1/st bet // xpressbet

weekly primer

SARATOGA SUMMER meet

july - september 2024

1/st bet // xpressbet

weekly primer

SARATOGA SUMMER meet

july - september 2024

SARATOGA

RACING CALENDAR

july - 2024

SUN
MON
TUE
WED
THU
FRI
SAT
7
No
Racing
8
No
Racing
9
No
Racing
10
No
Racing
11
Opening
Day
12
13
Diana S. (G1)
14
15
No
Racing
16
No
Racing
17
18
19
20
CC American Oaks (G1)
21
22
No
Racing
23
No
Racing
24
25
26
27
Jim Dandy (G1)
28
29
No
Racing
30
No
Racing
31

AUGUST - 2024

SUN
MON
TUE
WED
THU
FRI
SAT
-
-
-
-
1
2
3
Whitney S. (G1)
4
5
No
Racing
6
No
Racing
7
8
9
10
Fourstardave H. (G1)
11
12
No
Racing
13
No
Racing
14
15
16
17
Alabama (G1)
18
19
No
Racing
20
No
Racing
21
22
23
Personal Ensign (G1)
24
Travers (G1)
25
26
No
Racing
27
No
Racing
28
29
30
31

SEPTEMBER - 2024

SUN
MON
TUE
WED
THU
FRI
SAT
1
Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1)
2
Closing
Day
Hopeful (G1)

it's official racing podcast

  • jeff siegel & jeremy plonk

scott shapiro

BEST DAYS RANKED

SARATOGA

SUMMER MEET

Summer officially starts in June, but for horseplayers it’snot really summer until opening day at Saratoga. This year that comes on Thursday, July 11 and here at Xpressbet and 1/ST BET we cannot wait. Get out those calendars and block off the days we absolutely do not want tomiss over the next couple of months.  

1 - August 24: Travers Day is without question the best day on the Saratoga calendar. The card headlined by the biggest non-Triple Crown 3YO race in North America is choked full of huge races, including a quintet of Grade 1 events. There     will be star power on hand throughout the day and a plethora of great wagering opportunities from start-to-finish. This is the card of the summer and one to be sure to circle well in advance.  

2 - August 3: Travers Day may reign supreme in upstate New York but Saturday August 3rd is far from chopped liver. With four graded stakes races scheduled and a million-dollar feature with recent winners like Knicks Go, Life Is Good, and White Abarrio it is easy to understand why Whitney Day is another must watch and wager event. In addition to a chance to see some of the best older horses in training, the card also features one of my personal favorite races to handicap in the Test (G1) and the Saratoga Derby Invitational (G1) over the grass. I cannot wait for the first massive Saturday stakes card at the Spa this summer.  

3 - July 11: The first card of the summer in Saratoga Springs is not loaded with graded stakes races but it always feels so great to get back to action at one of North America’s most treasured venues. The Schuylerville (G2) for 2YO fillies is the traditional feature and gives us an early glimpse at some of the most talented young ladies in the country. I know I will have my XpressBet account loaded up and ready to go for Thursday. I bet you will as well.  

4 - August 10: Fourstardave Day is named for the son of Compliance who won at least one race at Saratoga each year from 1987 to 1994. He is honored on this mid-August Saturday and deservingly so. A fan favorite, the Leo O’Brien trainee won 21 of 99 overall and the $500,000 two-turn turf race named for him headlines a card that also includes the Saratoga Special (G2). Locals will be out in droves to show their support for one of the best New York breds of all time. I will be ready to fire from home.  

5 - July 13: I’ve been fortunate enough to spend lots of time at Saratoga over the years and some of my most memorable moments are during the first Saturday of the summer. Few things are more exciting than knowing that this is just the beginning. The Diana (G1) is the traditional feature with the Kelso (G3) and Sanford (G3) also on tap. Hopefully we have already built a bankroll on Thursday and Friday.    

When you are an everyday horseplayer like myself, you are excited for every card at Saratoga, but there is no doubt the five biggest days get the blood flowing that much more. Let’s have a big summer at the Spa!

saratoga

top betting factors

betmix

Betmix and 1/ST BET offer a myriad of tools to handicap any race in North America. By employing the Betmix Angler, you can test various angles and factors. Let’s look at the best two-factor combos by race type for Saratoga over the last 3 years. When a horse is ranked first in a race in both of these categories, horseplayers should give them deeper consideration. There will not necessarily be a qualifying horse in any given race. These horses can be found using the factor combinations given in Angler and similar factor mixes can be performed within the 1/ST BET app.

jeremy plonk

saratoga

road to the travers

summer meet

Saratoga’s signature race, the Travers Stakes, long has been billed as the “Midsummer Derby.” Set for August 24, the Travers annually matches horses familiar through the Triple Crown series and those late-bloomers rocketing toward stardom. The 2023 event saw the winners of the Kentucky Derby (Mage), Preakness (National Treasure) and Belmont (Arcangelo) match up in a unique showdown won by Aracangelo.
//

The road to the 155th edition of the Travers winds up in Saratoga, but also includes national stops along the way.
Here are the key races to follow:

July 6 | $200,000 Dwyer at Aqueduct
July 6 | $300,000 Indiana Derby at Horseshoe Indianapolis
July 6 | $250,000 Iowa Derby at Prairie Meadows
July 19 | $135,000 Curlin at Saratoga
July 20 | $1,000,000 Haskell at Monmouth
July 27 | $500,000 Jim Dandy at Saratoga
August 4 | $500,000 West Virginia Derby at Mountaineer
August 11 | $275,000 Ellis Park Derby
August 24 | $1,250,000 Travers at Saratoga
Historical note: The last 5 Travers winners exited the Belmont Stakes, Jim Dandy, Jim Dandy, Dwyer and Belmont Stakes (not including 2020 when Travers scheduled before Triple Crown).
//

Among the key players to watch for the 2024 Travers include both well-known and up-and-coming names:

Mystik Dan (Kenny McPeek) | Kentucky Derby winner and Preakness runner-up
Seize the Grey (D. Wayne Lukas) | Preakness winner
Dornoch (Danny Gargan) | Belmont Stakes winner
Sierra Leone (Chad Brown) | Kentucky Derby runner-up, Belmont third-place finisher
Mindframe (Todd Pletcher) | Belmont Stakes runner-up
Fierceness (Todd Pletcher) | Florida Derby winner and ’23 Champion 2YO
Parenting (Bob Baffert) | Affirmed Stakes winner
Honor Marie (Whit Beckman) | Belmont Stakes fourth-place finisher
Batten Down (Bill Mott) | Ohio Derby winner
Muth (Bob Baffert) | Arkansas Derby winner
Stronghold (Phil D’Amato) | Santa Anita Derby winner
Domestic Product (Chad Brown) | Tampa Bay Derby winner
Tuscan Sky (Todd Pletcher) | Pegasus Stakes winner
Antiquarian (Todd Pletcher) | Peter Pan Stakes winner
Historical note: The last Kentucky Derby winner to add the Travers was Street Sense (‘07); Preakness winner to add Travers was Bernardini (‘06); Belmont winner to add Travers was Arcangelo (’23).
//

Travers Day at Saratoga includes 4 additional Grade 1 stakes on its undercard:

$500,000 Ballerina | F&M sprinters
$500,000 Forego | sprinters
$500,000 Jerkens | 3YO sprinters
$750,000 Sword Dancer | turf routers

meet the

saratoga

jockeys

Flavien Prat
STATS →
Flavien Prat
Age:
31 (8/4/92)
Hometowm:
Melun, France
Rookie Year:
2009
Career Wins:
1,700 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 0
Best Know For:
Regular rider of 2022 Horse of the Year Flightline, including Breeders’ Cup Classic.

Frankie Dettori
STATS →
Frankie Dettori
Age:
53 (12/15/70)
Hometowm:
Milan, Italy
Rookie Year:
1987
Career Wins:
3,300 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 0
Best Know For:
23 British classics victories, 15 Breeders’ Cup wins and a signature flying dismount.

Irad Ortiz Jr.
STATS →
Irad Ortiz Jr.
Age:
31 (8/11/92)
Hometowm:
Trujillo Alta, Puerto Rico
Rookie Year:
2011
Career Wins:
3,900 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 5 (’15, ’18, ’20, ’22, ’23)
Best Know For:
5-time Eclipse Award winner as nation’s top annual jockey.

Javier Castellano
STATS →
Javier Castellano
Age:
46 (10/23/77)
Hometowm:
Maracaibo, Venezuela
Rookie Year:
1997
Career Wins:
5,800 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 2 (2013, 2014)
Best Know For:
2017 Hall of Fame inductee is a 4-time Eclipse Award winner and has won all 3 Triple Crown races.

Joel Rosario
STATS →
Joel Rosario
Age:
39 (1/14/85)
Hometowm:
Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
Rookie Year:
2003
Career Wins:
3,600 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 0
Best Know For:
2024 Hall of Fame inductee won 2013 Kentucky Derby aboard Orb.

John Velazquez
STATS →
John Velazquez
Age:
52 (11/24/71)
Hometowm:
Carolina, Puerto Rico
Rookie Year:
1990
Career Wins:
6,600 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 5 (’98, ’03, ’04, ’10, ’11)
Best Know For:
2012 Hall of Fame inductee is a 3-time Kentucky Derby winner (2011, 2017, 2020).

Jose Lezcano
STATS →
Jose Lezcano
Age:
39 (4/20/85)
Hometowm:
Chiriqui, Panama
Rookie Year:
2004
Career Wins:
3,300 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 0
Best Know For:
Won the 2013 Breeders’ Cup Mile aboard the versatile superstar Wise Dan.

Jose Ortiz
STATS →
Jose Ortiz
Age:
30 (10/2/93)
Hometowm:
Trujillo Alta, Puerto Rico
Rookie Year:
2012
Career Wins:
3,000 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 3 (’16, ’17, ’19)
Best Know For:
Won 2022 Preakness (Early Voting) and 2017 Belmont Stakes (Tapwrit).

Junior Alvarado
STATS →
Junior Alvarado
Age:
38 (5/20/86)
Hometowm:
Baquisimeto, Venezuela
Rookie Year:
2007
Career Wins:
2,100 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 0
Best Know For:
Regular rider for 2-time Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile winner and Horse of the Year Cody’s Wish.

Luis Saez
STATS →
Luis Saez
Age:
32 (5/19/92)
Hometowm:
Panama City, Panama
Rookie Year:
2009
Career Wins:
3,500 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 1 (2021)
Best Know For:
Two-time Belmont Stakes winner, including Dornoch in 2024 and Essential Quality in 2021.

Manny Franco
STATS →
Manny Franco
Age:
29 (12/19/94)
Hometowm:
Carolina, Puerto Rico
Rookie Year:
2013
Career Wins:
2,100 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 0
Best Know For:
Regular rider for 2020 Belmont Stakes winner Tiz the Law.

Tyler Gaffalione
STATS →
Tyler Gaffalione
Age:
29 (9/12/94)
Hometowm:
Davie, Florida
Rookie Year:
2014
Career Wins:
2,300 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 0
Best Know For:
2015 Eclipse Award as nation’s top apprentice also guided War of Will to 2019 Preakness title.

meet the

saratoga

trainers

Bill Mott
STATS →
Bill Mott
Age:
70 (7/29/53)
Hometowm:
Mobridge, SD
Rookie Year:
1973
Career Wins:
5,400 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 9 (’92, ’93, ’95-’97, ’99-’01, ‘07)
Best Know For:
1998 Hall of Famer is a 4-time Eclipse Award winner and trained the legendary Cigar.

Brad Cox
STATS →
Brad Cox
Age:
44 (3/3/80)
Hometowm:
Louisville, KY
Rookie Year:
2004
Career Wins:
2,300 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 0
Best Know For:
2-time Eclipse Award winner as nation’s top trainer has 10 Breeders’ Cup wins.

Chad Brown
STATS →
Chad Brown
Age:
45 (12/18/78)
Hometowm:
Mechanicville, NY
Rookie Year:
2007
Career Wins:
2,600 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 6 (’16, ’18, ’19, ’21, ’22, ’23)
Best Know For:
4-time Eclipse Award winner as nation’s top trainer has won 18 Breeders’ Cup races and the Preakness twice.

Christophe Clement
STATS →
Christophe Clement
Age:
58 (11/1/65)
Hometowm:
Paris, France
Rookie Year:
1991
Career Wins:
2,400 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 0
Best Know For:
Trained 2014 Belmont Stakes winner Tonalist.

George Weaver
STATS →
George Weaver
Age:
53 (12/23/70)
Hometowm:
Louisville, KY
Rookie Year:
2002
Career Wins:
990 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 0
Best Know For:
Trained millionaire Met Mile winner Vekoma.

Linda Rice
STATS →
Linda Rice
Age:
60 (3/7/64)
Hometowm:
Racine, WI
Rookie Year:
1987
Career Wins:
2,400 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 2 (2009, 2023)
Best Know For:
Only female trainer in history to win the Saratoga meet title.

Mike Maker
STATS →
Mike Maker
Age:
55 (2/7/69)
Hometowm:
Garden City, MI
Rookie Year:
1993
Career Wins:
3,300 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 0
Best Know For:
Has trained 10 horses who earned $1M-plus predominately on turf.

Steve Asmussen
STATS →
Steve Asmussen
Age:
58 (11/19/65)
Hometowm:
Gettysburg, SD
Rookie Year:
1986
Career Wins:
10,500 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 0
Best Know For:
Record holder for most training wins in North American racing history was a 2016 Hall of Fame inductee.

Todd Pletcher
STATS →
Todd Pletcher
Age:
57 (6/26/67)
Hometowm:
Dallas, TX
Rookie Year:
1996
Career Wins:
5,700 +
Track/Season Titles:
SAR: 14 (’98, ’02-’06, ’10-’15, ’17, ’20)
Best Know For:
2021 Hall of Fame inductee is a 2-time Kentucky Derby winner and 4-time Belmont winner.

SARATOGA

exclusive coverage

the machine

all races

FULL CARD saratoga 8/27

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE picks

powered by betmix

The 1/ST BET 'Machine' analyzes millions of data points over more than 50 important handicapping factors for each race to create an exclusive handicapping outcome driven by big data.

POST
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
FAIR ODDS
RACE 1
11:35AM ET // MAIDEN - $105,000
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
4
DIDINGER
28%
49%
69%
2
TRACK MATE
18%
40%
55%
7
STANDARD OF PROOF
14%
31%
48%
5
NARCISO DALI
12%
20%
27%
RACE 2
12:08PM ET // MAIDEN - $105,000
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
4
ALEXIS ZORBA
25%
46%
63%
1
FIRE BARON
20%
31%
48%
10
FUNTASTIC AGAIN
12%
21%
34%
7
AMERICA'S GUEST
9%
31%
42%
RACE 3
12:44PM ET // ALLOWANCE - $95,000
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
1
on the hill
30%
48%
59%
6
majority partner
16%
29%
47%
9
great workout
14%
36%
54%
2
bold journey
9%
20%
32%
RACE 4 // BALLSTON SPA STAKES
1:17PM ET // GRADE 2 - $400,000
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
4
FLUFFY SOCKS
30%
55%
76%
5
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
23%
47%
68%
3
OUR FLASH DRIVE
18%
40%
57%
2
LEMISTA
18%
31%
55%
RACE 5 // FOREGO STAKES
1:55PM ET // GRADE 1 - $600,000
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
3
JACKIE'S WARRIOR
26%
49%
69%
1
BABY YODA
18%
32%
54%
5
CODY'S WISH
15%
37%
53%
7
KNEEDEEPINSNOW
14%
26%
41%
RACE 6
2:32PM ET // STARTER ALLOWANCE - $70,000
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
5
BALTASAR
26%
45%
56%
2
LIFE CHANGER
20%
30%
41%
8
LUNI SIMA
18%
24%
34%
9
DOCTOR LOVE
8%
18%
26%
RACE 7
3:12PM ET // ALLOWANCE - $120,000
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
3
DISCREET TUNE
17%
34%
50%
9
HIGHER STANDARD
15%
44%
50%
7
CAZADERO
15%
23%
35%
1
comedy town
11%
19%
31%
RACE 8 // H. ALLEN JERKENS STAKES
13:52PM ET // GRADE 1 - $500,000
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
6
JACK CHRISTOPHER
25%
45%
63%
8
GUNITE
17%
29%
48%
1
CONAGHER
13%
34%
47%
9
ACCRETIVE
13%
23%
37%
RACE 9 // PERSONAL ENSIGN STAKES
4:32PM ET // GRADE 1 - $600,000
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
3
CLAIRIERE
33%
60%
76%
2
SEARCH RESULTS
21%
42%
64%
5
MALATHAAT
20%
51%
69%
1
LETRUSKA
15%
24%
38%
RACE 10 // SWORD DANCER STAKES
5:05PM ET // GRADE 1 - $750,000
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
6
GUFO
24%
40%
50%
9
CHANNEL MAKER
15%
28%
38%
1
ADHAMO
11%
23%
34%
8
SOLIDER RISING
9%
20%
30%
RACE 11 // TRAVERS STAKES
5:44PM ET // GRADE 1 - $1,250,000
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
7
EARLY VOTING
31%
50%
69%
8
ZANDON
21%
35%
50%
6
EPICENTER
14%
32%
51%
2
RICH STRIKE
9%
22%
38%
RACE 12
6:20PM ET // MAIDEN - $88,000
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
2
FEATHERS ROAD
24%
44%
51%
7
HEYMACKIT'SJACK
14%
32%
47%
8
SIR JOHN
14%
26%
37%
5
RIPE FOR MISCHIEF
10%
16%
26%
RACE 13
6:52PM ET // ALLOWANCE - $15,000
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
2
INVINCIBLE GAL
21%
35%
52%
1
PARNAC
18%
26%
38%
12
JANE GREY
14%
24%
31%
4
WICKED GROOVE
13%
24%
34%