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wager guide

breeders' cup championships

nov4-nov5//2022

keeneland

race course

welcome to breeders' cup

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breeders' cup

NEED-TO-KNOW

HOST SITE:
KEENELAND RACE COURSE // LEXINGTON, KY
RACE DATE:
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 4 & SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 5
FIRST RACE POST TIME FRIDAY:
11:55AM ET
FIRST RACE POST TIME SATURDAY:
10:30AM ET
WATCH FREE AND WAGER:
ALL RACES ON 1/ST BET APP // XPRESSBET.COM
TELEVISION:
FRIDAY 2:00-6:00PM ET USA NETWORK
SATURDAY 1:00-3:30PM ET USA NETWORK &
3:30-6:00PM ET NBC
WAGERING NOTES:
ADVANCE WAGERING (FULL CARD // AVAILABLE FRIDAY)
2-DAY DAILY DOUBLES: JUVENILE FILLIES/DISTAFF, JUVENILE/CLASSIC, JUVENILE TURF/TURF

"future stars friday" lineup (ALL TIMES ET)

JUVENILE TURF SPRINT
$1M
3:00PM
RACE 6
5 1/2 FUR
JUVENILE FILLIES
$2M
3:40PM
RACE 7
1 1/16 MI
JUVENILE FILLIES TURF
$1M
4:20PM
RACE 8
1 MI
JUVENILE
$2M
5:00PM
RACE 9
1 1/16 MI
JUVENILE TURF
$1M
5:40PM
RACE 10
1 MI

BREEDERS' CUP saturday lineup (ALL TIMES ET)

FILLY & MARE SPRINT
$1M
11:50AM
RACE 3
7 FUR
TURF SPRINT
$1M
12:29PM
RACE 4
5 1/2 FUR
DIRT MILE
$1M
1:10PM
RACE 5
1 MI
FILLY & MARE TURF
$2M
1:50PM
RACE 6
1 3/16 MI
SPRINT
$2M
2:30PM
RACE 7
6 FUR
MILE
$2M
3:10PM
RACE 8
1 MI
DISTAFF
$2M
3:55PM
RACE 9
1 1/8 MI
TURF
$4M
4:40PM
RACE 10
1 1/2 MI
CLASSIC
$6M
5:40PM
RACE 11
1 1/4 MI

digital wager guide update schedule

MONDAY, OCTOBER 31
WEEKEND WORKOUT VIDEOS
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 1
POST DRAW // ANALYSTS' FINAL DIVISIONAL PICKS
WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 2
1/ST BET FRIDAY A.I. PROJECTIONS // BETMIX PPS // REMAINING ANALYSTS' FINAL DIVISIONAL PICKS
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 3
1/ST BET SATURDAY A.I. PROJECTIONS // WORKOUT VIDEOS
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 4
FIRST CALL PODCAST | JEFF SIEGEL & JEREMY PLONK

first call | jeff siegel & jeremy plonk

  • JUVENILE FILLIES
  • JUVENILE TURF
  • FILLY & MARE SPRINT
  • DIRT MILE
  • FILLY & MARE TURF
  • MILE
  • DISTAFF
  • TURF

breeders' cup classic

post positions

1
TAIBA
(8-1)
Owner:
Zedan Racing
Trainer:
Bob Baffert
Jockey:
Mike Smith
2
LIFE IS GOOD
(6-1)
Owner:
Winstar Farm
Trainer:
Todd Pletcher
Jockey:
Irad Ortiz Jr.
3
HAPPY SAVER
(30-1)
Owner:
Wertheimer Et Frere
Trainer:
Todd Pletcher
Jockey:
John Velazquez
4
FLIGHTLINE
(3-5)
Owner:
Hronis Racing
Trainer:
John Sadler
Jockey:
Flavien Prat
5
HOT ROD CHARLIE
(15-1)
Owner:
Roadrunner Racing
Trainer:
Doug O'Neill
Jockey:
Tyler Gaffallone
6
EPICENTER
(5-1)
Owner:
Winchell Thoroughbreds
Trainer:
Steve Asmussen
Jockey:
Joel Rosario
7
OLYMPIAD
(10-1)
Owner:
Grandview Equine
Trainer:
William Mott
Jockey:
Junior Alvarado
8
RICH STRIKE
(20-1)
Owner:
Red Tr-Racing
Trainer:
Eric Reed
Jockey:
Sonny Leon

meet the

breeders' cup

top contenders

HORSENAME

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HORSENAME

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HORSENAME

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HORSENAME

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Suspendisse varius enim in eros elementum tristique. Duis cursus, mi quis viverra ornare, eros dolor interdum nulla, ut commodo diam libero vitae erat. Aenean faucibus nibh et justo cursus id rutrum lorem imperdiet. Nunc ut sem vitae risus tristique posuere.

HORSENAME

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Suspendisse varius enim in eros elementum tristique. Duis cursus, mi quis viverra ornare, eros dolor interdum nulla, ut commodo diam libero vitae erat. Aenean faucibus nibh et justo cursus id rutrum lorem imperdiet. Nunc ut sem vitae risus tristique posuere.

HORSENAME

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Suspendisse varius enim in eros elementum tristique. Duis cursus, mi quis viverra ornare, eros dolor interdum nulla, ut commodo diam libero vitae erat. Aenean faucibus nibh et justo cursus id rutrum lorem imperdiet. Nunc ut sem vitae risus tristique posuere.

HORSENAME

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Suspendisse varius enim in eros elementum tristique. Duis cursus, mi quis viverra ornare, eros dolor interdum nulla, ut commodo diam libero vitae erat. Aenean faucibus nibh et justo cursus id rutrum lorem imperdiet. Nunc ut sem vitae risus tristique posuere.

HORSENAME

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Suspendisse varius enim in eros elementum tristique. Duis cursus, mi quis viverra ornare, eros dolor interdum nulla, ut commodo diam libero vitae erat. Aenean faucibus nibh et justo cursus id rutrum lorem imperdiet. Nunc ut sem vitae risus tristique posuere.

FLIGHTLINE
CLASSIC
STATS →
FLIGHTLINE
M/L
3-5
Career Record:
5: 5-0-0
Career Earnings:
$1,394,800
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1-1-1
Jockey:
Flavien Prat
Trainer:
John Sadler
Color/Age:
Bay/4YO
Pedigree:
Tapit-Feathered

Undefeated and unchallenged, his Pacific Classic romp at 1-1/4 miles further bolstered his elite sprint and mile performances prior. Has drawn comparisons to 2004 Breeders' Cup Classic winner and Horse of the Year Ghostzapper and greats like Spectacular Bid and Secretariat.

MODERN GAMES
MILE
STATS →
MODERN GAMES
M/L
7-2
Career Record:
12: 6-3-1
Career Earnings:
$2,136,716
Past 5 Races:
2-1-2-5-3
Jockey:
William Buick
Trainer:
Charlie Appleby
Color/Age:
Chestnut / 3YO
Pedigree:
Dubawi-Modern Ideals

Last year's Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf winner has tallied the French 2000 Guineas and the Woodbine Mile in Canada during his sophomore season. He looks to become the first Juvenile Turf winner to add another Breeders' Cup title.

NEST
DISTAFF
STATS →
NEST
M/L
9-5
Career Record:
10: 7-2-1
Career Earnings:
$1,873,050
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1-2-2
Jockey:
Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer:
Todd Pletcher
Color/Age:
Bay/3YO
Pedigree:
Curlin-Marion Ravenwood

Expected favorite in the Distaff won Keeneland's Grade 1 Ashland this spring. Dominant 3YO filly was 2nd in the Belmont Stakes and has won the CCA Oaks, Alabama and Beldame since.

REBEL'S ROMANCE
TURF
STATS →
REBEL'S ROMANCE
M/L
3-1
Career Record:
11: 8-0-0
Career Earnings:
$854,610
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1-1-11
Jockey:
William Buick
Trainer:
Charlie Appleby
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown / 4YO
Pedigree:
Dubawi-Minidress

The 2021 United Arab Emirates Derby winner went to the sidelines for nearly 10 months, but has returned at age 4 to notch back-to-back Group 1 wins in Germany following a couple of scores in England. Trainer Charlie Appleby won this race last year with Yibir.

WAR LIKE GODDESS
TURF
STATS →
WAR LIKE GODDESS
M/L
9-2
Career Record:
12: 9-1-1
Career Earnings:
$1,612,184
Past 5 Races:
1-2-1-1-3
Jockey:
Joel Rosario
Trainer:
Bill Mott
Color/Age:
BAY / 5YO
Pedigree:
English Channel-Misty North

Daughter of BC Turf champ English Channel will bypass the F&M Turf in favor of the 1-1/2 miles trip against the boys in the Turf. Third in last year's championships at Del Mar, she exits an impressive win vs. the boys in the Joe Hirsch Turf Classic.

GOLDEN PAL
TURF SPRINT
STATS →
GOLDEN PAL
M/L
2-1
Career Record:
12: 8-2-0
Career Earnings:
$1,815,131
Past 5 Races:
1-1-16-1-1
Jockey:
Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer:
Wesley Ward
Color/Age:
BAY / 4YO
Pedigree:
Uncle Mo-Lady Shipman

The reigning Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint champ has a perfect record over his home course at Keeneland. He has been favored in all 9 of his career starts on American soil and expected to be the public choice again.

CE CE
F&M SPRINT
STATS →
CE CE
M/L
4-1
Career Record:
22: 11-2-4
Career Earnings:
$2,357,100
Past 5 Races:
1-5-1-3-1
Jockey:
Victor Espinoza
Trainer:
Michael McCarthy
Color/Age:
CHESTNUT / 6YO
Pedigree:
Elusive Quality-Miss Houdini

Defending F&M Sprint winner Ce Ce has won a trio of graded stakes at different venues this year and doesn't appear to be slowing down at age 6. Can join Groupie Doll as repeat winners in this division.

NASHWA
F&M TURF
STATS →
NASHWA
M/L
5-2
Career Record:
7: 4-1-2
Career Earnings:
$1,256,487
Past 5 Races:
2-1-1-3-1
Jockey:
Hollie Doyle
Trainer:
John & Thady Gosden
Color/Age:
Bay / 3YO
Pedigree:
Frankel - Princess Loulou

Runner-up in France's Group 1 Prix de l'Opera on the Arc de Triomphe Day card, she had won the Group 1 French Oaks earlier this year and was third in the Group 1 Epsom Oaks. European 3-year-old fillies have won this race 4 of the last 6 years.

CAVE ROCK
JUVENILE
STATS →
CAVE ROCK
M/L
4-5
Career Record:
3: 3-0-0
Career Earnings:
$408,000
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1
Jockey:
Juan Hernandez
Trainer:
Bob Baffert
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown / 2YO
Pedigree:
Arrogate-Georgie's Angel

California's top 2YO hopeful for the Juvenile, he rolled to victory in Santa Anita's American Pharoah as well as the Del Mar Futurity. Figures to be one of the shortest-priced favorites in the 2-day Breeders' Cup.

FLIGHTLINE
STATS →
CLASSIC
FLIGHTLINE
M/L
3-5
Career Record:
5: 5-0-0
Career Earnings:
$1,394,800
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1-1-1
Jockey:
Flavien Prat
Trainer:
John Sadler
Color/Age:
Bay/4YO
Pedigree:
Tapit-Feathered

Undefeated and unchallenged, his Pacific Classic romp at 1-1/4 miles further bolstered his elite sprint and mile performances prior. Has drawn comparisons to 2004 Breeders' Cup Classic winner and Horse of the Year Ghostzapper and greats like Spectacular Bid and Secretariat.

MODERN GAMES
STATS →
MILE
MODERN GAMES
M/L
7-2
Career Record:
12: 6-3-1
Career Earnings:
$2,136,716
Past 5 Races:
2-1-2-5-3
Jockey:
William Buick
Trainer:
Charlie Appleby
Color/Age:
Chestnut / 3YO
Pedigree:
Dubawi-Modern Ideals

Last year's Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf winner has tallied the French 2000 Guineas and the Woodbine Mile in Canada during his sophomore season. He looks to become the first Juvenile Turf winner to add another Breeders' Cup title.

NEST
STATS →
DISTAFF
NEST
M/L
9-5
Career Record:
10: 7-2-1
Career Earnings:
$1,873,050
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1-2-2
Jockey:
Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer:
Todd Pletcher
Color/Age:
Bay/3YO
Pedigree:
Curlin-Marion Ravenwood

Expected favorite in the Distaff won Keeneland's Grade 1 Ashland this spring. Dominant 3YO filly was 2nd in the Belmont Stakes and has won the CCA Oaks, Alabama and Beldame since.

REBEL'S ROMANCE
STATS →
TURF
REBEL'S ROMANCE
M/L
3-1
Career Record:
11: 8-0-0
Career Earnings:
$854,610
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1-1-11
Jockey:
William Buick
Trainer:
Charlie Appleby
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown / 4YO
Pedigree:
Dubawi-Minidress

The 2021 United Arab Emirates Derby winner went to the sidelines for nearly 10 months, but has returned at age 4 to notch back-to-back Group 1 wins in Germany following a couple of scores in England. Trainer Charlie Appleby won this race last year with Yibir.

WAR LIKE GODDESS
STATS →
TURF
WAR LIKE GODDESS
M/L
9-2
Career Record:
12: 9-1-1
Career Earnings:
$1,612,184
Past 5 Races:
1-2-1-1-3
Jockey:
Joel Rosario
Trainer:
Bill Mott
Color/Age:
BAY / 5YO
Pedigree:
English Channel-Misty North

Daughter of BC Turf champ English Channel will bypass the F&M Turf in favor of the 1-1/2 miles trip against the boys in the Turf. Third in last year's championships at Del Mar, she exits an impressive win vs. the boys in the Joe Hirsch Turf Classic.

GOLDEN PAL
STATS →
TURF SPRINT
GOLDEN PAL
M/L
2-1
Career Record:
12: 8-2-0
Career Earnings:
$1,815,131
Past 5 Races:
1-1-16-1-1
Jockey:
Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer:
Wesley Ward
Color/Age:
BAY / 4YO
Pedigree:
Uncle Mo-Lady Shipman

The reigning Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint champ has a perfect record over his home course at Keeneland. He has been favored in all 9 of his career starts on American soil and expected to be the public choice again.

CE CE
STATS →
F&M SPRINT
CE CE
M/L
4-1
Career Record:
22: 11-2-4
Career Earnings:
$2,357,100
Past 5 Races:
1-5-1-3-1
Jockey:
Victor Espinoza
Trainer:
Michael McCarthy
Color/Age:
CHESTNUT / 6YO
Pedigree:
Elusive Quality-Miss Houdini

Defending F&M Sprint winner Ce Ce has won a trio of graded stakes at different venues this year and doesn't appear to be slowing down at age 6. Can join Groupie Doll as repeat winners in this division.

NASHWA
STATS →
F&M TURF
NASHWA
M/L
5-2
Career Record:
7: 4-1-2
Career Earnings:
$1,256,487
Past 5 Races:
2-1-1-3-1
Jockey:
Hollie Doyle
Trainer:
John & Thady Gosden
Color/Age:
Bay / 3YO
Pedigree:
Frankel - Princess Loulou

Runner-up in France's Group 1 Prix de l'Opera on the Arc de Triomphe Day card, she had won the Group 1 French Oaks earlier this year and was third in the Group 1 Epsom Oaks. European 3-year-old fillies have won this race 4 of the last 6 years.

CAVE ROCK
STATS →
JUVENILE
CAVE ROCK
M/L
4-5
Career Record:
3: 3-0-0
Career Earnings:
$408,000
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1
Jockey:
Juan Hernandez
Trainer:
Bob Baffert
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown / 2YO
Pedigree:
Arrogate-Georgie's Angel

California's top 2YO hopeful for the Juvenile, he rolled to victory in Santa Anita's American Pharoah as well as the Del Mar Futurity. Figures to be one of the shortest-priced favorites in the 2-day Breeders' Cup.

FLIGHTLINE
STATS →
CLASSIC
FLIGHTLINE
M/L
3-5
Career Record:
5: 5-0-0
Career Earnings:
$1,394,800
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1-1-1
Jockey:
Flavien Prat
Trainer:
John Sadler
Color/Age:
Bay/4YO
Sire:
Tapit-Feathered

Undefeated and unchallenged, his Pacific Classic romp at 1-1/4 miles further bolstered his elite sprint and mile performances prior. Has drawn comparisons to 2004 Breeders' Cup Classic winner and Horse of the Year Ghostzapper and greats like Spectacular Bid and Secretariat.

MODERN GAMES
STATS →
MILE
MODERN GAMES
M/L
7-2
Career Record:
12: 6-3-1
Career Earnings:
$2,136,716
Past 5 Races:
2-1-2-5-3
Jockey:
William Buick
Trainer:
Charlie Appleby
Color/Age:
Chestnut / 3YO
Sire:
Dubawi-Modern Ideals

Last year's Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf winner has tallied the French 2000 Guineas and the Woodbine Mile in Canada during his sophomore season. He looks to become the first Juvenile Turf winner to add another Breeders' Cup title.

NEST
STATS →
DISTAFF
NEST
M/L
9-5
Career Record:
10: 7-2-1
Career Earnings:
$1,873,050
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1-2-2
Jockey:
Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer:
Todd Pletcher
Color/Age:
Bay/3YO
Sire:
Curlin-Marion Ravenwood

Expected favorite in the Distaff won Keeneland's Grade 1 Ashland this spring. Dominant 3YO filly was 2nd in the Belmont Stakes and has won the CCA Oaks, Alabama and Beldame since.

REBEL'S ROMANCE
STATS →
TURF
REBEL'S ROMANCE
M/L
3-1
Career Record:
11: 8-0-0
Career Earnings:
$854,610
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1-1-11
Jockey:
William Buick
Trainer:
Charlie Appleby
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown / 4YO
Sire:
Dubawi-Minidress

The 2021 United Arab Emirates Derby winner went to the sidelines for nearly 10 months, but has returned at age 4 to notch back-to-back Group 1 wins in Germany following a couple of scores in England. Trainer Charlie Appleby won this race last year with Yibir.

WAR LIKE GODDESS
STATS →
TURF
WAR LIKE GODDESS
M/L
9-2
Career Record:
12: 9-1-1
Career Earnings:
$1,612,184
Past 5 Races:
1-2-1-1-3
Jockey:
Joel Rosario
Trainer:
Bill Mott
Color/Age:
BAY / 5YO
Sire:
English Channel-Misty North

Daughter of BC Turf champ English Channel will bypass the F&M Turf in favor of the 1-1/2 miles trip against the boys in the Turf. Third in last year's championships at Del Mar, she exits an impressive win vs. the boys in the Joe Hirsch Turf Classic.

GOLDEN PAL
STATS →
TURF SPRINT
GOLDEN PAL
M/L
2-1
Career Record:
12: 8-2-0
Career Earnings:
$1,815,131
Past 5 Races:
1-1-16-1-1
Jockey:
Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer:
Wesley Ward
Color/Age:
BAY / 4YO
Sire:
Uncle Mo-Lady Shipman

The reigning Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint champ has a perfect record over his home course at Keeneland. He has been favored in all 9 of his career starts on American soil and expected to be the public choice again.

CE CE
STATS →
F&M SPRINT
CE CE
M/L
4-1
Career Record:
22: 11-2-4
Career Earnings:
$2,357,100
Past 5 Races:
1-5-1-3-1
Jockey:
Victor Espinoza
Trainer:
Michael McCarthy
Color/Age:
CHESTNUT / 6YO
Sire:
Elusive Quality-Miss Houdini

Defending F&M Sprint winner Ce Ce has won a trio of graded stakes at different venues this year and doesn't appear to be slowing down at age 6. Can join Groupie Doll as repeat winners in this division.

NASHWA
STATS →
F&M TURF
NASHWA
M/L
5-2
Career Record:
7: 4-1-2
Career Earnings:
$1,256,487
Past 5 Races:
2-1-1-3-1
Jockey:
Hollie Doyle
Trainer:
John & Thady Gosden
Color/Age:
Bay / 3YO
Sire:
Frankel - Princess Loulou

Runner-up in France's Group 1 Prix de l'Opera on the Arc de Triomphe Day card, she had won the Group 1 French Oaks earlier this year and was third in the Group 1 Epsom Oaks. European 3-year-old fillies have won this race 4 of the last 6 years.

CAVE ROCK
STATS →
JUVENILE
CAVE ROCK
M/L
4-5
Career Record:
3: 3-0-0
Career Earnings:
$408,000
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1
Jockey:
Juan Hernandez
Trainer:
Bob Baffert
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown / 2YO
Sire:
Arrogate-Georgie's Angel

California's top 2YO hopeful for the Juvenile, he rolled to victory in Santa Anita's American Pharoah as well as the Del Mar Futurity. Figures to be one of the shortest-priced favorites in the 2-day Breeders' Cup.

FLIGHTLINE
STATS →
CLASSIC
FLIGHTLINE
M/L
3-5
Career Record:
5: 5-0-0
Career Earnings:
$1,394,800
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1-1-1
Jockey:
Flavien Prat
Trainer:
John Sadler
Color/Age:
Bay/4YO
Pedigree:
Tapit-Feathered

Undefeated and unchallenged, his Pacific Classic romp at 1-1/4 miles further bolstered his elite sprint and mile performances prior. Has drawn comparisons to 2004 Breeders' Cup Classic winner and Horse of the Year Ghostzapper and greats like Spectacular Bid and Secretariat.

MODERN GAMES
STATS →
MILE
MODERN GAMES
M/L
7-2
Career Record:
12: 6-3-1
Career Earnings:
$2,136,716
Past 5 Races:
2-1-2-5-3
Jockey:
William Buick
Trainer:
Charlie Appleby
Color/Age:
Chestnut / 3YO
Pedigree:
Dubawi-Modern Ideals

Last year's Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf winner has tallied the French 2000 Guineas and the Woodbine Mile in Canada during his sophomore season. He looks to become the first Juvenile Turf winner to add another Breeders' Cup title.

NEST
STATS →
DISTAFF
NEST
M/L
9-5
Career Record:
10: 7-2-1
Career Earnings:
$1,873,050
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1-2-2
Jockey:
Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer:
Todd Pletcher
Color/Age:
Bay/3YO
Pedigree:
Curlin-Marion Ravenwood

Expected favorite in the Distaff won Keeneland's Grade 1 Ashland this spring. Dominant 3YO filly was 2nd in the Belmont Stakes and has won the CCA Oaks, Alabama and Beldame since.

REBEL'S ROMANCE
STATS →
TURF
REBEL'S ROMANCE
M/L
3-1
Career Record:
11: 8-0-0
Career Earnings:
$854,610
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1-1-11
Jockey:
William Buick
Trainer:
Charlie Appleby
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown / 4YO
Pedigree:
Dubawi-Minidress

The 2021 United Arab Emirates Derby winner went to the sidelines for nearly 10 months, but has returned at age 4 to notch back-to-back Group 1 wins in Germany following a couple of scores in England. Trainer Charlie Appleby won this race last year with Yibir.

WAR LIKE GODDESS
STATS →
TURF
WAR LIKE GODDESS
M/L
9-2
Career Record:
12: 9-1-1
Career Earnings:
$1,612,184
Past 5 Races:
1-2-1-1-3
Jockey:
Joel Rosario
Trainer:
Bill Mott
Color/Age:
BAY / 5YO
Pedigree:
English Channel-Misty North

Daughter of BC Turf champ English Channel will bypass the F&M Turf in favor of the 1-1/2 miles trip against the boys in the Turf. Third in last year's championships at Del Mar, she exits an impressive win vs. the boys in the Joe Hirsch Turf Classic.

GOLDEN PAL
STATS →
TURF SPRINT
GOLDEN PAL
M/L
2-1
Career Record:
12: 8-2-0
Career Earnings:
$1,815,131
Past 5 Races:
1-1-16-1-1
Jockey:
Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer:
Wesley Ward
Color/Age:
BAY / 4YO
Pedigree:
Uncle Mo-Lady Shipman

The reigning Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint champ has a perfect record over his home course at Keeneland. He has been favored in all 9 of his career starts on American soil and expected to be the public choice again.

CE CE
STATS →
F&M SPRINT
CE CE
M/L
4-1
Career Record:
22: 11-2-4
Career Earnings:
$2,357,100
Past 5 Races:
1-5-1-3-1
Jockey:
Victor Espinoza
Trainer:
Michael McCarthy
Color/Age:
CHESTNUT / 6YO
Pedigree:
Elusive Quality-Miss Houdini

Defending F&M Sprint winner Ce Ce has won a trio of graded stakes at different venues this year and doesn't appear to be slowing down at age 6. Can join Groupie Doll as repeat winners in this division.

NASHWA
STATS →
F&M TURF
NASHWA
M/L
5-2
Career Record:
7: 4-1-2
Career Earnings:
$1,256,487
Past 5 Races:
2-1-1-3-1
Jockey:
Hollie Doyle
Trainer:
John & Thady Gosden
Color/Age:
Bay / 3YO
Pedigree:
Frankel - Princess Loulou

Runner-up in France's Group 1 Prix de l'Opera on the Arc de Triomphe Day card, she had won the Group 1 French Oaks earlier this year and was third in the Group 1 Epsom Oaks. European 3-year-old fillies have won this race 4 of the last 6 years.

CAVE ROCK
STATS →
JUVENILE
CAVE ROCK
M/L
4-5
Career Record:
3: 3-0-0
Career Earnings:
$408,000
Past 5 Races:
1-1-1
Jockey:
Juan Hernandez
Trainer:
Bob Baffert
Color/Age:
Dark Bay or Brown / 2YO
Pedigree:
Arrogate-Georgie's Angel

California's top 2YO hopeful for the Juvenile, he rolled to victory in Santa Anita's American Pharoah as well as the Del Mar Futurity. Figures to be one of the shortest-priced favorites in the 2-day Breeders' Cup.

breeders' cup races

EXPERT BEST BETS

KALI FRANCOIS
JUV FILLIES TURF

PLEASANT PASSAGE
FREE LOOK
MEDITATE
BE YOUR BEST

RON NICOLETTI
JUVENILE FILLIES

ATOMICALLY
CHOCOLATE GELATO
CHOP CHOP
WONDER WHEEL

GEORGE ORTUZAR
JUVENILE TURF

PACKS A WAHLOP
SILVER KNOTT
MAJOR DUDE
ANDTHEWINNERIS

MATT DINERMAN
JUVENILE TURF

PACKS A WAHLOP
SILVER KNOTT
VICTORIA ROAD
I’M VERY BUSY

BRIAN SPENCER
TURF SPRINT

HIGHFIELD PRINCESS
GOLDEN PAL
GO BEARS GO
EMARAATY ANA

PETER LURIE
DIRT MILE

CODY'S WISH
GUNITE
LAW PROFESSOR
CYBERKNIFE

TOM QUIGLEY
DIRT MILE

CODY’S WISH
CYBERKNIFE
SENOR BUSCADOR

BRIAN NADEAU
BC MILE

ANNAPOLIS
MODERN GAMES
DREAMLOPER
DOMESTIC SPENDING

FRANK CARULLI
BC TURF

WAR LIKE GODDESS
RED KNIGHT
NATIONS PRIDE
MISHRIFF

KEITH FEUSTLE
BC TURF

REBEL'S ROMANCE
NATION'S PRIDE
WAR LIKE GODDESS
BYE BYE MELVIN

DUSTIN FABIAN
CLASSIC

TAIBA
FLIGHTLINE
EPICENTER
HOT ROD CHARLIE

the machine

all races

breeders' cup RACES

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE picks

powered by betmix

The 1/ST BET 'Machine' analyzes millions of data points over more than 50 important handicapping factors for each race to create an exclusive handicapping outcome driven by big data.

POST
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
FAIR ODDS

"FUTURE STARS FRIDAY" NOVEMBER 4

RACE 6 // JUVENILE TURF SPRINT
3:00PM ET // G1 - $1M
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
3
PRIVATE CREED
24%
35%
46%
11
SPEED BOAT BEACH
16%
27%
38%
10
TYLER’S TRIBE
12%
21%
32%
14
NO NAY HUDSON
8%
11%
19%
RACE 7 // JUVENILE FILLIES
3:40PM ET // G1 - $2M
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
7
CHOP CHOP
22%
48%
56%
3
AND TELL ME NO LIES
13%
25%
34%
2
YOU’RE MY GIRL
12%
18%
29%
8
ATOMICALLY
9%
15%
22%
RACE 8 // JUVENILE FILLIES TURF
4:20PM ET // G1 - $1M
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
2
CAIRO CONSORT
12%
27%
42%
9
DELIGHT
10%
15%
22%
3
LAST CALL
7%
21%
33%
6
BE YOUR BEST
7%
12%
15%
RACE 9 // JUVENILE
5:00PM ET // G1 - $2M
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
3
cave rock
26%
56%
67%
5
verifying
16%
30%
42%
10
national treasure
14%
22%
36%
6
blazing sevens
11%
18%
28%
RACE 10 // JUVENILE TURF
5:40PM ET // G1 - $1M
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
2
packs a wahlop
14%
30%
46%
6
andthewinneris
12%
16%
24%
7
really good
8%
15%
22%
9
nagirroc
8%
14%
16%

BREEDERS' CUP saturDAY, NOVEMBER 5

RACE 3 // FILLY & MARE SPRINT
11:50AM ET // G1 - $1M
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
3
CHI TOWN LADY
19%
37%
53%
10
HOT PEPPERS
17%
31%
42%
7
OBLIGATORY
13%
21%
24%
11
WICKED HALO
9%
17%
22%
RACE 4 // TURF SPRINT
12:29PM ET // G1 - $1M
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
8
GOLDEN PAL
23%
34%
44%
14
ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS
15%
27%
37%
7
ARREST ME RED
12%
21%
31%
11
CASA CREED
7%
21%
29%
RACE 5 // DIRT MILE
1:10PM ET // G1 - $1M
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
5
gunite
27%
45%
57%
9
cyberknife
19%
35%
50%
2
simplification
13%
22%
35%
7
cody's wish
11%
28%
42%
RACE 6 // FILLY & MARE TURF
1:50PM ET // G1 - $2M
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
11
IN ITALIAN
19%
37%
50%
3
NASHWA
14%
24%
37%
12
MOIRA
13%
29%
42%
9
ROUGIR
8%
17%
30%
RACE 7 // SPRINT
2:30PM ET // G1 - $2M
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
2
kimari
34%
42%
52%
9
jackie's warrior
20%
34%
50%
3
o besos
8%
21%
28%
8
cz rocket
8%
15%
22%
RACE 8 // MILE
3:10PM ET // G1 - $2M
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
4
modern games
12%
27%
42%
6
ivar
10%
15%
22%
14
domestic spending
7%
21%
33%
11
annapolis
7%
14%
20%
RACE 9 // DISTAFF
3:55PM ET // G1 - $2M
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
1
malathaat
31%
47%
59%
6
nest
21%
44%
60%
8
society
13%
30%
43%
4
clairiere
12%
20%
33%
RACE 10 // TURF
4:40PM ET // G1 - $4M
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
11
mishriff
22%
40%
46%
7
nations pride
13%
24%
31%
13
highland chief
10%
20%
30%
2
war like goddess
10%
19%
32%
RACE 11 // CLASSIC
5:40PM ET // G1 - $6M
PP
HORSE
WIN%
PLACE%
SHOW%
4
flightline
30%
48%
67%
5
hot rod charlie
22%
36%
51%
2
life is good
15%
36%
53%
1
taiba
10%
27%
42%

RACE 6

michelle yu

juvenile turf sprint

friday // 3:00pm et

G1 - $1,000,000

SCENE SETTER: The youngest of the Breeders’ Cup divisions hits its fifth renewal. PRIVATE CREED has been the king of Kentucky, winning key preps at Keeneland and Kentucky Downs. The filly LOVE REIGNS bypassed the local tune-up to come in fresh; it’s hard to doubt anything Wesley Ward does in this division. SPEED BOAT BEACH maybe California’s best chance yet in the JTS. The Europeans are looking for a breakthrough here and have the favorite in the international betting markets with THE PLATINUM QUEEN, who beat older horses last time out.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

The contender who led Avg. Speed Last 3 has won the Juvenile Turf Sprint 2 of the past 3 years.
Last year’s winner Twilight Gleaming topped the field in Avg. Last 3 E1 (Early) Pace.

workout report // xbtv:

NAME
DATE
TRACK
DIST.
TIME

NOTES:

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $1 Exacta Box: PERSIAN FORCE, MISCHIEF MAGIC, SPEED BOAT BEACH, THE PLATINUM QUEEN, LOVE REIGNS, PRIVATE CREED ($30)
  • $10 Win-Place: PERSIAN FORCE, MISCHIEF MAGIC, SPEED BOAT BEACH ($60)
  • $5 Win-Place: LOVE REIGNS ($10)

TOP 4 PICKS

1. PERSIAN FORCE
2. MISCHIEF MAGIC
3. SPEED BOAT BEACH
4. THE PLATINUM QUEEN

STATS & TRENDS

WINNERS' PREPS
FAVORITES' FINISH

KNOW THIS

Trainer Wesley Ward has won the Juvenile Turf Sprint each of the past 3 years and has saddled the post-time favorite in 3 straight editions (winning 2 of 3 as favorite).

Prior starts to winning the JTS: Bulletin (1), Four Wheel Drive (2), Golden Pal (3), Twilight Gleaming (4), increasing in each renewal of this race.

Europeans have accounted for 4 of the 16 superfecta placings in the JTS, bested by a runner-up in 2021 by Go Bears Go.

In the only JTS held at Keeneland to date (2020), odds-on favorite Golden Pal won despite post 13 of 14, while locally prepped Cowan was runner-up.

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RACE 7

zoe cadman

juvenile fillies

friday // 3:40pm et

G1 - $2,000,000

SCENE SETTER: Handicapping this division should start with the Frizette, and this year’s winner CHOCOLATE GELATO will vie for favoritism with local Keeneland prep heroine WONDER WHEEL. But both failed to dominate last out and have opened the door for the competition. AND TELL ME NOLIES won California’s pair of top preps by less than a combined length. There’s little margin for error in this year’s JF.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Avg. Lifetime Earnings and Best Speed Distance have been important factors in this division.
Last year’s winner Echo Zulu ranked No. 1 in each of the top-7 factors for this race and led the way in 18 factors overall.

workout report // xbtv:

NAME
DATE
TRACK
DIST.
TIME

NOTES:

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $100 Exacta: CHOCOLATE GELATO over YOU'RE MY GIRL

TOP 4 PICKS

1. CHOCOLATE GELATO
2. YOU'RE MY GIRL
3. CHOP CHOP
4. AMERICAN ROCKETTE

STATS & TRENDS

LAST 10 WINNERS' PREPS
LAST 10 FAVORITES' FINISH

KNOW THIS

The Frizette has produced 4 of the last 5 JF winners. Its 14 victories represented in the JF is the most by any prep in any BC division all-time. 

The public has made California-prepped horses the post-time favorite in 7 of the last 8 JF editions. Echo Zulu snapped the streak last year in victory. 

Favorites own a 50% win rate (19-38) in the JF, highest among any of the original BC divisions. But its 6 winners paying $60+ also is a record high among the divisions.

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RACE 8

millie ball

juvenile fillies turf

friday // 4:20pm et

G1 - $1,000,000

SCENE SETTER: DELIGHT crushed Keeneland’s Jessamine by 5 lengths as the favorite and stamped herself a force. The historically relevant Miss Grillo was won by PLEASANT PASSAGE in a wire-to-wire upset that may force some bettors to want further validation. Trainer Chad Brown is America’s preeminent player with fillies and mares on the grass, but his 2-year-old crop this year has yet to come to full hand. Might the Euros re-emerge for the first time since 2013? Irish filly MEDITATE states a strong case.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Key factors in this division have been Avg. E1 (Early) Pace and Avg. Turf Earnings.
Last year’s winner Pizza Bianca ranked first or second in 7 of the top-9 factors for this race.

workout report // xbtv:

NAME
DATE
TRACK
DIST.
TIME

NOTES:

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $5 Exacta Box: PLEASANT PASSAGE, FREE LOOK, MEDITATE, MIDNIGHT MILE, BE YOUR BEST (Total: $100)

TOP 4 PICKS

1. PLEASANT PASSAGE
2. FREE LOOK
3. MEDITATE
4. MIDNIGHT MILE

STATS & TRENDS

LAST 10 WINNERS' PREPS
LAST 10 FAVORITES' FINISH

KNOW THIS

North American-based horses have won this race 8 years in a row and 12 of 14 editions overall. 

Europeans are 0-7 as JFT favorites, topped by Daahyeh’s runner-up in 2019. 

Trainer Chad Brown has won this race a record 5 times, including 2016-’18. 

No California-based filly has finished in the JFT exacta. The best finish was Colonel Joan’s third-place run in 2013.

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RACE 9

jon white

juvenile

friday // 5:00pm et

G1 - $2,000,000

SCENE SETTER: CAVE ROCK figures to be one of the strongest favorites of this year’s Breeders’ Cup and the fourth odds-on chalk in the Juvenile in the past 6 years. California’s main contender hasn’t found an equal on the west coast, and it’s up to FORTE, a major prep winner at Saratoga and Keeneland, to provide a counter. Note: the only odds-on winner of the Juvenile came all the way back in the 1984 inaugural via Chief’s Crown.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Avg. Lifetime Earnings and Best Speed Distance have been key factors in the Juvenile historically.
Last year’s winner Corniche ranked No. 1 in each of the top-6 factors for this race and 8 of the top-10.

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $100 Win: CAVE ROCK

TOP 4 PICKS

1. CAVE ROCK
2. NATIONAL TREASURE
3. FORTE
4. VERIFYING

STATS & TRENDS

LAST 10 WINNERS' PREPS
LAST 10 FAVORITES' FINISH

KNOW THIS

California-prepped horses have won 6 of the last 9 editions, including 3 of the last 4. 

5 straight Juvenile favorites have been bet to 7-5 or less (record 5: 2-0-1). 

The Juvenile has been won wire-to-wire twice in the last 3 years – Storm the Court (2019) and Corniche (2021).

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RACE 10

jeremy plonk

juvenile turf

friday // 5:40pm et

G1 - $1,000,000

SCENE SETTER: SILVER KNOTT stamped himself Europe’s top force in a division they’ve had the upperhand, winning the Autumn Stakes at Newmarket for the ever-dangerous Charlie Appleby and Godolphin connections. MAJOR DUDE won the historical tell-tale US prep in the Pilgrim for Todd Pletcher, 1 of only 5 US-based trainers to win this race. ANDTHEWINNERIS and PACKS A WAHLOP both delivered as favorites in KY and CA final preps with an impressive turn of foot late, but their regions haven’t had much success in this division.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Top factors in the Juvenile Turf have been Avg. Turf Earnings and Best Speed Last 3.
Last year’s winner Modern Games was top-ranked in Turf Pedigree Rating, Distance Pedigree Rating and Trainer Current Year.

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $19 Exacta: SILVER KNOTT, VICTORIA ROAD with SILVER KNOTT, VICTORIA ROAD, NAGIRROC (Total: $76)
  • $1 Trifecta: SILVER KNOTT, VICTORIA ROAD with ALL with NAGIRROC (Total: $24)

TOP 4 PICKS

1. SILVER KNOTT
2. VICTORIA ROAD
3. NAGIRROC
4. MAJOR DUDE

STATS & TRENDS

LAST 10 WINNERS' PREPS
LAST 10 FAVORITES' FINISH

KNOW THIS

Keeneland’s 2 JT editions produced upset winners, Hit It a Bomb at 7-1 in 2015 and Fire At Will at 30-1 in 2020. 

5 of the last 10 JT favorites have been over 3-1, while only 1 the past decade has been under 2-1. Favorites have won just 13% in this division overall. 

European-based horses account for 10 of the 15 Juvenile Turf winners all-time.

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RACE 3

jeremy plonk

filly & mare sprint

saturday // 11:50am et

G1 - $1,000,000

SCENE SETTER: Defending champion CE CE has alternated losses and wins in her 6 starts this year en route to a possible FMS repeat. Was the August 28 Ballerina at Saratoga the tell-tale race in the division, when GOODNIGHT OLIVE rolled a field that included CE CE in a never-threatening fifth-place finish? New Mexico-based SLAMMED has traveled to Del Mar and Keeneland to flex her muscle and could get a rematch from her Rancho Bernardo rival EDGEWAY.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Strong-performing factors in this division over the years have been Avg. Races Classes, Avg. Speed Last 3, Best Lifetime Speed.
Last year’s winner Ce Ce led factors such as Avg. Last 3 Turn Time, Avg. Late Pace, Distance Pedigree Rating.

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $100 Exacta: CE CE over GOODNIGHT OLIVE

TOP 4 PICKS

1. CE CE
2. GOODNIGHT OLIVE
3. OBLIGATORY
4. ECHO ZULU

STATS & TRENDS

LAST 10 WINNERS' PREPS
LAST 10 FAVORITES' FINISH

KNOW THIS

At $24.65, the FMS has the highest average winning $2 payoff of any BC division. 

Groupie Doll (2012-’13) has been the only back-to-back winner of the FMS. Defending champions are 1-for-6 overall in this race, including Gamine (3rd) a year ago. 

3 of the last 5 FMS winners turned back / shortened in distance from a final prep around 2 turns. 

The F&M Sprint has never been won wire-to-wire. Its pacemakers have a paltry 15: 0-2-2 record all-time.

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RACE 4

zoe cadman

turf sprint

saturday // 12:29pm et

G1 - $1,000,000

SCENE SETTER: GOLDEN PAL broke like he had a jetpack in last year’s TS en route to victory at Del Mar and now defends his crown at what might be his favorite course at Keeneland. He’s 4-4 locally, including the BC Juvenile Turf Sprint in 2020. European challengers appear strong with HIGHFIELD PRINCESS at the fore, though it’s noteworthy only 1 international runner has won this race – albeit at Keeneland in 2020 with Glass Slippers at 10-1.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Key factors in this division have been Avg. Last 3 E1 (Early) Pace and Avg. Speed Last 3.
2021 winner Golden Pal was top-ranked in Last E1 (Early) Pace, Avg. Earnings Distance, Avg. Turf Earnings, etc.

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $40 Exacta: HIGHFIELD PRINCESS over CREATIVE FORCE (Total: $40)
  • $30 Exacta: HIGHFIELD PRINCESS over GO BEARS GO, CARAVEL (Total: $60)

TOP 4 PICKS

1. HIGHFIELD PRINCESS
2. CREATIVE FORCE
3. GO BEARS GO
4. CARAVEL

STATS & TRENDS

LAST 10 WINNERS' PREPS
LAST 10 FAVORITES' FINISH

KNOW THIS

California-based horses have won 8 of the 14 editions of the TS, but did not have a finisher in the superfecta in either of the 2 events held at Keeneland. 

Trainer Wesley Ward lost with 3 different TS favorites before delivering last year’s public choice Golden Pal home first at 5-2. 

Mizdirection (2012-’13) and Stormy Liberal (2017-’18) are the only back-to-back TS winners. Defending champs are 2-for-9 the next year in this event.

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RACE 5

jeff siegel

dirt mile

saturday // 1:10pm et

G1 - $1,000,000

SCENE SETTER: After featuring odds-on favorites in 5 of the last 8 years, the DM has a much more wide-open feel to it this year. That’s because defending champ LIFE IS GOOD is being aimed at the Classic. The Friday scratch of LAUREL RIVER puts CODY'S WISH front and center in the DM spotlight. Sophomore CYBERKNIFE certainly has more experience around 2 turns, but we’ll see how he measures with older horses. We often see a smashing performance in this race so buckle up.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Among the top DM factors have been Avg. Last 3 E2 (Early) Pace, In The Money %, Best Speed Last 3.
Last year’s winner Life Is Good led his field in Horses Beaten %, In The Money %, Avg. Speed Last 3, Best Lifetime Speed and more.

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $40 Win: CODY'S WISH
  • $5 Exacta Box: CODY'S WISH, PIPELINE, GUNITE (Total: $30)
  • $5 Exacta Box: CODY'S WISH, GUNITE, CYBERKNIFE (Total: $30)

TOP 4 PICKS

1. CODY'S WISH
2. GUNITE
3. PIPELINE
4. CYBERKNIFE

STATS & TRENDS

LAST 10 WINNERS' PREPS
LAST 10 FAVORITES' FINISH

KNOW THIS

4 straight DM editions have been won wire-to-wire, including Knicks Go at Keeneland in 2020. 

12 times the DM has been contested around 2 turns like at Keeneland, and 10 of the winners exited final preps at a mile or longer (6 at 1-1/16 miles or longer). 

14 of 15 DM editions all-time have had a 3-year-old in the superfecta finish – including exacta placings the past 3 years.

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RACE 6

millie ball

filly & mare turf

saturday // 1:50pm et

G1 - $2,000,000

SCENE SETTER: For the past 10 years, this race literally has been a tale of Chad Brown vs. the Internationals. Brown has done his best to hold down the fort with 4 wins, but the worldwide raiders gained the edge with 6. Brown has Flower Bowl upsetter VIRGINA JOY and the speedy local winner IN ITALIAN while America’s best, WAR LIKE GODDESS, instead is tackling the boys in the BC Turf at 1-1/2 miles. That puts the Europeans in the spotlight, topped by French Oaks heroine NASHWA.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Top factors include Avg. Earnings Distance, Avg. Turf Earnings, Avg. Late Pace et al.
International runners have won this race 5 of the last 6 years and don’t calculate into the speed and pace factors. Give more emphasis to Class, Earnings and Pedigree factors with the imports.

workout report // xbtv:

NAME
DATE
TRACK
DIST.
TIME

NOTES:

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $100 Win: IN ITALIAN

TOP 4 PICKS

1. IN ITALIAN
2. MOIRA
3. ROUGIR
4. FAMILY WAY

STATS & TRENDS

LAST 10 WINNERS' PREPS
LAST 10 FAVORITES' FINISH

KNOW THIS

Favorites have lost 8 straight in the FMT, the longest current streak of any BC division. The FMT chalk is only 1 for the last 15. 

Trainer Chad Brown has had the beaten favorite in the FMT 4 of the last 6 years, and Americans have been bet to favoritism 5 of the last 6. 

3-year-olds have 7 wins in the FMT, all by Europeans, including 2016, 2017, 2019 and 2020. 

Notable shutouts in FMT history: California preppers (0-50), Aidan O’Brien trainees (0-16).

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RACE 7

dustin fabian

sprint

saturday // 2:30pm et

G1 - $2,000,000

SCENE SETTER: JACKIE’S WARRIOR was upset in Saratoga’s Forego in August and not much clarity has come to the division since. ELITE POWER romped 4 rivals in a Vosburgh that was a shadow of its historical norms. Keeneland’s Phoenix produced a trifecta that returned more than 1700-to-1 odds. The 6-5 favorite in the Santa Anita Sprint Championship ran 5th of 6. Defending champ ALOHA WEST didn’t have a race or workout for 3 months until recently.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Leading factors include Best Speed Last 3, Last E1 (Early) Pace and a heavy lean to Trainer data.
Last year’s rallying upset winner Aloha West topped the field in Last Late Pace and Average Late Pace.

workout report // xbtv:

NAME
DATE
TRACK
DIST.
TIME

NOTES:

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $40 Exacta: JACKIE'S WARRIOR over KIMARI (Total: $40)
  • $24 Exacta: KIMARI over JACKIE'S WARRIOR (Total: $24)
  • $2 Trifecta: JACKIE'S WARRIOR, KIMARI over JACKIE'S WARRIOR, KIMARI over ALL (Total: $36)

TOP 4 PICKS

1. JACKIE'S WARRIOR
2. KIMARI
3. AMERICAN THEOREM
4. O BESOS

STATS & TRENDS

LAST 10 WINNERS' PREPS
LAST 10 FAVORITES' FINISH

KNOW THIS

5 of the last 10 Sprint favorites have finished out of the money, while 6 straight have been defeated. 

Local preppers in the Phoenix Stakes have won both Sprint editions held at Keeneland (2015, 2020). 

3-year-olds have won the Sprint a total of 9 times, most recently Drefong (2017) and Runhappy (2015).

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RACE 8

jon white

mile

saturday // 3:10pm et

G1 - $2,000,000

SCENE SETTER: KINROSS rides a 4-race win streak from England while last year’s Juvenile Turf winner MODERN GAMES looks to remain unbeaten in his third North American raid, having also won the Woodbine Mile in September. Like MODERN GAMES, America’s best chance may also be a 3-year-old, ANNAPOLIS. He won Keeneland’s major Fall Meet mile over a field that included 2020 BC Mile winner ORDER OF AUSTRALIA.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Top factors include Last E2 (Early) Pace, Last E1 (Early) Pace and Avg. Turf Earnings.
International runners have won this race 3 of the last 4 years and don’t calculate into the speed and pace factors. Give more emphasis to Class, Earnings and Pedigree factors with the imports.

workout report // xbtv:

NAME
DATE
TRACK
DIST.
TIME

NOTES:

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $40 Win: MODERN GAMES
  • $15 Exacta: MODERN GAMES over KINROSS, DREAMLOPER, SMOOTH LIKE STRAIGHT and ANNAPOLIS (Total: $60)

TOP 4 PICKS

1. MODERN GAMES
2. KINROSS
3. DREAMLOPER
4. ANNAPOLIS

STATS & TRENDS

LAST 10 WINNERS' PREPS
LAST 10 FAVORITES' FINISH

KNOW THIS

Europeans have won 3 of the last 4 editions, but the North Americans still own a 22-16 edge in the all-time series. 

The last Mile at Keeneland in 2020 produced the second-largest upset in Breeders’ Cup history when 73-1 Order of Australia rocked the tote from the also-eligible list. 

10 fillies/mares have won the Mile, most of any open Breeders’ Cup division, most recently Uni in 2019.

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RACE 9

michelle yu

distaff

saturday // 3:55pm et

G1 - $2,000,000

SCENE SETTER: Todd Pletcher stablemates, the brilliant NEST and the consistent MALATHAAT, have risen to the top of the class, posting easy victories in the Bedame and Spinster. Both are major stakes winners at Keeneland and should be on favorable footing. Steve Asmussen also has a pair of aces to play, wire-to-wire Cotillion dominator SOCIETY – the division’s biggest unknown – and CLAIRIERE, who beat MALATHAAT in the Shuvee and Phipps this summer. Both MALATHAAT and CLAIRIERE were within a length of winning last year’s Distaff.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Top factors include Last Late Pace, Avg. Races Classes and Best Speed Track.
Last year’s 49-1 upset winner from Japan, Marche Lorraine, ranked first in Avg. Last 3 Purses.

workout report // xbtv:

NAME
DATE
TRACK
DIST.
TIME

NOTES:

$101 wagering strategy:

  • $2 Exacta Box: MALATHAAT, BLUE STRIPE, NEST, SEARCH RESULTS, SOCIETY (Total: $40)
  • $1 Exacta: MALATHAAT, NEST with ALL (Total: $14)
  • $1 Exacta: ALL with NEST (Total: $7)
  • $10 Win-Place: BLUE STRIPE, SOCIETY (Total: $40)

TOP 4 PICKS

1. MALATHAAT
2. BLUE STRIPE
3. NEST
4. SEARCH RESULTS

STATS & TRENDS

LAST 10 WINNERS' PREPS
LAST 10 FAVORITES' FINISH

KNOW THIS

With a $19.60 average winning mutuel all-time, the Distaff is the lowest among all Breeders’ Cup Saturday events. 

3-Year-Olds have won the Distaff 11 times, most recently Monomoy Girl in 2018. 

The Distaff has produced 4 of the 7 largest BC race blowouts all-time, led by top-ranked Inside Information’s 13-1/2 length score in 1995.

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RACE 10

jeff siegel

turf

saturday // 4:40pm et

G1 - $4,000,000

SCENE SETTER: Trainer Charlie Appleby looks for his follow-up to last year's Turf winner Yibir with the duo of NATIONS PRIDE and REBEL'S ROMANCE, the former already schooled in America and the latter taking a unique route through Germany this year. Europe's $15 million earner MISHRIFF hasn't won this year but dances all the big dances. America's best hope may be the mare WAR LIKE GODDESS, who bested the boys in the Joe Hirsch Turf Classic.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Top factors include Avg. Last 3 Purse, Days Since Last Race and Avg. Lifetime Earnings.
International runners have won this race 6 of the last 7 years and don’t calculate into the speed and pace factors. Give more emphasis to Class, Earnings and Pedigree factors with the imports.

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $60 Win: REBEL'S ROMANCE
  • $5 Exacta Box: REBEL'S ROMANCE and WAR LIKE GODDESS (Total: $10)
  • $5 Exacta Box: REBEL'S ROMANCE, WAR LIKE GODDESS, NATIONS PRIDE (Total: $30)

TOP 4 PICKS

1. REBEL'S ROMANCE
2. WAR LIKE GODDESS
3. NATIONS PRIDE
4. MASTER PIECE

STATS & TRENDS

LAST 10 WINNERS' PREPS
LAST 10 FAVORITES' FINISH

KNOW THIS

Europeans have won 18 of the last 23 Turf editions, including 6 of the last 7 and both renewals at Keeneland. 

5 fillies/mares have won the Turf: Tarnawa (2020 at Keeneland), Enable (2018), Found (2015 at Keeneland), Miss Alleged (1991) and Pebbles (1985). 

The Arc de Triomphe has been the final prep of 10 Turf winners, easily most of any race. Belmont’s Joe Hirsch Turf Classic is next with 6.

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RACE 11

EDDIE OLCZYK

CLASSIC

saturday // 5:40PM ET

G1 - $6,000,000

SCENE SETTER: Unbeaten FLIGHTLINE enters the Classic with sizzle matched only a few times in the event’s history, and not for a memorable rivalry like Sunday Silence and Easy Goer, nor a coronation like Triple Crown winner American Pharoah. It’s about his singular talent, much in the manner Zenyatta and Cigar captivated. Will he remain unbeaten? And who might be able to challenge him? Travers winner EPICENTER headlines the sophomore class, while last year’s Dirt Mile buzzsaw LIFE IS GOOD tries to stretch his speed to the max.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Top factors include Last E1 (Early) Pace, Avg. of Last 3 E2 (Early Pace) and Avg. Lifetime Earnings.
Last year’s winner Knicks Go led in Avg. of Last 3 E1 (Early) Pace and Avg. of Last 3 E2 (Early) Pace.

workout report // XBTV:

NAME
DATE
TRACK
DIST.
TIME

NOTES:

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $52 Exacta: FLIGHTLINE over EPICENTER (Total: $52)
  • $8 Trifecta: FLIGHTLINE with EPICENTER with ALL (Total: $48)

TOP 4 picks

1. FLIGHTLINE
2. EPICENTER
3. HOT ROD CHARLIE
4. LIFE IS GOOD

STATS & TRENDS

LAST 10 WINNERS’ PREPS
LAST 10 FAVORITES’ FINISH

KNOW THIS

The largest trifecta ($39,031 for $2) and superfecta ($692,907 for $1) in BC history came in the 1999 Classic. This event also boasts the largest $2 win payout ($269.20, Arcangues, 1993). 

6 of the last 10 Classics have been won wire-to-wire, including the past 2. No deep closer has won since Drosselmeyer in 2011. 

A 3-year-old has won the Classic 13 times, including both Keeneland renewals (in 2015 American Pharoah and 2020 Authentic).

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