  • Zandon
  • Simplification
  • Mo Donegal
'22 PAYOUTS (W-P-S EARLY VOTING)
$2 Win: $163.60
$2 Place: $74.20
$2 Show: $29.40
$2 Exacta: $4,101.20
$.50Trifecta: $7,435.35
$1 Superfecta: $643,000.20
$2 Hi-5: $1,482,037.80
$2 Double: $2,729.80
$.50 Pick 3: $1,612.20
$.50 Pick 4: $25,834.75
$.50 Pick 5: $247,215.56
$.50 Pick 6: $161,630.86

'23 preakness past performance