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wager guide

preakness stakes

SAT, MAY 16

LAUREL PARK

LAUREL/md

1/st bet // xpressbet

wager guide

PREAKNESS STAKES

sat, may 16 2026

laurel park

laurel/MD

preakness & black-eyed susan

NEED-TO-KNOW

HOST SITE:
laurel park // laurel, MD
RACE DATE:
BLACK-EYED SUSAN: FRIDAY, MAY 15
PREAKNESS STAKES: SATURDAY, MAY 16
FIRST RACE POST TIME:
11:30AM ET - FRIDAY, MAY 15
10:30AM ET - SATURDAY, MAY 16
WATCH FREE AND WAGER:
ALL RACES ON 1/ST BET APP // XPRESSBET.COM
TELEVISION:
NBC & Peacock, 1:00-7:30 pm ET
WAGERING NOTES:
Advance Wagering FridayBlack-Eyed Susan/Preakness Daily Double (Fri/Sat)2-Day Preakness All-Stakes Pick 5 (Fri/Sat)2-Day Preakness All-Dirt Pick 5 (Fri/Sat)

PREAKNESS DAY sTAKES races lineup (ALL TIMES ET)

G1 PREAKNESS STAKES
$2M
RACE 13
7:01PM
1 3/16 MI
jim mckay turf
$125K
RACE 12
5:52PM
5 1/2 FUR (T)
GALLORETTE
$150K
RACE 11
4:53PM
1 1/16 MI (T)
DINNER PARTY
$250K
RACE 10
4:11PM
1 1/8 MI (T)
JAMES W. MURPHY
$100K
RACE 9
3:30PM
1 MI (T)
MARYLAND SPRINT
$150K
RACE 8
2:48PM
6 FUR
CHICK LANG
$150K
RACE 7
2:07PM
6 FUR
SIR BARTON
$100K
RACE 6
1:28PM
1 1/16 MI
SKIPAT
$125K
RACE 4
12:16PM
6 FUR

1/ST CALL PODCAST

  • Jeremy and Scott analyze the contenders, debate the angles, and make their picks for Preakness 151 and all undercard stakes.

nathan harvey

betting 101

bet types & the odds

get started here

New to Horse Race Betting? No worries—we’ve got you. This section breaks down the basics of horse racing bets, from the simple stuff like traditional Win bets to more advanced plays like Exactas and Pick 5s. We'll take a look at how odds work, how payouts are calculated, and what it all means for your wallet. It’s everything you need to understand betting and enjoy the action.

traditional bet types

If you're new to horse racing or looking to understand the basics, it's essential to grasp the Traditional bet types: Win, Place, and Show. These straightforward wagers are the foundation of horse race betting and are ideal for beginners.

A WIN bet is the simplest type of horse racing wager—you’re picking a horse to come in first place. If your horse finishes at the front, you’ll earn a payout based on the final odds for that horse. For instance, if you wager $2 on a horse with 5-to-1 odds (5/1) and it wins, you’d get $10 in profit ($5 for every $1 bet), plus your original $2 bet back, totaling $12.

Last year's Preakness $2 WIN bet paid $4.00

A PLACE bet gives you two chances to win. You’re backing a horse to finish either first or second. As long as your chosen horse comes in one of those top two positions, you’ll receive a payout. Since the odds of winning are better than a Win bet, the potential payout is typically smaller.

Last year's Preakness $2 PLACE bet paid $2.80

A SHOW bet offers the most leeway—you’re betting on a horse to finish in the top three. Whether your pick comes in first, second, or third, you’ll get paid. While this type of bet has the highest chance of a return, it also comes with the lowest payout due to the broader margin for success.

Last year's Preakness $2 SHOW bet paid $2.40

Betting them ACROSS THE BOARD, is probably a term you've heard. It's a popular and straightforward wager where you’re betting on a horse to Win, Place, and Show all at once. This would be shown as WIN/PLACE/SHOW or WPS on the betting pad. If your horse finishes first, you collect the Win, Place, and Show payouts. If your horse finishes second, you collect the Place and Show payouts, and if it finishes third, you just collect the Show payout.

exotic bet types

Once you’ve mastered the basics, Exotic bets offer a thrilling next step. These wagers involve predicting multiple outcomes—like the exact order of finishers in a single race—and they come with higher risk but much bigger potential rewards. Whether you’re chasing an Exacta or aiming for the elusive Superfecta, exotic bets bring strategy, excitement, and serious payout possibilities to the track.

An EXACTA bet ups the challenge. You’re predicting which two horses will finish first and second, in the exact order. If your selections cross the line in that precise sequence, you win. It’s tougher than a Win or Place bet, but the payouts can be significantly higher. Not confident about the exact order, but like your horse picks? Box your bet, and as long as your selected horses finish in the top 2 spots—1st and 2nd—they can finish in any order and you’ll still win.

Last year's Preakness $2 EXACTA bet paid $33.80

Taking it a step further, a TRIFECTA bet requires you to choose the first three finishers in the exact order. Nail all three in the right sequence and you’ll score a much bigger payout—though it’s definitely harder to hit than an Exacta. Box your bet, and as long as your selected horses finish in the top 3 spots—1st through 3rd—they can finish in any order and you’ll still win.

Last year's Preakness $1 TRIFECTA bet paid $73.50

The SUPERFECTA is where serious bettors test their skill. You must pick the top four horses to finish in the exact order. It’s a high-risk, high-reward wager that can deliver massive payouts if you’re able to beat the odds. Box your bet, and as long as your selected horses finish in the top 4 spots—1st through 4th—they can finish in any order and you’ll still win.

Last year's Preakness $1 SUPERFECTA bet paid $303.40

The ultimate single race challenge is the EXACT 5: pick the first five horses to finish in exact order in a single race. Known in some places as the Super High Five, this bet is notoriously difficult to hit, but the potential payout is huge for those who can call it perfectly. And yes, you can Box this bet too. By now, you know the drill.

Last year's Preakness $2 EXACT 5 bet paid $3,534.60

multi-race bet types

Multi-race wagers add an extra layer of excitement to the day’s card. Instead of betting on just one race, you’re trying to predict the winners of multiple consecutive races. These bets raise the stakes—and the payouts—making them popular among players who enjoy longer-range strategy and higher risk. To increase your chances of hitting winners, you can include more than one horse in each race. That will raise your ticket cost, but it also boosts your probability of picking more winners.

DOUBLE: pick the winners of two back-to-back races. It’s the most approachable multi-race bet and often serves as a great entry point for players looking to move beyond single-race wagers.

Last year's Preakness $2 DOUBLE bet paid $21.60

PICK 3: correctly select the winners of three consecutive races. Slightly tougher than the Daily Double, but with greater reward potential for a small added challenge.

Last year's Preakness $.50 PICK 3 bet paid $11.30

PICK 4: predict the winners of four races in a row. The payouts start to grow substantially here, and it's a favorite among intermediate-level bettors who enjoy a bit of suspense across multiple races.

Last year's Preakness $.50 PICK 4 bet paid $88.85

PICK 5: choose the winning horse in five straight races. Hitting all five requires strong handicapping skills—and a little luck—but the payoff can be massive, especially with longshots in the mix.

Last year's Preakness $.50 PICK 5 bet paid $413.70

PICK 6: is the most legendary of the multi-race bets. To win a Pick 6, you must select the winners of six consecutive races. It's incredibly difficult to hit, but that’s also why the pools can climb into life-changing territory.

Last year's Preakness $.20 PICK 6 bet paid $2,276.32

understanding the odds

Unlike traditional fixed-odds sports betting, where the payout is predetermined, horse racing uses a pari-mutuel system. This means that all bets on a particular race are pooled together, and the odds can change as more money is wagered until the pools close and the race goes off.

Horse racing odds represent the potential payout for a bet relative to your stake. Let’s break down what some example odds like 5/1 & 5/2 mean, and how to calculate your winnings.

When you see 5/1 odds, it means that for every $1 you wager, you’ll profit $5. That’s 5 times your bet! Plus, you get your original $1 bet back. So, with a $2 wager on a horse that is at 5/1 odds, you’d profit $10 ($5 for every $1 you bet) plus your initial $2 stake, for a total of $12 in payout.

With a horse at 5/2 odds, you’ll profit $5 for every $2 bet. This is often considered a "shorter" odd, meaning your return is smaller compared to 5/1, but still a nice payout. For a $2 bet, you'd profit $5 ($5 for every $2 you bet) plus get your original $2 stake back, for a total payout of $7.


meet the

preakness stakes

contenders

TAJ MAHAL
1
STATS →
TAJ MAHAL
M/L
5-1
Career Record:
3: 3-0-0
Career Earnings:
$178,200
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1
Jockey:
Shedon Russell
Trainer:
Brittany Russell
Color/Age:
Bay / 3yo
Pedigree:
Nyquist-Oola Gal

Top local hope has won all 3 starts at Laurel Park, including the Miracle Wood Stakes and an 8-1/4 length romp in the Federico Tesio Stakes. Husband-wife tandem of jockey Sheldon and trainer Brittany Russell. Son of 2016 Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist, third in that year's Preakness as the favorite. Nyquist sired last year's narrow Preakness runner-up Gosger. Photo: TMJC

CRUPPER
3
STATS →
CRUPPER
M/L
30-1
Career Record:
6: 2-0-3
Career Earnings:
$210,665
Past 5 Races:
1-3-1-3-3
Jockey:
Junior Alvarado
Trainer:
Donnie K. Von Hemel
Color/Age:
Bay / 3yo
Pedigree:
Candy Ride-She's All In

Junior Alvarado, who won two-thirds of last year's Triple Crown aboard Sovereignty, looks for his first Preakness. Won an automatic berth to the Preakness by scoring Oaklawn's Batthouse Row Stakes in April. Has won 2 of his last 3 after starting his career 0-3. Home-bred for owner Robert Zoellner who campaiged the dam She's All In to 8 stakes wins with trainer Donnie K. Von Hemel. Photo: Coady/Oaklawn

ROBUSTA
4
STATS →
ROBUSTA
M/L
30-1
Career Record:
6: 1-1-0
Career Earnings:
$83,500
Past 5 Races:
14-7-2-6-1-7
Jockey:
Rafael Bejarano
Trainer:
Doug O'Neill
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown / 3yo
Pedigree:
Accelerate-Urbane Legend

Kentuckly Derby 14th-place finisher started from far outside 18 post at Churchill. San Felipe Stakes runner-up had a seventh-place regression in the Santa Anita Derby. He's an early pace player at his preferred style for for Doug O'Neill, who campaigned 2012 Kentucky Derby and Preakness winner I'll Have Another and 2016 Derby winner and Preakness third Nyquist.

TALKIN
5
STATS →
TALKIN
M/L
20-1
Career Record:
5: 1-1-1
Career Earnings:
$288,625
Past 5 Races:
3-5-9-2-1
Jockey:
Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer:
Danny Gargan
Color/Age:
Bay / 3yo
Pedigree:
Good Magic-Rote

Blue Grass Stakes third-place finisher hasn't won since his August debut at Saratoga, but has been stakes-placed in the Champagne in New York amongst his defeats. Trainer Gargan won the Belmont Stakes 2 years ago with Dornoch, who did not compete in the Preakness. Jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. takes the mount after finishing 2nd in the Derby aboard Renegade.

CHIP HONCHO
6
STATS →
CHIP HONCHO
M/L
5-1
Career Record:
6: 2-2-0
Career Earnings:
$280,475
Past 5 Races:
5-2-4-1-1
Jockey:
Jose Ortiz
Trainer:
Steve Asmussen
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown / 3yo
Pedigree:
Connect-Miss My Rose

Kentucky Derby-winning jockey Jose Ortiz takes the mount with Golden Tempo skipping the Preakness. Veteran of all 4 Louisiana Derby series races at Fair Grounds, winning the Gun Runner in December to open the quartet. Runner-up in the Risen Star before tiring in the series finale. Potential pace player bypassed Derby for Preakness. Photo: Coady/Churchill Downs

THE HELL WE DID
7
STATS →
THE HELL WE DID
M/L
15-1
Career Record:
4: 2-2-0
Career Earnings:
$134,818
Past 5 Races:
2-1-2-1
Jockey:
Luis Saez
Trainer:
Todd Fincher
Color/Age:
Bay / 3yo
Pedigree:
Authentic-Rose's Desert

New Mexico-based, half-brother to Senor Buscador (who earned $12.9 million) exits a runner-up finish in Keeneland's Lexington Stakes. Son of 2020 Kentucky Derby winner Authentic, who wound up second in that year's Preakness. His victories have come at Remington Park in Oklahoma City and at New Mexico's Sunland Park.

BULL BY THE HORNS
8
STATS →
BULL BY THE HORNS
M/L
30-1
Career Record:
5: 2-0-2
Career Earnings:
$187,115
Past 5 Races:
1-7-2-1-3
Jockey:
Micah Husbands
Trainer:
Saffie Joseph Jr.
Color/Age:
Gray or Roan / 3yo
Pedigree:
Essential Quality-No Sweat

Won Turfway Park's Rushaway Stakes on the synthetic surface most recently, following a seventh-place effort on dirt in Gulfstream's Fountain of Youth. $75K son of multiple champion Essential Quality earned that and more in his last start. Photo: Turfway / Coady

IRON HONOR
9
STATS →
IRON HONOR
M/L
9-2
Career Record:
3: 2-0-0
Career Earnings:
$229,250
Past 5 Races:
7-1-1
Jockey:
Flavien Prat
Trainer:
Chad Brown
Color/Age:
Bay / 3yo
Pedigree:
Nyquist-Orencia

Gotham Stakes winner tired to seventh in the Wood Memorial in his first try around 2 turns and first beyond 1 mile. Son of 2016 Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist has been mentioned as a possible Preakness starter in lieu of a Kentucky Derby bid even though he has enough points to qualify for the first Saturday in May. Photo: NYRA

NAPOLEON SOLO
10
STATS →
NAPOLEON SOLO
M/L
8-1
Career Record:
4: 2-0-0
Career Earnings:
$360,520
Past 5 Races:
5-5-1-1
Jockey:
Paco Lopez
Trainer:
Chad Summers
Color/Age:
Gray or Roan / 3yo
Pedigree:
Liam's Map-Atomic Blonde

Blowout winner of both starts last year, including Grade 1 Champagne at Aqueduct. Disappointing fifth-place return in the Fountain of Youth at Gulfstream was followed by similar finish upon returning to NY for the Wood Memorial. Rerouted to Wood after reported foot issue forced his Arkansas Derby scratch. Seeks first win around 2 turns.

CORONA DE ORO
11
STATS →
CORONA DE ORO
M/L
30-1
Career Record:
5: 1-1-2
Career Earnings:
$92,540
Past 5 Races:
3-1-2-3-7
Jockey:
John Velazquez
Trainer:
Dallas Stewart
Color/Age:
Bay / 3yo
Pedigree:
Bolt d'Oro-Lemon De Oro

Last-minute Derby entrant will be on the also-eligible list. Exits a third-place finish in the Lexington Stakes at Keeneland 3 weeks in front of Derby Day. Lone win came March 7 in his fourth start, a Fair Grounds wire-to-wire maiden score at 1-1/16 miles.

INCREDIBOLT
12
STATS →
INCREDIBOLT
M/L
5-1
Career Record:
6: 3-0-0
Career Earnings:
$498,681
Past 5 Races:
6-1-6-1-1
Jockey:
Jaime Torres
Trainer:
Riley Mott
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown / 3yo
Pedigree:
Bolt d'Oro-Sapphire Spitfire

Virginia Derby winner exits a credible sixth-place Kentucky Derby effort following a 7-week layoff when becoming Riley Mott's first Triple Crown starter. Won Street Sense Stakes at age 2 at Churchill Downs but was flat in the Holy Bull in his 3YO return before bouncing back at Colonial Downs. Jockey Jaime Torres won the '24 Preakness aboard Seize the Grey.

GREAT WHITE
13
STATS →
GREAT WHITE
M/L
15-1
Career Record:
4: 2-0-0
Career Earnings:
$202,495
Past 5 Races:
5-1-5-1
Jockey:
Alex Achard
Trainer:
John Ennis
Color/Age:
Gray or Roan / 3yo
Pedigree:
Volatile-Kelly Bag

Scratched from the Kentucky Derby after flipping behind the gate. Turfway Park winter warrior raced his first 3 times there on the synthetic surface, winning the John Battaglia Memorial in February at 15-1 odds. Set the pace and tired to fifth on the dirt at Keeneland in the Blue Grass Stakes, beaten 22+ lengths by Further Ado. Trainer Ennis had similar-campaigned Epic Ride finish 13th in the 2024 Derby. Draws in from the also-eligible list after the Wednesday scratch of Silent Tactic. Photo: Coady/Turfway Park

PRETTY BOY MIAH
14
STATS →
PRETTY BOY MIAH
M/L
15-1
Career Record:
4: 2-1-0
Career Earnings:
$95,800
Past 5 Races:
1-1-4-2
Jockey:
Ricardo Santana Jr.
Trainer:
Jeremiah Englehart
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown / 3yo
Pedigree:
Beau Liam-Tryingtolookpretty

Back-to-back maiden and starter allowance winner at Aqueduct makes his first rise into stakes company in the Preakness. All 4 career starts have come at Aqueduct. Sire Beau Liam's 3YO crop includes Pat Day Mile winner Crude Velocity. Photo: NYRA / Coglianese

PREAKNESS STAKES

EXPERT BEST BETS

MILLIE BALL
PREAKNESS STAKES

INCREDIBOLT
TAJ MAHAL
CHIP HONCHO
CRUPPER

JEREMY PLONK
PREAKNESS STAKES

INCREDIBOLT
 OCELLI
 CHIP HONCHO
 TAJ MAJAL

SCOTT SHAPIRO
PREAKNESS STAKES

OCELLI
CHIP HONCHO
INCREDIBOLT
TALKIN

MICHELLE YU
PREAKNESS STAKES

INCREDIBOLT
TAJ MAHAL
IRON HONOR
CRUPPER

BRIAN SPENCER
PREAKNESS STAKES

CHIP HONCHO
GREAT WHITE
IRON HONOR
OCELLI

ZOE CADMAN
PREAKNESS STAKES

TAJ MAHAL
OCELLI
IRON HONOR
CHIP HONCHO

BAILEY ARMOUR
PREAKNESS STAKES

INCREDIBOLT
OCELLI
TAJ MAHAL
BULL BY THE HORNS

BRIAN NADEAU
PREAKNESS STAKES

TALKIN
OCELLI
INCREDIBOLT
IRON HONOR

GEORGE ORTUZAR
PREAKNESS STAKES

TAJ MAHAL
IRON HONOR
NAPOLEON SOLO
OCELLI

TOM QUIGLEY
PREAKNESS STAKES

OCELLI
INCREDIBOLT
IRON HONOR
THE HELL WE DID

RON NICOLETTI
PREAKNESS STAKES

THE HELL WE DID
TAJ MAHAL
OCELLI
INCREDIBOLT

DUSTIN FABIAN
PREAKNESS STAKES

BULL BY THE HORNS
TALKIN
OCELLI
CHIP HONCHO

RACE 13

michelle yu

BLACK-EYED SUSAN

friday // may 15

G2 - $300,000

SCENE SETTER: The 102nd running of the fillies’ Preakness, the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes, tops a 14-race Friday card and will be held for the first time at Laurel Park. It’s essentially 1 lap around the Laurel Park oval at 1-1/8 miles. Early positioning can be important with a short run into the first turn. The stretch run to the finish line is considerably shorter than Churchill Downs and slightly shorter than Saratoga, making it the least amount of late real estate at this year’s 3 Triple Crown tracks. Top storylines Friday include Louisiana-bred rising star BRAKEN POPPA bidding for a fifth straight victory when she takes on Gulfstream Oaks runner-up MY MISS MO and the top-4 finishers from Laurel’s Weber City Miss, including 26-1 upsetter IVY GIRL.

MEET THE BLACK-EYED SUSAN CONTENDERS

quote book:

MY MISS MO

Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. on her resume: "The last race was pretty solid and I feel like the horse that beat her at Gulfstream had a troubled trip in the Oaks so her form seems like it should stack up well. I would think she would stack pretty decent going into this race … she should have a pretty decent chance."

BRAKEN POPPA

Co-owner Ken Reimer: "She's a beauty. You hope they're all going to be that good ... She likes to go to the lead, and she runs fast. She's a handful, though. She's an absolute handful. She always gets a little fractious and all the morning riders say she's tough to ride, but she likes to go and she's got a lot of heart. I love that horse." – Laurel Park Publicity

HOLLY’S HOLIDAY

Trainer Kenny McPeek on her development: "She had been training really well. She had always trained really good as an early 2-year-old, but she came up with a little bone bruising, and we stopped on her. She was just a bit uncomfortable. We didn't think it was a problem, but after her second race it was more dramatic, and we had to regroup with her and gave her plenty of time. Since then, she has been stellar. She came back as a filly we thought she could be. I think this is a good next spot for her."

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $18 Win: MY MISS MO
  • $6 Exacta Box: MY MISS MO, IVY GAL, BRAKEN POPPA, HOLLY'S HOLIDAY ($72)
  • $10 BES-Preakness Double: MY MISS MO to INCREDIBOLT

TOP 4 PICKS

1.  MY MISS MO
2. IVY GAL
3. BRAKEN
4. HOLLY'S HOLIDAY

STATS & TRENDS

LAST 10 FAVORITES & FINISH
LAST 10 WINNERS PREPS

handicapping resources

RACE 13

millie ball

PREAKNESS STAKES

saturday // may 16

G1 - $2,000,000

SCENE SETTER: Cherie DeVaux became the first female trainer to win a Kentucky Derby 2 weeks ago when GOLDEN TEMPO wore the roses. That distinction remains in the Preakness storylines as Brittany Russell (TAJ MAHAL) takes aim at another chance for history in the last of the Triple Crown races yet to be won by a female trainer. Preakness-winning trainers among this year’s lineup include 2-time victors Steve Asmussen (CHIP HONCHO) and Chad Brown (IRON HONOR) as well as solo winner Doug O’Neill (ROBUSTA). The last trainer to win a Preakness debut was Michael McCarthy in 2021 with Rombauer. This year’s cast includes 6 race rookies: John Ennis (GREAT WHITE), Chad Summers (NAPOLEON SOLO), Whit Beckman (OCELLI), Jeremiah Englehart (PRETTY BOY MIAH), Danny Gargan (TALKIN), Riley Mott (INCREDIBOLT) and Todd Fincher (THE HELL WE DID).

quote book:

BULL BY THE HORNS

Trainer Saffie Joseph, on taking a shot in a wide-open middle jewel of the Triple Crown: “When we looked at the Preakness, we thought there’s not much downside. He’s going to like the distance … Obviously, his number didn’t come back that fast (in the Rushaway at Turfway Park), but the race came up productive. The horse that ran third (Trendsetter) came back to win the Lexington. Visually, it was very important, and the productivity of the race is even more important than numbers, in my opinion. That gives me a little confidence to go forward.” – Laurel Park Publicity

CHIP HONCHO

Trainer Steve Asmussen, on Fair Grounds rival Golden Tempo and the influence of his former stable star Curlin: “I’m extremely happy with the results of the Derby. Curlin finally got his Derby done, which is unbelievable. The horse that was second [Renegade] is out of a Curlin mare and the horse that was third is by Connect, who’s by Curlin. It was a Curlin Derby.

CORONA DE ORO

Trainer Dallas Stewart: “I love the horse. I’ve loved him since I bought him. I own a piece of him.

Trainer Dallas Stewart, on his Preakness chances: “When you have John Velazquez, we’ll start with that.

CRUPPER

Trainer Donnie Von Hemel on his pedigree: “I think him and his family have shown an aptitude for longer races. He’s a decent-sized horse. I think he’s still maturing. I don’t think he’s a finished horse or anything yet … like next year is going to better than this year.” – Daily Racing Form

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $8 Exacta Box: INCREDIBOLT, TAJ MAHAL, CHIP HONCHO, CRUPPER ($96)
  • $2 Exacta Box: INCREDIBOLT and TAJ MAHAL ($4)

TOP 4 PICKS

1. INCREDIBOLT
2. TAJ MAHAL
3. CHIP HONCHO
4. CRUPPER

stats and trends

last 10 favorites finish
last 10 winners prep/FINISH

handicapping resources

RACE 13

scott shapiro

PREAKNESS STAKES

scott's TAKE

G1 - $2,000,000

SCENE SETTER: The Preakness Stakes is a year younger than its Triple Crown counterpart in the Kentucky Derby, and this 151st edition will be quite different than the past. The venue changes to Laurel Park, true, but the field makeup continues its seismic shift of recent years. Despite the once-common carryover of horseflesh from Louisville to Baltimore, the betting public’s response to the middle jewel dazzles with record interest. In the absence of a Derby winner in 2019, a then-record $99 million was bet on the day. The ’22 edition without Rich Strike posted the then second-highest handle in history at $104 million, while last year’s bypass from Sovereignty didn’t slow business as $110 million was bet – currently the second-highest mark in history behind $112 million in 2021. The top-5 betting handles in Preakness history have come in the last 5 years when held in Spring – with or without the buoy of Kentucky Derby starpower.

quote book:

EXPRESS KID

Trainer Justin Evans, on not having a race since the Feb. 15 Sunland Derby: “I wish maybe that we’d had a race since then but we ran into some issues. He got a little sick on me there for a few days where all that stuff was kind of going around everywhere it seemed like. He spiked a fever for a few days. He came out of it fast, but it eliminated us from kind of getting a race where we wanted to be. You’ve got look on the bright side of it. He’s fresh, he’s doing good, he’s had a couple of nice works…” – Laurel Park Publicity

GREAT WHITE

Trainer John Ennis, on his one and only Preakness workout post-Derby: “Everything was easy, smooth, he’s ready to go … If he’s feeling good and his energy level’s good, I’ll be there.” – Daily Racing Form

IRON HONOR

Chad Brown on his May 9 workout on the Belmont training track and on removing blinkers for the Preakness: “The track was a little quick after that break, but he worked well and galloped out well and came back good. I think it was a good, solid work for him. I think he looks like he’s ready to give it a go ... He’s much more relaxed without blinkers.” – Daily Racing Form

NAPOLEON SOLO

Trainer Chad Summer, on a stop-and-go 2026 season: “The rust of the first race, the ailment of the heel bruise (that forced him to miss the Arkansas Derby and a workout before the Wood Memorial) are behind him/ To me, he looks like he’s finally the horse that we want him to be and just kind of continue from where he was as a 2-year-old …If he can sit off and then have that burst of energy at Laurel where at least we’re running to the first wire and not the second, it might be tough for the closers to come from behind … Paco (Lopez) wants to win so much. He’ll ride a $5,000 claimer at Parx on Monday and a Grade 1 on Saturday and he’ll give you the same ride. He lets horses do what they want to do, and I think that’s what this horse is all about.” – Daily Racing Form

OCELLI

Trainer Whit Beckman, on the Preakness race shape: “If you look at it from a pace perspective, it could go as fast as the Derby. He’s doing great. That’s the only reason I’m saying ‘yeah, maybe.’ The horse is doing fantastic. The horse is made of iron. Generally, I run a horse, they may not come to the front of their stall for a week. He was right there .. The only downside is if the horse is not ready to do it.”  - Laurel Park Publicity

Trainer Whit Beckman, on the colt’s winless record: “Nobody said it to my face, but I’m sure people were thinking, ‘How stupid is this guy putting in a maiden?’ But they don’t get to see what I see every day. They don’t get to see a horse that wants more and more and more, that trains like an absolute terror. I think the thing we always miss is the development of these 3-year-olds. You don’t know who is going to be the best 3-year-old on the first Saturday in May, in comparison to horses rounding into form in March and April.” - Laurel Park Publicity

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $15 Exacta: OCELLI over TALKIN, CHIP HONCHO, INCREDIBOLT ($45)
  • $20 Exacta: CHIP HONCHO, INCREDIBOLT over OCELLI ($40)
  • $15 Exacta: TALKIN over OCELLI

TOP 4 picks

1. OCELLI
2. CHIP HONCHO
3. INCREDIBOLT
4. TALKIN

preakness, THE LAST...

Kentucky Derby winner to win: Justify (2018)

Kentucky Derby runner-up to win: Journalism (2025)

Kentucky Derby show horse to win: Curlin (2007)

Kentucky Derby off the board finisher to win: War of Will (2019)

Kentucky Derby exacta to repeat 1-2 in Preakness: I’ll Have Another-Bodemeister (2012)

Kentucky Derby trifecta to repeat 1-2-3 in Preakness: Affirmed-Alydar-Believe It (1978)

Non-Kentucky Derby alum to win: Seize the Grey (2024)

Jockey to win back-to-back: Victor Espinoza 2014-’15 with California Chrome and American Pharoah

Jockey to win his debut: Umberto Rispoli (2005) with Journalism; prior Jaime Torres (2024) with Seize the Grey

Trainer to win back-to-back: Bob Baffert (2001-‘02) with Point Given & War Emblem

Trainer to win his Debut: Michael McCarthy (2021) with Rombauer

Filly to win: Swiss Skydiver (2020), last of 5 fillies to have won this race

Gelding to win: Funny Cide (2003)

Wire-to-wire winner: Aloma’s Ruler (1982); note ’24 Seize the Grey, ’23 National Treasure, ’18 Justify, ’15 American Pharoah, ’13 Oxbow, ’09 Rachel Alexandra, ’96 Louis Quatorze led all but start call

Winner to close from more than 10 lengths back: Exaggerator (2016) from 11 ½ lengths back after ¼ mile

handicapping resources

RACE 13

JEREMY PLONK

PREAKNESS STAKES

PLONK'S PLAY

G1 - $2,000,000

SCENE SETTER: This marks the 10th anniversary of the 2016 Kentucky Derby rematch when Derby runner-up Exaggerator splashed through the mud to roar past Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist et al in the Preakness. It’s the 25th anniversary of Kentucky Derby beaten favorite Point Given rebounding at Pimlico in 2001 and going on to win two-thirds of the Triple Crown. Fifty years ago, Elocutionist took advantage of the speed duel between Bold Forbes and Honest Pleasure to outkick them all and upset the 1976 middle jewel. And it’s been a century since eventual Hall of Famer Display bounced back from a 10th-place disappointment at Churchill Downs to win the black-eyed Susans. Throughout history, the Preakness has proven a perfect place for redemption.

POST DRAW REACTION & WAGERING NOTES

quote book:

PRETTY BOY MIAH

Trainer Jeremiah Englehart: “[We’re] trying to have fun and at the same time let him develop how we want to see him develop. He’s doing things now that I kind of felt like he was going to do since he came in … That’s why you get into this. You want to take chances on big days and great races. It’s a great spot, so hopefully we get a chance to run in it and have some fun.” - Laurel Park Publicity

ROBUSTA

Trainer Doug O’Neill: “He’s got speed, he’s got stamina, he’s got class. If things go his way, he can be a factor. If all goes well, we’re hoping to see it Preakness Day.” - Laurel Park Publicity

Trainer Doug O’Neill on the Preakness: “It’s such an historic race, Middle Jewel of the Triple Crown. Obviously, it’s a unique situation this year being at Laurel Park, but all that stuff is a good addition to an exciting afternoon and we’re optimistic that we can see it through.” - Laurel Park Publicity

TAJ MAHAL

Jockey Sheldon Russell, on his Federico Tesio victory from post 10: “The outside post is always going to be a worry. I’ve rode a lot of races here, and I’ve lost a lot from that outside post. The goal was not to make the lead because we had the outside post. The plan was that this might be the race where something else does the dirty work, and he looms outside. He warmed up like he was going to break out of there and do something. He was there for me the second, third, fourth jump, and he wouldn’t stop until he got across.” – Laurel Park Publicity

Trainer Brittany Russell, on his recent attitude. “After he ran in the Tesio, he seemed to know. He had that air [about him]. We all came back to the barn and he was just posing.” - Laurel Park Publicity

TALKIN

Trainer Danny Gargan, on his horse’s development: “He’s not a huge horse, but he’s eating really well. He’s put on weight [and] he’s put on muscle since his last race … He’s come out of that race better than he went into it. He used to swap leads, used to crossfire a lot in behind. He’s gotten stronger and stopped doing that lately, and that’s a big encouragement to move forward. He’s just getting more mature. We’ve been really patient with him, let him get there. And I think we’ve done everything we can to give him his best chance in the Preakness … I never really planned on running in the Derby all year,” he said. “We had enough points to get in, but we stuck with our game plan. We know we have a horse that’s coming around. I want to go to the Derby more than anybody, but I want to win the Derby. I thought the best move for him was to give him the time to let him fill out a little more and shoot for the Preakness…” - Laurel Park Publicity

THE HELL WE DID

Trainer Todd Fincher, on this colt being half-brother to Senor Buscador: “He’s just like his brother. I don’t know how many different tracks his brother ran at, but he’s handled everything really good. They’re both big horses. I think The Hell We Did is a smoother traveler. As far as hitting the ground I think he travels a little bit better. … I trained the mama (Rose’s Gold) and she was great to us. Every one of her babies has been good and they’ve taken us to different tracks and countries. It’s just been awesome.- Laurel Park Publicity

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $3 Trifecta Key: INCREDIBOLT over OCELLI, TAJ MAHAL, THE HELL WE DID, BULL BY THE HORNS, CRUPPER, CHIP HONCHO ($90)
  • $2 Trifecta Part-Wheel: INCREDIBILT with CHIP HONCHO with OCELLI, TAJ MAHAL, THE HELL WE DID, BULL BY THE HORNS, CRUPPER ($20)

TOP 4 picks

1. INCREDIBOLT
2. OCELLI
3. CHIP HONCHO
4. TAJ MAHAL

STATS & TRENDS

PREAKNESS WINNERS WHO SKIPPED DERBY
HALF-MILE LEADERS
PREAKNESS FUTURE WAGER WILL-PAYS

handicapping resources

preakness stakes

THE LAST 20 YEARS

FACT SHEET

WIN-PLACE-SHOW ODDS

WIN ODDS
Average
5.93-to-1
--
High
15.40
Oxbow '13
Low
.20
Big Brown '08
Notable: Last year Journalism (1-1) was the shortest-priced winner since Justify (2-5) in 2018.
PLACE ODDS
Average
11.20-to-1
--
High
39.90
Macho Again '08
Low
1.20
Epicenter '22
Notable: Gosger (15-1) last year with the highest-priced runner-up since 2019.
SHOW ODDS
Average
13.01-to-1
--
High
31.70
Senior Investment '17
Low
.70
Nyquist '16
Notable: 5 straight third-place finishers have been 10-1 or less odds.

exotics payoffs

EXACTA ($2 PAYOFFS)
Average
$129.04
--
High
$947.00
War of Will - Everfast '19
Low
$18.20
California Chrome - Ride On Curlin '14
Notable: 26 of the last 29 exactas have had at least 1 horse 3-1 or less on the ticket.
TRIFECTA ($2 PAYOFFS)
Average
$791.29
--
High
$4,699.80
War of Will - Everfast - Owendale '19
Low
$35.40
I’ll Have Another - Bodemeister - Creative Cause '12
Notable: 3 of the last 4 have paid $73.50 or less.
SUPERFECTA ($1 PAYOFFS)
Average
$5,414.26
--
High
$51,924
War of Will - Everfast - Owendale - Warrior’s Charge '19
Low
$72.40
National Treasure - Blazing Sevens - Mage - Red Route One '23
Notable: 14 of 28 Preakness superfecta returns all-time have paid $1000 or more, but none in the last 5years.

'25 preakness handle totals

IN MILLIONS EXCEPT BES/PREAK DD

'25 preakness replay

  • Journalism
  • Gosger
  • Sandman
  • Goal Oriented
  • Heart of Honor
'25 PAYOUTS (W-P-S JOURNALISM)
$2 Win: $4.00
$2 Place: $2.80
$2 Show: $2.40
$2 Exacta: $33.80
$.50Trifecta: $36.75
$.10 Superfecta: $30.34
$1 Exact-5: $3,534.60
$2 Double: $21.60
$.50 Pick 3: $11.30
$.50 Pick 4: $88.85
$.50 Pick 5: $413.70
$.50 Pick 6: $2,276.32

'24 preakness handle totals

IN MILLIONS EXCEPT BES/PREAK DD

'24 preakness replay

  • Seize the Grey
  • Mystik Dan
  • Catching Freedom
  • Tuscan Gold
  • Just Steel
'24 PAYOUTS (W-P-S SEIZE THE GREY)
$2 Win: $21.60
$2 Place: $8.40
$2 Show: $4.40
$2 Exacta: $119.40
$.50Trifecta: $91.85
$.10 Superfecta: $74.90
$1 Exact-5: $2,986.80
$2 Double: $317.40
$.50 Pick 3: $538.90
$.50 Pick 4: $1,826.65
$.50 Pick 5: $11,526.85
$.50 Pick 6: $10,000.94